NFL Week 17 Picks

Week 17 is already here. Thankfully the Steelers will get to play at least one more game. There are a ton of meaningful games today, even if your team stinks. Onto the picks...

Overall: 136-90   Spread: 35-35-1

Ravens 24, Browns 14 --- CLE +13.5 The Ravens need to win and have the Chargers lose to get into the playoffs so there is plenty at stake for the home team. The Brownies are playing out the string with Connor Shaw at QB. A win gives them 8 wins for their first non-losing season since 2007. The Ravens should win but I don't think they crush the Browns.

Dolphins 17, Jets 13 --- In all likelihood this is Rexy's last day as the Jets coach...It may be Philbin's last day in Miami as well. I think the Jets defense will play well for their coach but per usual the offense will not produce enough points as the Jets finish 3-13.

Patriots 24, Bills 17 --- The Patriots have no reason to put any effort into this game. The Gronk should not see the field today, either should TFB but I can understand wanting to give him some reps so he isn't rusty in two weeks. I'll take the Patriots to win no matter who plays.

Texans 27, Jaguars 17 --- The Texans need so many things to go their way to get into the playoffs but even with a win a 9-7 season would be a huge improvement over last seasons debacle. Also if the Jaguars fire Gus Bradley consider that my resignation from the Jags Bandwagon...maybe.

Colts 21, Titans 14 --- The Colts have nothing to play for. They are the four seed in the AFC and will be at home next week. Normally I'd say don't risk playing Andrew Luck or other starters but after getting destroyed by the Cowboys last week I think they will want to get back on track before the playoffs being. Plus the Titans stink so give me the Colts to win.

Giants 27, Eagles 24 --- A disappointing conclusion to the year for the Eagles even if they win this game. I guess that's what happens when you try to use Nacho Sanchize as your starting QB. The G-Men have ODB Jr. so I'll take them.

Cowboys 23, Redskins 20 --- It wouldn't shock me if the Redskins win this game. After beating the Eagles last Saturday it appears Jay Gruden and Bobby III may finally be on the right path. As for the Cowboys they are headed to the playoffs and will most likely be playing next week so it's possible that they don't leave Romo and DeMarco Murray out there for the entire game.

Bears 28, Vikings 24 --- CHI +6.5 Jay Cutler audition time. The Bears will likely be making a lot of changes this offseason and Cutty is probably one of them if they can find somebody to trade for him. It wouldn't shock me if he plays well and the Bears get a win today.

Packers 31, Lions 17 --- GB -7 The Lions haven't won in Green Bay since 1991 and with the NFC North title on the line I don't see that changing. The Packers only scored 7 points against the Lions in week 3 but I'll take them to pour it on today.

Saints 24, Bucs 17 --- Thankfully for both of these squads their seasons will finally be over today. The Saints went from a possible Super Bowl contender to a 10-loss team. While the Bucs were labeled the surprise team in the South. Not so much with only two wins.

Panthers 21, Falcons 20 --- CAR +3 I just have a hunch that Mike Smith will botch this game in the end. The Panthers have won three in a row despite not having Cameron Newton for one of them. I'll take the Panthers to get the road win to clinch the division.

P.S. Whoever wins this game, I'm taking outright next week. Free money.

49ers 17, Cardinals 9 --- I just have no confidence in the Cardinals ability to score. Logan Thomas should not be an NFL starting quarterback...either should Ryan Lindley have been. If the Cardinals don't get a defensive touchdown I don't see them making it to double digit points as they will likely limp into the playoffs. Hey Bruce, call up Kurt Warner to play for one game.

Seahawks 24, Rams 10 --- Seahawks need to win to clinch home field advantage. I think that will happen and I also think they are the clear favorite to get back to the Super Bowl in the NFC because their defense has become amazing again.

Broncos 31, Raiders 17 --- Broncos need to win to secure a first round bye. The Raiders haven't won two in a row since October of 2012. I'll take the Broncos.

Chargers 24, Chiefs 17 --- If the Chargers can beat the Alex Smith-less Chiefs they will be in the playoffs and the Ravens will be out. So that's what I'm rooting for. I just have a feeling the Chargers are going to blow it.

Steelers 34, Bengals 20 --- PIT -3.5 I'm going to be up until about 5:30 AM French time so the Steelers better send me to bed happy. They put up 42 against the Bengals three weeks ago, so I don't see the Steelers offense getting shut down. The key is stopping Jeremy Hill, who has been very good in the past few weeks. If the Steelers can force Andy Dalton to try to beat them then I like the Steelers chances of winning the AFC North.

Enjoy the games people. 

NFL Week 16 Picks

(Sorry for the swear but that is just too good not to post.)

Today is it for the Steelers. Win and you are in the playoffs for the first time since Tim Tebow made you look like a bunch of fools. A lot of other teams need wins to clinch playoffs berths and divisions. Rexy vs. Belichick for possibly the final time. John Football gets to play again and the Cardinals have a chance to be the number one seed in the NFC with Ryan Lindley at the helm. Big day. I went 0-5 in spread picks last week so I have to get some right this week. Onto the picks...

Overall: 128-85   Spread: 32-33-1

Steelers 20, Chiefs 17 --- I want to say I have a bad feeling about this game because that's just what the Steelers have taught my brain to do over the past two years. However, the way they have played over the past weeks has made me kind of confident. I think this will be a somewhat low scoring game due to the Chiefs good pass defense and their awful passing offense. Whoever does a better job of shutting down Jamaal Charles or Le'Veon Bell will likely be the winner. Let's hope it's the home team.

Dolphins 24, Vikings 17 --- I think Joe Philbin is on his way out in Miami. The Phins have a ton of talent and at times have looked awesome this year. But in the past two weeks when they need at least one victory, they laid eggs. At least after watching Hard Knocks a few years ago Philbin did not seem like an exciting guy who would get his team pumped up to play. Maybe the Dolphins should think about bringing in REXY for a few years. He'd work wonders with that defense and if he hires the right O-coordinator Tannehill can lead that team to the playoffs.

Ravens 35, Texans 24 --- I love how everybody is saying, "oh the Ravens are rounding into form." Really? They haven't beaten a team that is currently above .500 since week TWO. In fact their Thursday night week two win over the Steelers is the only victory they have against a team with a winning record. They get to play another 7-7 team that won't make the playoffs today in the Texans. The Texans will finish 8-8 but they won't win today. Ravens, YAY.

Lions 21, Bears 0 --- This maybe the first time I've ever predicted a shutout. Jimmy Clausen stinks. The entire Jay Cutler experiment has been awful but benching him is not the solution when Jimmy is the backup. Lions need to win and the Bears are ready to book their tee times.

Browns 20, Panthers 17 --- I know what you all are thinking, "He has to back off on his love for Johnny Football after last week right?" Wrong. Still love him and today is the day he proves he can kind of play in the NFL. I blame the offensive game plan against the Bengals. Why did they run the pistol? JFF never ran that in college and this is the NFL. Give me the Brownies to get to 8 wins in the first time in forever.

Saints 30, Falcons 24 --- The Saints lost to the Falcons in week one but I think they may have finally figured some things out against the Bears on Monday night. I know they have lost four in a row at home but I just can't see them losing another one.

Packers 30, Bucs 20 --- TB +12.5 While it would make all the sense in the world for the Packers to roll the Bucs after losing to the Bills last week, I think this one could be close for awhile. I also think a double digit home dog is just a good bet to make. The Bucs are 0-6 at home so that doesn't help my case but they have been in most of their games.

Patriots 24, Jets 17 --- NYJ +10.5 Same thing here with the Jets. Home team as 10 point dog. Plus this will probably be the last time REXY gets to go up against the mighty Belichick. Other than the butt fumble game the Jets are normally competitive with the Pats. If Rexy can find a way to pressure TFB they might keep it close for awhile as long as Geno doesn't turn it over a bunch of times.

Rams 23, Giants 20 --- NYG +6 The six-point spread is just too big for me. I think the Rams are good but they aren't miles ahead of the Giants. And who is going to stop Odell Beckham Jr.? That kid is unstoppable at the moment and as long as Eli doesn't get sack four times or more the Giants offense should be able to score a little. In the end though Eli will probably turn the ball over but I don't expect the Rams to roll the Giants like they did against the Raiders.

Raiders 24, Bills 21 --- OAK +7 Another road dog and this time I think they win outright. I can't believe I'm picking the Raiders to win a game. But the Bills are off a huge home win against the Packers. I just think they are due for a let down and the Raiders have not been terrible ever since their first win against the Chiefs.

Cowboys 24, Colts 21 --- I have no idea who is going to win this game. If DeMarco Murray is out it could be hard for the Cowboys offense to adjust, plus they are only 3-4 at home. As for the Colts though, they are a bit like the Ravens. They don't a ton of wins against good teams. I'll pick the Cowboys because if they win they are in but I'm already thinking about Andrew Luck having the ball in a one possession game late in the fourth.

Seahawks 14, Cardinals 6 --- ARZ +8.5 Ryan Lindley stinks but the Cardinals at home do not. They are 7-0 this year and despite all the doubters are a good football team. I'm not picking them to win because the Seahawks defense will likely devour Lindley but I don't expect them to cover. The Cardinals defense can keep them in the game but the Seahawks will most likely get the win.

