Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL Week 13 Picks


Just when I decided to get get cocky about my 12-4 stretch, I crash and burn on Thanksgiving. 0-3 on spreads and only 1-2 in picking winners. Hopefully that's all the humble pie I need. Onto the picks...

Overall: 101-69  Spread: 29-23-1

Steelers 31, Saints 24 --- The Steelers are off a bye, which should help their defense get healthy. The Saints are on the road after losing three straight at home. The Steelers are 4-1 at home this season, while the Saints are only 1-4 away from the SuperDome. Plus Mike Tomlin is 6-1 off a bye during his career. The numbers are in their favor so I'll take the Steelers.

Colts 30, Redskins 20 --- Personally I like that Colt McCoy is getting the start over RG III but I'm not sure I understand why at this point. I get that the Redskins are starting to get a little tired of Bobby Griffin but if you don't play him, what's the ultimate goal? Is Colt McCoy really you're future. Just RG III play and if he stinks or gets hurt than you can justify moving on from him this offseason rather than wasting another season next year with him as the starter again. Colts win a home.

Texans 24, Titans 14 --- HOU -6.5 The Titans are not god and the Texans are going to be an 8-8 football team. No Ryan Mallett doesn't hurt the Texans. They will be just fine with the Amish Rifle leading them against the Titans, who they already beat 30-16 this year.

Bills 26, Browns 24 --- I am just going to start picking against the Browns every week from now. I don't like it when the Browns have a winning record. How are they 7-4? Stupid Mike Smith gave them last weeks game against the Falcons because he doesn't know how to use timeouts correctly. Give me Bills at home to keep their playoff chances alive.

Ravens 28, Chargers 20 --- The last time the Chargers came across the country to play a 1 o'clock game they lost 37-0 to the Dolphins. I'm starting to think the Ravens are the best team in the AFC North and I think they will take down the Chargers at home today, where they are 4-1 this year.

Giants 27, Jaguars 20 --- I want to pick the Jaguars so badly. The Giants have lost six in a row and they are 1-4 on the road. Jacksonville has been bad and Blake Bortles just refuses to throw the ball to his own team during his rookie season. I'll take the Giants but if they lose, I'll be chanting fire Coughlin.

Bengals 31, Bucs 20 --- Can the Bengals have an easier schedule please? Their last four games include tough match-ups against the Jaguars, Browns, Saints, and Texans. Now they get the 2-9 Bucs, who have not won a home game this year.

Rams 24, Raiders 20 --- The Raiders are 0-5 on the road this year but they are fresh off their first victory of the season and they've had a long break. The Rams schedule has been brutal this year. The Raiders will be the first team with a losing record that they've played since week two. Nine straight games against teams that could end out in the playoffs. Hopefully they don't play down to their competition today.

Vikings 20, Panthers 17 --- UNDER 41 This one could go either way. I'll take the Vikings since it's in Minnesota plus they could get to Cam Newton today. The Panthers have not won since October 5 and since their 37-37 tie against the Bengals, the Panthers have not scored more than 21 points in a game.

Cardinals 24, Falcons 17 --- ARZ -2 The Falcons have yet to beat a team outside the NFC South. They should have beaten the Browns last week but their coach is a dope. I'll take the Cardinals to bounce back today. Their offense should let better against an average Falcons squad compared to the Seahawks defense they played last week.

Patriots 34, Packers 20 --- NE +2.5 The Packers are 5-0 at Lambeau Field this season but the Patriots are just smoking people recently. I said last week I wasn't going to allow myself to pick against the Pats anymore so that's what I'm doing. If they win this game though be prepared for everybody to proclaim the Patriots the Super Bowl champions already.

Chiefs 28, Broncos 24 --- I'm starting to lose faith in the Broncos. They are only 2-3 on the road and haven't looked good the past two weeks. I think the Chiefs loss to the Raiders was a classic trap game on a Thursday night. They have had plenty of time to regroup and prepare for this one. Arrowhead should be rocking and if the Chiefs can get to Peyton they could get the win.

Dolphins 28, Jets 17 --- Thank goodness we get to watch the Jets on Monday Night Football again. This should be fun. I guess it could be interesting to see how long Geno Smith plays. He could throw three first half picks and Matt Simms might find his way into the game. If the Dolphins lose this one they should just forfeit the rest of the season.

Enjoy the games people.

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