Broncos 34, Bengals 10 --- Name one prime time game that Andy Dalton has stepped up and played great. Don't worry I'll wait. I need the Broncos to win for the Steelers playoff/division chances but I also think the Bengals defense could get abused but C.J. Anderson and the Broncos running game. Give me the Broncos to win big.


Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 15 Picks

There are only THREE weeks left in the NFL regular season. I have no idea how the time flew by so quickly. Today and the next two weeks are going to determine a ton for a lot of teams, even the bad ones. JOHNNY FOOTBALL plays today. I, for one, am pumped. I might not even watch the Steelers game at times just to see JFF do the money sign all day long against the Bungals. Onto the picks...

Overall: 117-81   Spread: 32-28-1

Falcons 30, Steelers 27 --- I have an awful feeling bout this game. At this point Julio Jones is still a game-time decision, so my opinion might change if I know he's inactive but at the moment I'm assuming he will give it a go. If number 11 is active, the Steelers have no chance of stopping him. A.J. Green destroyed the Steelers secondary last week and Julio could very well do the same thing. I know most of you readers aren't Steelers fans but Mike Mitchell is the worst player in the NFL and he currently starts at safety for the Steelers. He's cocky even though he accomplishes nothing on the field. Anyways, the Steelers are 1-2 against the terrible NFC South. A loss today to the 5-8 Falcons will likely end their playoffs hopes. It's a must win but these are the games the Steelers have been losing all year long.

Giants 24, Redskins 14 --- The Redskins are a complete debacle. I feel bad for Jay Gruden, who may lose his job. It's all Daniel Synder's fault. He doesn't know how to own a team. I don't understand why every owner doesn't just shadow Bob Craft or the Rooney's or the Ravens guy and a few others the minute they buy the team. It seems pretty simple. Just learn from the best. Anyways, the Giants will probably win out to finish 7-9 to save Coughlin's job, while simultaneously messing up their chances at having a top ten pick.

Patriots 28, Dolphins 20 --- A couple things about this game. I'd be shocked if the Patriots lose this game. The Dolphins have not swept the season series against the Patriots since 2000. That being said I also don't think the Patriots will blow out the Dolphins and cover the nine-point spread. The Dolphins defense is very good and they have the ability to pressure the quarterback, which could fluster TFB. In the end though, the Patriots should get the win to clinch the AFC East.

Chiefs 26, Raiders 17 --- After five straight wins, the Chiefs have dropped three straight and are on the verge of elimination. The Raiders have won two of three, with one of those wins coming over the Chiefs. I don't see win number three coming today for the Raiders though. They are 0-6 on the road and with the Chiefs having their backs against the wall, I'm taking the home team.

Colts 34, Texans 20 --- I don't think either of these teams are good. Here are the seven opponents the Texans have beaten, Titans twice, Jaguars, Browns, Bills, Raiders, and Redskins. Here are the Colts nine victories, Jaguars twice, Redskins, Browns, Bengals, Ravens, Texans, Titans, Giants. So the best win between the two teams is a win over the Bengals or Ravens, who both have been up and down. The Colts have Andrew Luck so they are better than the Texans and will win an clinch the AFC South today, but I'm not expecting them to go anywhere in the playoffs.

Ravens 27, Jaguars 10 --- The Ravens have been blowing out bad teams this season. The Jaguars are 0-6 on the road and are in the race for the number one pick. The Ravens got a huge win last week against the Dolphins and with the Jags, Texans, and Browns remaining on their schedule they have a great chance to get to 11-5.

Packers 27, Bills 20 --- The Bills defense is very good. Last week they allowed only 24 to the Broncos in Denver. The 24 points was the most they've allowed since October 12 when the Patriots hung 37 on them. The Packers offense is equally as impressive, having scored 40 or more points three times in their past five games. I'll take the Packers on the road.

Panthers 24, Buccaneers 17 --- The Panthers have already beaten the Bucs with Derek Anderson at quarterback. At 4-8-1 they are somehow still alive and I think that's the reason I'll take them today. Their blowout win over the Saints last week may have been a turning point for them. That and the Bucs haven't scored more than 17 points in their past three games.

Browns 34, Bengals 24 --- CLE -2 All in on JFF. I don't know why the Bengals are even going to show up. The little man is going to be running all over the place and throwing up money signs every five plays. Josh Gordon is going to have a huge day now that he doesn't have Brian Hoyer throwing to him. Plus it would also help the Steelers if the Bengals were to lose again. So help me out one time Brownies.

Jets 25, Titans 18 --- Aren't you pumped to watch this one? The 2-11 Toilet Bowl!!! The Titans have lost seven games in a row and have gotten destroyed the past three weeks. The Jets aren't all that great either at 0-6 on the road. I'll take the Jets because it would be such a Jet thing to do to win two of their final three to get to 4 wins and ruin their chances of getting a top three pick. I also think that the Titans are worse than the Jets if that's possible.

Broncos 28, Chargers 24 --- SD +5.5 Ever since the Broncos got beaten by the Rams, they have not been blowing teams out. They should have Julius Thomas back at near 100% today but Peyton Manning hasn't thrown for over 200 yards in the past two weeks. Maybe they are ready to have a big game passing but the Chargers are good at home. They also need to keep winning to remain in the playoffs. I'll take the Broncos to win but I think the Chargers cover and possibly win.

Seahawks 17, 49ers 13 --- SF +10 I think the 49ers are done. Harbaugh is on his way out and who knows if Kaepernick will ever be the same as he was during their Super Bowl run. The Seahawks are rolling, having allowed only 20 points total over the past three weeks. With all that being said give me the Niners +10. This is a rivalry game similar to the Steelers/Ravens. These two teams hate each other and if the Niners have any heart at all they show up today and give the Seahawks a battle.

Lions 24, Vikings 14 --- The Vikings are 5-5 with Teddy Bridgewater as their starting quarterback, however they are 1-3 on the road with Teddy. That win came over the Bucs. The Vikings lost 17-3 to the Lions earlier in the season. I'll take the Lions, who need to keep winning to keep pace the NFC.

Eagles 34, Cowboys 24 --- PHI -3.5 I just can't take the Cowboys against the Eagles just a few weeks after witnessing them get destroyed at home on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys are 6-0 on the road this year but the Eagles are 6-1 at home. An Eagles win basically give them a 1.5 game lead in the NFC East. I also don't think that Jason Garrett will make any big adjustments, while Chip Kelly most likely will. Give me the Eagles.

Saints 34, Bears 30 --- OVER 53.5 I have no idea about these two teams. I keep wanting to give the Saints the benefit of the doubt but they stink. You can't get destroyed at home against the Panthers like they did last week and be a good team. The Bears are a mess as well. People are calling out Jay Cutler. Their coach is likely finished in three weeks. I'll take the Saints but then again if it's cold and windy, the Bears could take it. Give me the over though.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 14 Picks

Not a good week 13 of making picks. 8-8 in outright winners and 1-6 on spreads, counting the Thanksgiving games. I swear whenever I say bet the Patriots spread they don't cover just to screw me. It's nice that they lost but then I also lose money so it's almost not worth it. Anyways, only four weeks left in the season. College football is pretty much over so we better enjoy the next few weeks because before you know it football will be gone.

Overall: 108-75   Spread: 30-26-1

Steelers 27, Bengals 24 --- PIT +3 I am very confident in the Steelers for some reason. The loss to the Saints last week was predictable. But they have been very good against teams with winning records, 4-1. The Bengals return home after sweeping a three game road stretch. However the last winning record team the Bengals played they lost 24-3 against the Browns. I just have a feeling Andy Dalton is due for a stinker. Plus the Steelers need this game more. If they lose the season is pretty much over.

Redskins 26, Rams 23 --- WAS +3.5 The Rams beat the Raiders 54-0 last week. Maybe, just maybe they are due for a let down. At least that's what I'm hoping for. The Redskins were in the game against the Colts last week for awhile with Colt McCoy. It's the first game Colt will start at home, so there is the potential for a little boost for the Redskins. I'll take them outright, also because the Rams might overlook the Redskins for their Thursday night game against the Cardinals next week.

Titans 20, Giants 17 --- I'm done with the Giants. I was on the verge of picking the Jaguars last week but I said, "hey maybe the Giants aren't that awful." I was wrong. They stink. 7 straight losses and while the Titans are equally dreadful, I'll take the home team.

Saints 31, Panthers 21 --- Another team that's on a brutal skid, the Carolina Panthers. They have lost six straight, including getting beat up by the Vikings last week. I'll take the Saints to win. I think they figured some things out last week in Pittsburgh.

Vikings 24, Jets 14 --- MIN -6 In games when Teddy Bridgewater does throw an interception. The Vikings are 0-4. In games when he does not throw a pick, the Vikes are 4-1. He has been pretty good in his rookie season so far and if they beat the Jets today at home they will be 6-7 on the year.

Dolphins 28, Ravens 24 --- I'm not sure how much the loss of Haloti Ngata will hurt the Ravens. I realize he's a beast and a great athlete, but give me Vince Wilfork every day of the week over Ngata. After saying that though, I'm picking the Dolphins because he will be out. The 'Phins running game is ranked 10th, so I think they will be able to move the ball.

Colts 28, Browns 20 --- The 3.5 line stinks for the Colts but I'll sill take them to win. I personally think the Brownies should have gone with Johnny Football as their starter over Brian Hoyer. I understand that Hoyer is the guy that led them to a 7-5 record but he has only led the Browns offense to one touchdown in his past 45 possessions. JFF did that on his first drive. I just think a guy like Manziel can give the Browns offense a burst of energy that they need to get into the playoffs. With Hoyer I feel like they are headed for an 8-8 or 9-7 record but that won't be good enough to get in.

Lions 27, Bucs 20 --- The Lions are 5-1 at home and need to keep winning. The Bucs are 2-10 and aren't really playing for anything now that the NFC South leader has five wins. Lions win.

Jaguars 24, Texans 21 --- JAX +6.5 The Jags are about to get hot. One win in a row. Here comes two. Ryan Fitzpatrick had the game of his life last week against the Titans, throwing six touchdowns to no interceptions. That won't happen again. I think the Jaguars keep in close and maybe pull off the upset.

Broncos 31, Bills 24 --- The Broncos are 6-0 at home this year and I don't see their first loss coming to the Bills. I just think that if the Broncos get out to an early lead the Bills don't have the firepower to hang with them.

Cardinals 21, Chiefs 17 --- I'm trying to get off the Cardinals bandwagon but I can't do it just yet. Sure they have stunk on offense over the past two weeks but they return home today where they are 6-0 this season. The Chiefs have lost two in a row and if the Cardinals defense regains their form it could be three losses in a row for the road team.

Seahawks 27, Eagles 21 --- The Eagles are another undefeated home team but I think they go down today. I'm believing in the Seahawks now. Their defense has been dominant over the past two weeks, allowing six points. I think their Super Bowl hangover phase has come and gone and with the NFC West crown in reach they have all the motivation to win this game.

49ers 26, Raiders 14 --- I think the Raiders proved last week that their season goal have been accomplished. They got their win and they can lock up the number pick if they lose out. Niners should win.

Patriots 27, Chargers 20 --- Phil Rivers is 30-6 in December since 2006 but the Patriots just don't lose two in a row. Plus now that they lost to the Packers, they need to keep winning in order to secure home field advantage in the AFC.

Packers 41, Falcons 20 --- No chance the Packers lose on Monday night to the Falcons. They are 6-0 at Lambeau and Aaron Rodgers is just too good.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 13 Picks

Just when I decided to get get cocky about my 12-4 stretch, I crash and burn on Thanksgiving. 0-3 on spreads and only 1-2 in picking winners. Hopefully that's all the humble pie I need. Onto the picks...

Overall: 101-69  Spread: 29-23-1

Steelers 31, Saints 24 --- The Steelers are off a bye, which should help their defense get healthy. The Saints are on the road after losing three straight at home. The Steelers are 4-1 at home this season, while the Saints are only 1-4 away from the SuperDome. Plus Mike Tomlin is 6-1 off a bye during his career. The numbers are in their favor so I'll take the Steelers.

Colts 30, Redskins 20 --- Personally I like that Colt McCoy is getting the start over RG III but I'm not sure I understand why at this point. I get that the Redskins are starting to get a little tired of Bobby Griffin but if you don't play him, what's the ultimate goal? Is Colt McCoy really you're future. Just RG III play and if he stinks or gets hurt than you can justify moving on from him this offseason rather than wasting another season next year with him as the starter again. Colts win a home.

Texans 24, Titans 14 --- HOU -6.5 The Titans are not god and the Texans are going to be an 8-8 football team. No Ryan Mallett doesn't hurt the Texans. They will be just fine with the Amish Rifle leading them against the Titans, who they already beat 30-16 this year.

Bills 26, Browns 24 --- I am just going to start picking against the Browns every week from now. I don't like it when the Browns have a winning record. How are they 7-4? Stupid Mike Smith gave them last weeks game against the Falcons because he doesn't know how to use timeouts correctly. Give me Bills at home to keep their playoff chances alive.

Ravens 28, Chargers 20 --- The last time the Chargers came across the country to play a 1 o'clock game they lost 37-0 to the Dolphins. I'm starting to think the Ravens are the best team in the AFC North and I think they will take down the Chargers at home today, where they are 4-1 this year.

Giants 27, Jaguars 20 --- I want to pick the Jaguars so badly. The Giants have lost six in a row and they are 1-4 on the road. Jacksonville has been bad and Blake Bortles just refuses to throw the ball to his own team during his rookie season. I'll take the Giants but if they lose, I'll be chanting fire Coughlin.

Bengals 31, Bucs 20 --- Can the Bengals have an easier schedule please? Their last four games include tough match-ups against the Jaguars, Browns, Saints, and Texans. Now they get the 2-9 Bucs, who have not won a home game this year.

Rams 24, Raiders 20 --- The Raiders are 0-5 on the road this year but they are fresh off their first victory of the season and they've had a long break. The Rams schedule has been brutal this year. The Raiders will be the first team with a losing record that they've played since week two. Nine straight games against teams that could end out in the playoffs. Hopefully they don't play down to their competition today.

Vikings 20, Panthers 17 --- UNDER 41 This one could go either way. I'll take the Vikings since it's in Minnesota plus they could get to Cam Newton today. The Panthers have not won since October 5 and since their 37-37 tie against the Bengals, the Panthers have not scored more than 21 points in a game.

Cardinals 24, Falcons 17 --- ARZ -2 The Falcons have yet to beat a team outside the NFC South. They should have beaten the Browns last week but their coach is a dope. I'll take the Cardinals to bounce back today. Their offense should let better against an average Falcons squad compared to the Seahawks defense they played last week.

Patriots 34, Packers 20 --- NE +2.5 The Packers are 5-0 at Lambeau Field this season but the Patriots are just smoking people recently. I said last week I wasn't going to allow myself to pick against the Pats anymore so that's what I'm doing. If they win this game though be prepared for everybody to proclaim the Patriots the Super Bowl champions already.

Chiefs 28, Broncos 24 --- I'm starting to lose faith in the Broncos. They are only 2-3 on the road and haven't looked good the past two weeks. I think the Chiefs loss to the Raiders was a classic trap game on a Thursday night. They have had plenty of time to regroup and prepare for this one. Arrowhead should be rocking and if the Chiefs can get to Peyton they could get the win.

Dolphins 28, Jets 17 --- Thank goodness we get to watch the Jets on Monday Night Football again. This should be fun. I guess it could be interesting to see how long Geno Smith plays. He could throw three first half picks and Matt Simms might find his way into the game. If the Dolphins lose this one they should just forfeit the rest of the season.

Enjoy the games people.

THANKSGIVING FOOTBALL

HUMBABE. A tradition unlike any other. Thanksgiving football. Nothing better. Turkey, stuffing, pie, football, and some beers. Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday for so many reasons but the slate of games this year and also the snow yesterday, has me very excited. I went 3-1 in for spreads for the fourth straight week. That's 12-4 if you're counting. Onto the picks...

Overall: 100-67  Spread: 29-20-1

Lions 21, Bears 17 --- UNDER 47.5 My usual Thanksgiving tradition is taking the Lions no matter what the spread is. The line is Lions -7 and I'm not too sure what to make of either team at the moment. The Lions have lost two in a row, while the Bears have won two straight. Last year the Lions won their first thanksgiving game in nine years by defeating the Aaron Rodger-less Packers 40-10. I'll take the Lions to win because they are the better team I think but give me the under. The Lions haven't scored a touchdown in two games and their defense, despite getting roughed up by the Patriots, is solid. The Bears on the other hand have been awful on defense this season and the offense hasn't been outstanding. I'll take my chances on this being a low scoring affair.

Cowboys 27, Eagles 21 --- DAL -3 Remember the last time Nacho Sanchez played on Thanksgiving? If you forgot there was this little play called the "Butt Fumble". Since Mark took over for Nick Foles, the Eagles are 2-1, both of their wins came at home, with the loss coming on the road to the Packers. I think that trend continues. The Cowboys are only 3-3 at home this year but they've been good on Thanksgiving recently, having won 6 of 8. I'll take them to win and get to nine wins on the season.

49ers 24, Seahawks 21 --- SF -1 I just don't like the Seahawks. Once every year I just realize that I dislike them a lot. That happened last Sunday after they beat the Cardinals and ruined a few parley's I had going. The Niners have not been too impressive recently barely beating the Giants and the Redskins but they got those wins to get to 7-4. I'll take the Niners at home because I think these two teams will spilt their season series so I'll take the home team. Also I think the Seahawks win over the Cardinals used a lot of emotion, while the Niners were more in a trap game situation.

Happy Thanksgiving to everybody who reads this. I really appreciate it.

NFL Week 12 Picks

I don't like Steelers bye weeks. It doesn't even feel like an NFL Sunday if the Steelers aren't playing until next Sunday. I get the value of a bye week, especially this late into the season but I just want the Steelers to play dammit. As for picks I am rolling when it comes to spreads. For three straight weeks I've gone 3-1. That's 9-3 people. Outright picking games...well, not so much. 8-5 last week. Thanks TFB and the stand up comedian that played running back against the Colts. Onto the picks.

Overall: 91-62  Spread: 26-19-1

Falcons 24, Browns 17 --- The Falcons have yet to beat a team outside of the NFC South. At 4-6 they are somehow leading their division. The Browns are 6-4 but for some reason I have a feeling the wheels are about to come of the Brownies bus. That's probably because they are the Browns after all. They have had a ton of injuries on defense and their offense is not explosive. Give me the Falcons at home.

Eagles 34, Titans 17 --- The Eagles are good. The Titans stink. Give me the Eagles at home.

Patriots 27, Lions 17 --- I'm never picking against the Patriots again. I've officially learned my lesson. They very well may run the table to finish at 14-2 (actually I'm going to pick the Packers next week). Either way it's same old same old for New England. They will likely have the number seed in the AFC and then lose in the AFC Championship.

Packers 24, Vikings 21 --- MIN +7.5 I think this is a trap game for the Packers. With the Patriots coming up next week in a possible Super Bowl preview they very well may overlook the 4-6 Vikings. The Packers did beat the Vikings 42-10 earlier this season, but that was on a Thursday night in Lambeau with no Teddy Bridgewater for the purple team. I think the Vikings keep it close but the Packers will walk away with the win.

Colts 35, Jaguars 20 --- The Jaguars are 0-5 on the road and only once have they been even close to getting a road victory. As for the Colts, who will win this game, I'm starting to believe they are vastly overrated. Everyone loves Andrew Luck, including myself, but who have they beaten that makes you go wow the Colts are really good. The Bengals 27-0 home win was impressive but are the Bengals really good? They also beat the Ravens at home. Other than that their wins are over the Giants, Titans, Texans, and Jaguars. They have losses to the Broncos, Eagles, Steelers, and Patriots. The Steelers might not be great but losing to the Patriots and Broncos doesn't look great, especially by getting physically dominated by the Patriots and they were losing to the Broncos 24-0 before losing by seven.

 Bengals 27, Texans 20 --- CIN +2.5 I'm not sold on the Bengals. One week they look awesome and the next they look like the Bungals. I'll take them today on the road and pray that Andy Dalton plays well. AJ Green appears to be healthy and they get Gio Bernard back today. If the Bengals can force the Meat Mallett to turn the ball over once or twice Cincy should get the road win.

Bears 27, Bucs 20 --- Both of these teams kind of stink. The Bucs are still somewhat in contention with two victories but DA BEARS are pretty much done at 4-6. Even if they win today to get to 5-6 they still have the Lions twice, the Cowboys, and the Saints remaining. They won't get past eight wins if they even get to that.

Cardinals 21, Seahawks 17 --- ARZ +7 I said last week I won't pick against the Cardinals until they lose. The Cards have won six in a row and only once this season have they allowed a team to score more than 20 points. They have a chance to basically claim the NFC West today while also almost eliminating the defending Super Bowl champs from playoff contention. They won in Seattle last year and I think they can do it again.

Chargers 24, Rams 21 --- The Rams have beaten the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks. They are the opposite of the Steelers who play down to their competition. They get up for big games and win them. I don't really know what to make of the Chargers at 6-4. Other than their Seahawks win, none of their wins are impressive. They are 4-1 at home though, so I'll pick them today but it could be a nail biter.

Dolphins 24, Broncos 21 --- MIA +7 I have no confidence in this pick and I really don't know why I'm doing it. The Broncos are off an upset loss to the Rams so I have a feeling returning to Denver where they are 5-0 could be a big boost. I can see them rolling the Dolphins at home. However they have a ton of injuries on offense and the Dolphins can pressure the quarterback. If they can get to Peyton and he doesn't have Julius Thomas and Manny Sanders isn't at full strength the Dolphins could pull off this upset. I do stink at picking Dolphins games though...

49ers 27, Redskins 14 --- I have a feeling the Redskins are on the verge of a meltdown. Jay Gruden basically told Bob Griffin to shut up on Monday after Bobby said his teammates need to play better. That Bob Griffin guy is a diva. Anyways I betting that his teammates are on the side of the coach and might just let Aldon Smith have a few free runs at the QB. Give the Niners at home.

Cowboys 27, Giants 20 --- If the Cowboys win they will get to 8-3. It's going to make things very difficult for them to inevitably finish 8-8. I don't think they will lose five straight, so the Cowboys might just get to 9 wins. They are 4-0 on the road and Tony Romo has been very good recently in JetLife Stadium. Also it isn't December yet so he should play well after the bye week. The G-Men have lost five straight and I don't see thing getting better for them.

Jets 24, Bills 17 --- The Jets are 0-4 on the road but is this really a road game since they are playing in Detroit? I'll take the Jets because they should have some confidence after beating the Steelers and I think the Bills snow issues could hurt them. They didn't practice for a long time, while the Jets did.

Saints 34, Ravens 27 --- I have no idea why I still think the Saints are good when they've proven to me all year that they stink. They have lost two straight at home, which never happens. Frankly I think they are a soft team. I'm still picking them to beat the Ravens though because I trust Drew BREEEEESSSSS to get the job done at home on a Monday night.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 11 Picks

It is already week 11. The season is more than halfway over and that makes me very upset. Pretty soon the season will be over and the only thing anybody will talk about is the NBA and LeBron. Can't wait for that... Anyways I had a good week picking last Sunday (10-2 outright and 3-1 spreads). Onto the picks.

Overall: 83-57   Spread: 23-18-1

Chiefs 24, Seahawks 21 --- This one is a toss up to me. I think Arrowhead will be rocking today because they are trying to set a new sound record or something. The Chiefs have won 6 of 7 but it still seems like they have to prove that they are good. The Seahawks have won three straight after losing two in a row but those wins are over the Panthers, Raiders, and Giants. I'll take the Chiefs at home but I'm not too confident in it.

Panthers 27, Falcons 24 --- I might be dead wrong about this pick but I have a feeling the Panthers are going to play well today. They can't play as bad as they did last week I'm guessing. Cam Newton shouldn't face as much pressure today as he did against the Eagles since the Falcons rank second to last in sacks. Plus it's not like the Falcons are all of sudden back after beating the Bucs last week.

Saints 31, Bengals 28 --- CIN +7 The Bungals looked terrible the last time we saw them against the Browns. The Saints haven't been great either at 4-5 but they do lead the NFC South. They are at home, where they normally win (minus last week) so I'll give them the edge but I don't think they cover the touchdown spread.

Redskins 26, Bucs 17 --- The Redskins have won 2 out of 3 and are off a bye. Tampa Bay is dreadful but they did beat the Steelers so there's that. The Redskins should win this game at home to improve to 4-6. If they don't they might as well bench RG III for the rest of the year to prevent injuries.

Broncos 34, Rams 20 --- OVER 51 The Rams recent schedule has been brutal. After starting the season against Minnesota and Tampa Bay they have since played Cowboys, Eagles, 49ers (twice), Seahawks, Chiefs, and Cardinals. Sitting at 3-6 without Sam Bradford isn't that bad of an accomplishment. They do get the Broncos today so 3-7 is likely but at least the Rams can feel good about something right? Also take the over 51 because in 6 out of 9 games for the Broncos they have gone over that number.

49ers 28, Giants 20 --- The Niners need to keep winning if they want to make the playoffs and the Giants stink. The G-Men have lost four in a row to good teams (Dallas, Philly, Indy, and Seattle) but I don't see them pulling off the upset today even though it is at home and they are playing a west coast team at 1 PM.

Bears 24, Vikings 20 --- The Bears cannot be as bad as they have been over their past two games. Sure the players might not like each other and the coach is probably on his way out but they can't be 106-37 bad. They are also 0-3 at home this year so maybe I should take the Vikings but I won't.

Texans 20, Browns 17 --- HOU +3.5 The Browns have won 5 of 6. What planet am I on? Those wins are against some lesser competition (Titans, Raiders, and Bucs) but they are beating the teams they are supposed to beat. I think they will slip up today though when the Texans come to town and Ryan "The Meat" Mallet makes his first NFL start. The Texans are off a bye and have a very good turnover differential despite having Ryan Fitzpatrick being their quarterback for nine games. As long as Mallet protects the ball they could beat the Browns.

Chargers 34, Raiders 24 --- The Chargers have lost three games in a row with their last win coming against the Raiders coming over a month ago. They are off a bye and return home so they should win against the 0-9 Raiders.

Cardinals 23, Lions 20 --- I am going to keep picking the Cardinals until they lose. I don't care that Drew Stanton is the starter now that Carson Palmer is hurt. The Cardinals just keep winning and I don't think the QB position defines them. The Lions are a sneaky 7-2 but going into Arizona where the Cardinals are 5-0 won't be easy.

Packers 34, Eagles 28 --- Can we just give Aaron Rodgers the MVP right now? 25 touchdowns. 3 interceptions. His QB rating is 120! He's been awesome and I don't see the Eagles defense shutting him down today. Nacho Sanchez might keep it close if it becomes a shoot out but I'll take the Packers.

Colts 34, Patriots 30 --- I'm already prepared to be wrong in this game. The Patriots might go into Indy and torch the Colts defense and then force a handful of Andrew Luck turnovers. That probably will happen but I'm not that smart and I don't like the Patriots so I'll take the Colts. This game probably means more to the Colts since it would give them a  huge win taking down the power of AFC and putting themselves in the race for the number one seed.

Steelers 24, Titans 21 ---TEN +6.5 I'm not sure what to make of this game. I generally have a good feeling about how the Steelers will play. Last week's loss to the Jets was not surprising at all, hard to watch but not shocking. The Steelers have lost two in a row to the Titans so I have a feeling this game could be close. I think the fact that the Steelers just lost to a one win team should motivate them to get their act together and beat a two win team this week. If they lose though. FIRE EVERYONE.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 10 Picks

I am at the Steelers Jets game right now. I wrote this post last night, so if some injury talk is wrong or the lines have funny numbers cut me some slack. Let's get right to the picks.

Overall: 73-55  Spread: 20-17-1

Jets 20, Steelers 17 OT --- NYJ +4.5 You read that correctly folks. I am taking the Jets to win this game outright. First off I have never seen the Steelers win in person. They are 0-2 with two overtime losses to the Jaguars and the Jets. Secondly, I just have a strange feeling that the offense is going to fall back to earth and the Jets running game will gash the mediocre Steelers defense. I hope I'm wrong and Big Ben throws another six touchdowns so I'll be able to wave my Terrible Towel all day but I am nervous that won't happen.

Chiefs 24, Bills 21 --- KC Pick 'em --- In this one I just think the Chiefs are the better team. They have won five of six and have been handling teams pretty easily. The Bills are only 2-3 vs AFC teams if that means anything. In all likelihood Kyle Orton turns the ball over more than Alex Smith, so give me the Chiefs on the road.

Lions 20, Dolphins 17 --- Like I say every week, there is really no reason for me to pick the Dolphins game. They always do the opposite of what I say. Last week I picked the Chargers to win and the Dolphins shut them out 37-0. I'll pick against them again because the Lions are sneaky good and they have a very good defense. So that means the Dolphins will win now.

Cowboys 31, Jaguars 21 --- Even if Tony Romo doesn't play the Cowboys cannot lose to the Jaguars in London. They just can't. Feed DeMarco Murray the ball all day and make Brandon Weeden a non-factor. If the Cowboys do lose their third straight though, hello 8-8.

P.S. Move the Jaguars to London for good.

Saints 34, 49ers 27 --- Are the Saints home? Yes. Give me the Saints then. They don't lose in New Orleans and the Niners apparently aren't all the good. I don't know how they failed to beat the Rams at home last week. The Jim Harbaugh era might actually be ending, especially if they fall below .500 after today.

Ravens 28, Titans 17 --- The Ravens four losses are to the Steelers, Colts, and twice to the Bengals. All of those teams have winning records, I was going to say they were all good team but who knows about the Bungals after their last performance. The Ravens have been taking care of their lesser opponents, which I think is something they will do today to the 2-6 Titans.

Bucs 23, Falcons 21 --- Something has to give in this game. The Falcons are 0-4 on the road this season and Matt Ryan hasn't won an outdoor game since about 2012. The Bucs are 0-4 at home. I'll take the Bucs because the Falcons appear to be a mess, with a coach on the verge of being fired.

Broncos 34, Raiders 27 --- OAK +12 The Broncos are still a very good team despite getting crushed by the Patriots last week. I picked them to win but I was wrong, New England just has Peyton's number in Foxboro. Anyways, the Broncos will not lose two in a row thanks to the fact that they get to play the winless Raiders. I'm starting the believe that the Raiders are going 0-16. Only one of their remaining opponents has a losing record at the moment. That's the Rams, who they would have to play on the road. With all that being said take the Raiders and pray they cover.

Cardinals 24, Rams 14 --- All in on the Cardinals. I sneaky think they are going to the Super Bowl. I don't want to commit to it just yet but I honestly wouldn't surprise me at this point. The Rams are off a surprising upset over the Niners but I don't think they pull off another one. Give me the Cards at home.

Seahawks 31, Giants 21 --- The Giants had the worst game plan of all-time last Monday night against the Colts. They apparently did not watch any film of the Steelers offense torching the Colts defense. I don't see things going their way today in Seattle. The Seahawks haven't been dominant but they still keep winning at home.

Packers 34, Bears 21 --- OVER 53 The Bears are a mess and the Packers have Aaron Rodgers. I think Rodgers has the potential to have a massive game against the Bears defense. I'll take the over in this one because if the Packers jump out to a huge lead the Bears will score a few late touchdowns.

Eagles 28, Panthers 24 --- I am all in on the player formerly know as Nacho Sanchize. That's right I think Mark Sanchez will fill in very well for Nick Foles basically because Chip Kelly is a wizard. I do think the Panthers will give the Eagles a game however because the Eagles defense will have to adjust to live without DeMeco Ryans.

Enjoy the game people.

NFL Week 9 Picks

It's the first NFL weekend of November. No more baseball so it is officially Football time. The only sad thing is that the NFL season will be half over after this week. There are a few big games this week so let's get right to it.

Overall: 65-51  Spread: 17-16-1

Browns 24, Bucs 20 --- TB +7 This would be such a Brownies move to lose to the 1-6 Buccaneers. Oh wait, the Steelers lost the Bucs... Wow that just made me really upset. The Bucs have one win and it's over the Steelers. Imagine if the Steelers hadn't blown that game? They'd be 6-2 and sitting pretty atop the AFC North. Anyways the Browns should win since they are at home where they are 3-1 this year. But I don't think they cover the spread.

Cardinals 27, Cowboys 21 --- ARZ +3 I'm all in on the Cardinals. Carson Palmer has ONE interception this year. What planet am I on? One?!? Sure he's only played in four games but still ONE?!? Tony Romo has a back issue and may not be all that effective. Also the Cardinals run defense has allowed the second fewest yards this season so I'm predicting DeMarco Murray's 100 yard game streak will end. Give me the Cards.

Eagles 28, Texans 21 --- I think the Eagles are the better team but I want to talk about J.J. Watt calling out Titans QB Zack Mettenberger for taking a selfie before his first NFL start. Watt wasn't pleased with Mettenberger and his supposed lack of seriousness about the game or the NFL. Who made you the Brian McCann of the NFL bro? Worry about the Texans and not about some rookie on the Titans. I sort of liked J.J. Watt but he kind of seems like a hardo meathead now. Good for you that that's what got you motivated to beat the awful Titans but worry about your own mediocre team.

Chiefs 31, Jets 14 --- I've always like Michael Vick but I think he's finished. I doubt he will fare much better than Geno Smith has. The Chiefs have been very good after their 0-2 start, winning 4 of 5 and I'm assuming they will win today. The best thing for the Jets to do is to lose out and try to get the number one pick and pray that Jameis A. enters the draft and B. decides to stop being a dope.

Bengals 34, Jaguars 17 --- I believe it was Peter King who said that Gus Bradley might be in trouble as the Jaguars coach. If they fire Gus I'll be off the Jags bandwagon. You can have your old ladies wearing jeans in the stadium pool. Give me Gus. I understand that 1-7 doesn't look good but they are playing with a rookie quarterback who throws an interception on every other drive and they also have no talent. They aren't going to win today because they are awful on the road and the Bengals are very good at home but give Gus a chance...Or move the team to London and not LA. Don't want, Need a London football club.

Chargers 28, Dolphins 24 --- SD +3 Per usual I have no idea who to pick in the Dolphins game. I'll go with the Chargers since they are off a longer break and I think Phil Rivers will get the job done. But the 1 PM start on the east coast worries me a little bit plus the Dolphins have been playing pretty well, having won three of four. All three of those wins came away from Miami though. I'll probably be wrong but I'll take the Chargers.

Vikings 24, Redskins 17 --- Wait did I hear Bobby Griffin III is playing for the Redskins? Yep. Well then give me the Vikings. If I were Jay Gruden I would have stuck with Colt McCoy for another week. I think he gave the Redskins a serious boost in confidence on Monday night against the Cowboys. I just have a feeling RGIII isn't really ready to go and it wouldn't shock me at all if he A. fails to finish the game or B. refuses to run thus making the offense horrible.

Seahawks 35, Raiders 14 --- The spread for this game is Seahawks -15. That's so big that I almost want to take the Raiders but they are the 0-7 RAYYDERS. The Seahawks will win this game.

49ers 26, Rams 17 --- The 49ers have already defeated the Rams three weeks ago. The Rams had a 14-0 in the first game but then got outscored 31-3 to finish the game. The Niners are off a bye and a beat down from the Broncos. I'll take the Niners to get back on the right path.

Broncos 34, Patriots 27 --- First off the Broncos have only played two road games this year compared to five at home. How is that even possible? Anyways Gillette Stadium is going to be a wind tunnel this evening and we all know that Peyton throws some ducks and overall has not been great against the Patriots. With all that being said I'm taking the Broncos to win outright. I'm just not in love with the Patriots even though they have won four in a row. They are a good team don't get me wrong but I think the Broncos are superior to them. I think TFB will get pressured and the Broncos defense won't allow them to score north of 30 points. Give me the Broncos on the road.

Steelers 23, Ravens 20 --- Let me say I have zero confidence in this pick. Last week I honestly thought the Steelers were going to beat the Colts. I just don't know if they are good enough to win three games in a row. The Ravens already crushed the Steelers 26-6 in week two. I'll take the Steelers because more often than not these two teams split the season series and it's at Heinz Field, where the Steelers are 3-1 this year, but if the Steelers offense goes back to being inconsistent they will probably lose to the Ravens.

Giants 34, Colts 30 --- OVER 51.5 I originally was going to go with the Colts in this one but I think the fact that the Giants are off a bye and the Colts defense looked liked swiss cheese last week swayed me. Plus I heard that Andrew Luck is only .500 on the road during his career. I think this game will high scoring assuming Eli isn't atrocious. Give me the Giants to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 8 Picks

Well I didn't wake up early enough to make a pick for the Lions Falcons game in London. That's probably a good thing because I didn't have the Falcons winning. I love London football again. Need a team over there pronto.

Overall: 57-46  Spread: 15-14-1

Chiefs 27, Rams 21 --- STL +7 Both teams are off an upset victory. I don't believe that the Rams are a very good team but I think the Chiefs are pretty decent. I'll take them at home but it could be a close one.

Texans 30, Titans 21 --- It's the start of the Zach Mettenberger era in Tennessee. Unfortunately for the rookie quarterback he will be introduced to J.J. Watt today. He doesn't run and he doesn't leave the pocket. The Texans get the win.

Bucs 17, Vikings 14 --- Three games into the Teddy Bridgewater era, the Vikings are 1-2 and Teddy has five interceptions to only one touchdown. The Bucs are 0-3 at home but they are off their bye. I'll give the edge to Tampa.

Seahawks 31, Panthers 24 --- I won't give out anymore Seahawks spreads because they embarrassed me last week when I said they'd crush the Rams. I'll pick them again because I still think they are a very good team and the Panthers defense has been brutal in recent weeks.

Ravens 27, Bengals 24 --- The Bengals shutdown the Ravens and Joe Flaccccooo in week one. Since then the Bengals were being hailed as the best team in the AFC and the Ravens dealt with a bit of a controversy. Now the Bengals are turning into the Bungals again and the Ravens are 5-2. I'll take the Ravens to win and take control of the AFC North.

Dolphins 26, Jaguars 17 --- I think I am actually to going to get a Dolphins pick correct today. They have to go into Jacksonville and get a win. The Phins should be able to force a few Blake Bortles interceptions and get the victory.

Patriots 30, Bears 20 --- NE -6.5 Jay Cutler has played against the Patriots twice in his career. He has lost both of those games by 34 and 29. Brian Urlacher called him out this week. The Bears are fighting with each other. The Patriots are 3-0 at home and haven't played since last Thursday. I'll take the Patriots to improve to 6-2.

Jets 24, Bills 20 --- NYJ -3 At 1-6 the Jets playoff chances are pretty much over but they aren't that bad of a team. Their six game losing streak was against good, if not great, competition. Packers, Bears, Lions, Chargers, Broncos, and Patriots. Should they have gotten a win or two? Sure but they aren't what their record says they are. I think they get the win today over the Bills at home.

Cardinals 27, Eagles 24 --- I'm starting to believe that the Cardinals are the real deal. They have only thrown one interception this year. That's right a team with Carson Palmer playing quarterback has thrown one INT in six games. I'll take the Cardinals because I think they have the ability to shut down Shady McCoy. As long as they can put up enough points they could be the team that gets to 6-1.

Browns 24, Raiders 20 --- The Browns are in danger of becoming the Brownies again. They lost to Jacksonville last week, they couldn't possibly lose again this week to the 0-6 Raiders. If they do though I'm proclaiming it time for Johhny Football to play.

Colts 27, Steelers 24 --- PIT +4 I really think the Steelers might win this game. I'll take the Colts but I have a feeling the Steelers are going to play well today. I could be dead wrong and Andrew Luck shreds the Steelers poor secondary but if the Steelers win, I'm taking credit for it so it's a win/win situation for me now.

Saints 34, Packers 31 --- The Saints absolutely need to win this game. Despite being at 2-4, they are still right in the hunt for the NFC South crown. They are 2-0 at home and always play better in the dome. Aaron Rodgers has been great and could put up a ton of points against the Saints but I think Drew BREEEEESSSS will play well tonight.

Cowboys 28, Redskins 17 --- Good for Colt McCoy getting another opportunity to play in the NFL again. Too bad for him he's playing in Jerry World on Monday night. DeMarco Murray will probably rush for 100 yards again. The Redskins aren't too good and the Cowboys are.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 7 Picks

While some people complained about Geno Smith and Kirk Cousins throwing pick 6's to end their respective games being so awful because they led to bad beats, I was extremely pleased because it gave me two covers as I went 3-1 for my third straight winning week. Let's hope I can keep that streak going and hopefully the Steelers don't get embarrassed on Monday night. Onto the picks...

Overall: 49-40  Spread: 14-10-1

Ravens 34, Falcons 21 --- Joe Flaccooooo was awesome last week in Tampa Bay. He had five touchdown passes in 16 minutes. That performance can only mean he's due to lay an egg today. That being said, I'll still take the Ravens to win because the Falcons are a gosh darn debacle on the road.

Redskins 27, Titans 20 --- The Titans and the Redskins depress me. The fact that I'm not sure who to pick because Jake Locker is questionable is ridiculous. Jake Locker?!? He's not even that good. He's better than Charlie Whitehurst though. Hell, he might even be better than Kirk Cousins. His pick six against the Cardinals last week was great for me but who was he throwing that ball to? I think he had money on the Cardinals to be honest. These teams stink. This game is not worth watching. Give me the Skins at home.

P.S. I'm starting to be on the side that the Redskins is a horrible name for a team, same with the Indians. I'm not requesting them to change their name, I don't care that much, but if you really think about it Redskins just doesn't sound like a respectful tribute to Native Americans.

Seahawks 35, Rams 17 --- SEA -6.5 This is probably a square pick but give me the Seahawks today. I'd take them if they were minus 14. There is no way they lose two in a row. The Seahawks have won 16 of the last 18 games against the Rams.

Browns 24, Jaguars 17 --- It would be such a Brownies move to lose this game to the Jaguars. They looked very good last week when they crushed the Steelers and my self confidence. Johnny Football is an afterthought due to the play of Brian Hoyer. I'll take the Browns as they should win this game but when they lose I'll have a good chuckle.

Colts 27, Bengals 23 --- The Bengals haven't won in Indianapolis since 1997. They also haven't won a game in nearly a month. Meanwhile the Colts have won four in a row. Another reason why I like the Colts is that they are off a long week after beating the Texans on a Thursday night and the Bengals are off a tie to the Panthers. The Colts could be fresher and they are at home.

Bills 20, Vikings 17 ---I have no idea who will win this game. I'll take the Bills since they are at home. Also if Teddy Bridgewater throws three interceptions and has a QBR of 2.5 again like he did last week against the Lions the Vikings have no chance. He probably won't be that bad but I think Kyle Orton is less likely to turn the ball over multiple times than Teddy.

Bears 28, Dolphins 24 --- I'm 1-5 picking Bears games and I'm 1-4 picking Dolphins game. If I pick either team to win, they lose. If I pick them to lose, they win. The chances these two teams tie is very possible because they have my mind in a pretzel. I'm not even sure why I'm picking this game.

Lions 23, Saints 17 --- The Lions defense is sneaky really good. They have allowed the second fewest yards and they have the allowed the fewest points in the league. No team has scored more than 17 points against them. The Saints are off a bye but they are awful on the road. They are indoors though and the Lions offense hasn't been great especially without Calvin Johnson but I'll give them the edge today.

Packers 30, Panthers 20 --- Aaron Rodgers has been great at home this year. Frankly he's been amazing anywhere this year. 15 touchdowns to only one interception with a QB rating of 111.4 is remarkable. He could be the favorite to win the MVP right now. I'll take the Packers at home over a Panthers defense that hasn't been all that great this year.

Chargers 34, Chiefs 21 --- SD -3 The Chiefs have not won in San Diego since 2007. They have also lost four straight and 11 of 13 against the Chargers. The Chargers are really good and are winning games they are supposed to win this year. I'll take them at home.

Cardinals 31, Raiders 21 --- ARZ -3.5 This line stinks. Why are the 4-1 Cardinals only 3.5 point favorites against the 0-5 Raiders. Sure the Raiders looked alright last week against the Chargers. Derek Carr played very well but I don't see that happening two weeks in a row. The Cardinals can't lose to the Raiders if they have plans on possibly winning the NFC West.

Giants 31, Cowboys 27 --- NYG +6 Stone cold lock. Giants outright in this one. The Cowboys are off their biggest win in about a decade. The Giants got molly whopped by the Eagles last week. It just makes too much sense for the tables to turn. Both teams aren't as good or as bad as they were last week.

49ers 27, Broncos 24 --- SF +7 Remember the Super Bowl? Yeah? Well, the Broncos got crushed by the Seahawks, a team that barley defeated the 49ers to advance to the Super Bowl. People have been so down on the Niners because of the Jim Harbaugh situation but guess what they have won three in a row. Peyton Manning might break Brett Favre's touchdown record today but he won't get the win.

Steelers 20, Texans 17 --- Zero confidence in this pick. J.J. Watt might destroy the Steelers o-line all night. The Steelers offense has been a mess. Their defense isn't that good either. I'm taking the Steelers because they have been alternating wins and losses and this is their week to win. That's my theory and I'm sticking to it.

5 spreads this week. Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 6 Picks

I had a pretty good week five going 10-5 outright despite picking the Chiefs and Texans to win o
outright. I also went 2-1-1 for spreads, so hopefully I can keep it going today.

Overall: 42-34   Spread: 11-9-1

Browns 27, Steelers 24 --- Sadly, I don't think the Steelers are going to beat the Brownies today. They were lucky to hold off the Browns for their week one victory and I think playing in Cleveland today, the Steelers will have a tough time stopping the Browns up-tempo offense. I could be wrong and the Steelers will play like they did in the first half of week one but I think Hoyer leads the Brownies to their third win.

Titans 12, Jaguars 10 --- Welcome to the first edition of the 2014 Toilet Bowl. The Titans have lost four in a row, while the Jaguars have not won this year. In the battle for last place in the AFC South, I'll give the edge to the Titans since they are at home but if Blake Bortles doesn't turn the ball over today, the Jags will have a chance to get their first win.

Ravens 30, Bucs 24 --- Last week I said I was all-in on the Ravens and sure enough they laid an egg against the Colts. I think they'll bounce back today in Tampa against the 1-4 Bucs.

Broncos 34, Jets 7 --- DEN -9.5 Does the 9.5 road favorite line scare me? A little but I'm taking it. The Jets offense is a mess at the moment and Peyton Manning should exploit the Jets secondary. If the Jets can get to Peyton Manning and make him uncomfortable, then maybe they can keep this game somewhat close but right now I don't see that happening.

Vikings 30, Lions 27 --- MIN -2 I'm all in on Teddy Bridgewater. He played very well in his first start against the Falcons. The Lions continue to be the mystifying Lions as they followed a two game winning streak with a loss to the Kyle Orton lead Bills in Detroit. The Lions have 8-8 written all over them. I'll take the Vikings in the state of Minnesota today.

Patriots 24, Bills 20 --- Lord Brady is 22-2 against the Bills. The Pats are off a much needed win over the Bungals last Sunday night. I don't necessarily think they have everything figured out and are on their way to another Super Bowl but I think they will win today to start cementing themselves as the AFC East division leaders once again.

Bengals 24, Panthers 21 --- CAR +7 No A.J. Green for the Bengals will be a challenge for Andy Dalton. Thankfully they are at home, where they have been very good in recent history. The Panthers have been up and down. I'll give the edge to the Bengals because their defense has the potential to stop Cam Newton but I don't think it'll be a blowout.

Dolphins 27, Packers 24 --- An upset special that I'm sure Seth Reale won't like because I'm picking the Dolphins to win. The Fins get Mike Pouncey back and will play him at guard. Knowshon Moreno will also play for the first time since week one. The Packers have scored 80 points in the past two weeks, so they are due for a down week I'd assume. If the Dolphins can keep Aaron Rodgers to under 30 points, the Dolphins might just pull off the upset.

Chargers 31, Raiders 20 --- I don't think the Raiders end out with a win and they might get blow out but it would not shock me at all in the Raiders show up today and give the Chargers a game. Tony Sparano could give them a morale boost in their first game since Dennis Allen was fired.

Seahawks 28, Cowboys 21 --- If the Cowboys want to get their fifth straight win they are going to need DeMarco Murray to have another great game. The Cowboys can easily win this one or at least keep it close if they can run it. If they can't though, add another home win to the Seahawks resume.

Cardinals 35, Redskins 21 --- ARZ -6 Carson Palmer or not the Cardinals are going to want to bounce back from their loss last week to the Broncos. At home against the Redskins is a good way to get back on track. I think Kirk Cousins will throw a few interceptions that will allow the Cardinals to get the win at home.

Falcons 31, Bears 27 --- The Falcons are very good at home and Jay Cutler has not been too good this year. Cutty has thrown four picks over the past two weeks. My guess is whichever quarterback has less turnovers will be on the winning side of this matchup.

Giants 34, Eagles 30 --- Over the past three seasons, each team has three wins against each other. Since 2011 though, the Giants are 2-1 at the Linc. The G-Men have won three in a row and Eli Manning might not be the worst quarterback in the league anymore. Similar to the Falcons/Bears game, I think which ever QB turns the ball over less will give his team a great chance to win.

49ers 26, Rams 20 --- Two years ago the Rams won the season series 1-0-1. However last year the Niners won both games by an average of 17 points. Austin Davis hasn't been too bad for the Rams at quarterback but I trust Colin Kaepernick's ability to get the job done more. Niners win.

Enjoy the games people.

NFL Week 5 Picks

It's official, I am horrible at picking games. I went 4-9 outright last week but I did go 3-1 for spreads somehow. There are some pretty good games today, unfortunately for me I'll be at a wedding this afternoon, forcing me to miss the end of the 1 o'clock games and probably the entire slate of 4 o'clock games. Who gets married on a Sunday in October?!? Have these people never heard of the NFL?

Overall: 32-29  Spread: 9-8

Steelers 24, Jaguars 14 --- Just beat the Jaguars.

Bears 27, Panthers 20 --- The Bears and the Dolphins are two teams I have no idea how to pick for. I say one thing and they do the opposite. I'll take the Bears over the Panthers because the Panthers have looked bad the past two weeks on defense. As long as bad Jay Cutler doesn't show up today the Bears should score enough points to win this one.

Browns 20, Titans 13 --- The Browns are 1-2 and coming off a bye. They could easily have more than one win, since both of their losses have come by a last second field goal. The Titans have been miserable since their week one victory. The Browns are the better team and I think they'll find a way to win this one.

Eagles 30, Rams 20 --- What's wrong with LeSean McCoy? He has only 39 rushing yards in his past two games. I think the Eagles will try to get him going today against a Rams team that is a little beat up on defense. Eagles should win this at home.

Giants 28, Falcons 20 --- NYG -4 The Falcons are 1-9 on the road in their past ten games. The Giants have won two in a row and seem to have figured things out on offense. I'll take the G-Men at home in this one.

Saints 31, Bucs 20 --- Thankfully for the Saints they get to play a home game. The Bucs are off a win so it wouldn't shock me if they start a little slow. Drew BREEEESSS and the offense should carry New Orleans in this one.

Texans 24, Cowboys 21 --- HOU +6.5 Upset special! Give the Texans outright in the battle of Texas. The Cowboys have been impressive over the past three weeks. DeMarco Murray seems unstoppable and their offensive line has been a pleasant surprise. I think the 3-1 Texans have a chip on their shoulder and winning in Jerry World would be a big win for them.

Lions 26, Bills 21 --- Believe it or not but I think Kyle Orton gives the Bills a better chance to win than EJ Manuel. Will they win today against the Lions? Maybe not but I think they will score over 17 points for the first time in three weeks.

Ravens 27, Colts 24 --- Like I said on Thursday, I'm pretty much all-in on the Ravens. I think they are really good now that they have a steady run game. The Colts have won two in a row but those wins came over the Jaguars and Titans. It'll be interesting to see how good the Colts actually are but I think the Ravens end out with the win.

Broncos 31, Cardinals 24 --- ARZ +7.5 Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that the undefeated team in this matchup would be the Arizona Cardinals? Both teams are off a bye, so there is no edge there. The spread is 7.5, which is pretty big. I think they Cardinals are good enough to keep this one within a touchdown, especially if they can get to Peyton. In the end though, I'll take the Broncos.

Chiefs 24, 49ers 21 --- KC +5 Another upset special in the Alex Smith Bowl. Maybe I'm overreacting to the Chiefs victory over the Patriots but they looked very good on Monday night. The Niners beat the Eagles after shutting down Chip Kelly's offense. Colin Kapernick has not been great this season and I think Alex Smith's game management skills could be the difference in this one. If the Chiefs win the turnover battle they could get the road win.

Chargers 31, Jets 17 --- Some people think the Jets will keep this one close. I don't see that happening. Even if the Jets are able to run the ball and stop the Chargers running game the QB's in this game will be the difference. Phil Rivers has been great this year, throwing 9 TD's and only 1 INT. Geno Smith on the other hand may lose his job by the end of the month. Chargers win big.

Patriots 24, Bengals 20 --- I don't know what it is but I can't pick against the Patriots. They stunk on Monday night and they stunk against the Raiders. TFB has looked average. They have no weapons on offense. And the Chiefs ran all over their defense. The Bengals are off a bye and last year the Bengals beat the Patriots and didn't let Lord Brady into the end zone. Everything points to a Bengals win but my brain won't let me pick the them to win.

Seahawks 30, Redskins 21 --- The one thing the Redskins have going for them is that they are home. Other than that the Seahawks have edge. They are more rested and they have better players. Maybe an electric home crowd will give the Skins a boost to start the game but the Seahawks will win.

Enjoy the games people.

Week 5 Thursday Night Pick

Here are five takeaways from week four and also a pick for the Vikings vs. Packers game tonight.

1. Do the Patriots Stink?

After a luck luster performance against the Raiders, the Patriots got smoked in Arrowhead on Monday. They are 2-2 with wins over the Vikings (the week they lost Adrian Peterson) and the 0-4 Raiders. People are starting to realize that Bill Belichick has not done a great job as the GM getting talent for Tom Brady. On twitter it seemed like people were ready to give up on TFB in favor of Jimmy Garoppolo. I can't believe it but I'm on the side of defending Lord Brady, the greatest living American. When you are surrounded by no offensive weapons, a 50% GRONK, and a below-average offensive line the quarterback will struggle. Jimmy's new in town. Do you really think Jimmy is going to the lead the Patriots to the playoffs? The AFC East is still a very weak division and I still think Tommy will turn it around and get the offense going. Will they win the Super Bowl? Probably not but this isn't the demise of Brady just yet. 

P.S. The red Patriots jersey with Pat the Patriot on the helmet are great and the team should wear them full time. 

2. The Ravens Are Good

I'm starting to buy the Ravens as one of the best AFC teams. It pains me to say this but Joe FLACCCCOOO has actually been playing pretty well since week one. He is a jabroni though. The play last week where he fumbled the snap and then just whipped the ball into the end zone to Steve Smith was absurd. Was he throwing it away or was that the play? No Ray Rice has been good for offense as they have been running the ball very well with three different RB's. The defense has only allowed over 20 points once this year. Their remaining schedule doesn't appear to be all that tough, so at the moment it's hard to envision the Ravens missing the playoffs for the second straight year. 

3. Saints and Falcons Road Issues

The Saints and the Falcons are so bad on the road. The Saints are 0-3 on the road this year after going 3-5 away from home last season. 3-8 away from the SuperDome is not good. They thankfully have seven home games left and the NFC South appears to be winnable now that the Panthers have lost two in a row. The Falcons, who are tied for the division lead at 2-2, have gone 1-9 in their past ten road games. They haven't won an outdoor road game since November 2012. If that trend continues they are going to lose at least five of their remaining six games on the road, with the only road game under a roof being in New Orleans. 

4. DAA RAAYYYYDDAAASSS

Welp, the Raiders fired another coach making Tony Sparano the eighth Raiders coach since 2002 when Jon Gruden left. I make fun of the Brownies often, but the Raiders are such a mess. It's sad and I feel bad making fun of them. Hue Jackson was the right guy for the job going 8-8 in 2011 but he got fired for some reason. The Raiders are just a clueless organization at this point. Rumors are they want Jon Gruden to be their coach again. Why is God's name would Gruden want to leave the MNF booth to coach a horrible Raiders team? Why would anybody want to coach there? Dennis Allen will probably find another job in the league but that's probably the last head coaching job he will ever have. They might start 0-10 this year. Their next six games are home versus San Diego and Arizona, at the Browns and Seahawks, home to play the Broncos and then at San Diego. If they don't beat the Browns, their only other possible wins could be the Bills or Rams. Gonna be a long season in Oakland. 

5. Steelers?

"They are the definition of a Jekyll and Hyde football team. Their next two games are against Tampa Bay and Jacksonville. They should win those two games to get to 4-1, but for some reason I think they lose one of those games. In conclusion the Steelers have my mind in a pretzel."

That's what I said about the Steelers one week ago. They lost to Tampa Bay. They better not lose to Jacksonville on Sunday or I will cry. If they win though, I'm still fully expecting another 8-8 season. 

Thursday Night Pick

Packers 35, Vikings 21 --- Since 2010 the Packers are 7-1-1 against the Vikings. Teddy Bridgewater is questionable and might not play. If that's the case I don't expect Matt Cassel to do all that much. The Packers looked great last week against Da Bears. Aaron Rodgers has been great this season, other than the Lions game, throwing 9 touchdowns to only one interception in four games. I'll take the Packers to win relatively easily. 

NFL Week 4 Picks

The NFL returns to London today. Unfortunately for the Brits they get to witness teams with a 1-5 combined record. There are also two more games in Wembley this season and I for one have finally embraced the possibility of a team being in London. Why not? Hell, give 'em two teams. If the Brits can support them it would be pretty cool to have a team from across the pond play in the NFL. Can you imagine a Super Bowl matchup of the Dallas Cowboys vs. the London Redcoats? Not that the Cowboys are getting to a Super Bowl anytime soon but you get the point.  

Another rough week picking games for week three. I once again went 8-8 for outright picks and a stinky 1-3 on spreads. Time to turn it around. Onto the picks...

Overall:  28-20  Spread: 6-7

Steelers 24, Buccaneers 20 --- TB +7.5 I have a bad feeling this game is going to be closer than most expect. The Bucs were horrible against the Falcons last week but they are on a long rest, which could help them. The Steelers are off a big win and return home, so it wouldn't shock me if they start slow and struggle to get a win against an inferior team.

Bears 30, Packers 20 --- I'm selling all my Packers stock. I don't think they are very good and I don't see them going into Chicago and getting a win. The Bears didn't look great against the Jets on Monday but they got the win and have now won two in a row after their opening day loss to the Bills. The Bears secondary is hurting, which could be a problem but rookie Kyle Fuller has been very good to start his career.

Texans 27, Bills 17 --- HOU -3 Both teams are 2-1 after losing last week. I think the Texans are the better team. The Bills weren't horrible against the Chargers last week but I'm starting to get the feeling that they just aren't very good despite their decent start to the season. I'll take the Texans at home. The Texans have also outscored the Bills 52-19 in their last two meetings.

Colts 36, Titans 14 --- IND -7.5 The Colts made me look bad last week by blowing out the Jaguars despite me saying it could be a close one. I also picked the Titans to cover the spread in Cincinnati but that didn't go too well. The Colts are the better team and maybe they figured things out last week against the Jags. They should win this one easily.

Panthers 23, Ravens 20 --- This one is a toss up. I think the Panthers get the win though. They didn't look good against the Steelers last Sunday but they were also without two running backs and then Jonathan Stewart and Mike Tolbert got hurt in the game. If they establish their run game against Baltimore they should be in it. Then just hope Joe FLACCCCOOOO doesn't throw up his patented deep ball, as he hopes for a pass interference multiple times.

Jets 24, Lions 20 --- NYJ +1.5 Despite losing at home last week to the Bears the Jets are still 7-3 at home with Geno Smith as their QB. The Lions are off a nice home win over the Packers but it always seems like the Lions can never put together back-to-back good weeks. As long as Geno doesn't throw another pick six and they don't get any bad calls against them they should be in the game. I'll take the Jets to bounce back after two straight losses.

Raiders 20, Dolphins 17 --- The seem to be a mess at moment. Ryan Tannehill is playing today in London but he could be on a short leash. I've never figured out the Dolphins. If I pick them to win, they lose and vice versa. The Raiders have been bad through three weeks but they hung close to the Patriots last week. Maybe I'm reading into the Tannehill situation but I think it will hurt them this week, especially when playing over the pond.

Chargers 31, Jaguars 14 --- Chargers are good. Jaguars stink. This one shouldn't be all that close unless Blake Bortles is a miracle worker.

Falcons 30, Vikings 24 --- The line in this game stinks. The Falcons are a three point favorite against Teddy Bridgewater making his first NFL start. The Vikings have lost two in a row and the Falcons are off an impressive victory. It would make sense if the Falcons win this one big but the line has my mind very confused. That being said, I'll still take the Falcons on the road.

49ers 27, Eagles 24 --- It wouldn't shock me at all if the Eagles win this game and improve to 4-0 but  I can't see the Niners losing three in a row. I just can't. Colin Kaepernick has not been great to start the year, throwing only four touchdowns to three interceptions. The Eagles have not had good starts to any of their games yet. That could hurt them if they do that today because the Niners will attempt to take the air out of the ball with their run game. I could be wrong and the Niners just aren't that good, but I'm not giving up on them yet.

Saints 31, Cowboys 27 --- The Cowboys have two in a row but their defense is still an issue. They let up 31 points last week to the Austin Davis lead Rams. Their two wins have been against the Titans and Rams, so who knows how good the Boys are just yet. I'll take the Saints to win in JerryWorld because they need it more. They can't fall to 1-3 while the Falcons and Panthers could potentially be 3-1.

Patriots 20, Chiefs 14 --- I'm not sure of what to make of the Patriots so far. Their two wins are over the Vikings and Raiders. They didn't look too impressive last week but they won, which is what they always do. They are going to end up with 12 wins or so but I don't know if they are really that good. Their offense has been very shaky and maybe Lord Brady's days are numbered. Writing this I'm realizing that I'm going to be wrong and TFB will probably throw for 400 yards and have four touchdowns. I'll take the Patriots on Monday night because they are indeed still the Patriots.

Enjoy the games people.