Sunday, October 21, 2012

NFL Week 7 Picks


This blog might be a little shorter than most. First of all I want to say that I do not like John Farrell as the new Red Sox manager. Yeah I know I'm talking about baseball on the NFL blog. I just don't feel like he is a great manager. He did next to nothing as the Blue Jays manager. Why should that make me feel confident that his return to Boston will be any better? Anyways onto the picks.

Outright Record: 45-39  Spread: 12-10

Bills 31, Titans 20 --- BUF -4 The Titans did just beat the Steelers but they are 0-3 on the road and their defense isn't very good.

Colts 30, Browns 26 --- The Browns are also 0-3 on the road and just got their first win of the season last week. The Colts should be motivated after getting thumped by the Jets.

Packers 27, Rams 23 --- STL + 5 I think the Rams hang around in this game. I know the Pack looked amazing against the Texans last week but they are playing in St. Louis who are 3-0 at home.

Vikings 17, Cardinals 13 --- Vikings return home, where they are 3-0 this year. The Cardinals are playing John Skelton. It's probably going to be a low scoring defensive battle, so whichever team makes fewer mistakes should win.

Giants 34, Redskins 24 --- I think the fact that the Giants lost to the Redskins twice last season will be a huge motivation for Big Blue. The Redskins defense has not played well all season and I think the Giants defensive line should be able to contain RG III.

Bucs 30, Saints 28 --- TB +2 The Bucs are a better team than people think, especially at home. I know the Saints are off a win and a bye and get Jonathan Vilma back somehow (I'm pretty sure he's suspended). I think the Bucs pull off the upset at home.

Cowboys 24, Panthers 21 --- I'm not to sure who wins this one. Whichever QB makes less mistakes will win. Although both QB's have been turnover machines.

Ravens 27, Texans 24 --- Even though the Ravens lost a bunch of players on defense I think they have an emotionally charged game and beat the Texans in Houston.

Raiders 21, Jaguars 14 --- This game should be fun to watch. Not really. Not at all actually.

Patriots 34, Jets 21 --- I don't understand why Rex Ryan always has to open his mouth when they play the Pats. Just shut up and play the game. I also don't see the Patriots losing their second game in a row to a Jets team that isn't awful but they certainly aren't great.

Steelers 31, Bengals 24 --- This is the season for the Steelers plain and simple. They cannot lose this game to fall to 2-4. They are already 0-3 on the road so I'm very nervous. I don't think the Bengals are as good as they were last year but you never know in division games. They better win that's really all I can say. Just win baby.

Bears 27, Lions 24 --- DET +6.5 I do think the Bears are a very good football team. I also think that the Lions have a lot of fight in them so I doubt they will rollover in a Monday Night game. If they can force the fake Jay Cutler to throw a pick or two they should be able to have a chance to win the game.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

NFL Week 6 Picks


The Steelers are a bad football team. There is no excuse for losing to the Raiders and Titans. Good teams pull those wins out. They should be 4-1 but instead they are 2-3. There playoff chances are getting slim. They really need to finish the year 8-3 now, which is no easy task considering they still have to play the Ravens twice, Giants, Cowboys, and Chargers. If they keep playing they way they are now they will be lucky to win two of those. I didn't even add the games against the Bengals or Brownies which could easily cost the Steelers a win. It's going to be a tough road and I should really think about giving up hope right now but for some reason I still believe they can pull it off. And look on the bright side, at least I'm not a Browns fan. On to the picks...

Outright Record: 39-32 Spread: 9-9

Falcons 41, Raiders 21 --- Falcons should win this game big even though the Raiders are off a bye, which hasn't helped DAY RAYYYDAAASS recently because they have lost their last 4 after one. Plus Matty Ice is home.

Bungals 21, Brownies 20 --- I feel sorry for anybody in the state of Ohio that has to watch this game. I think I would honestly rather watch a Keeping Up With The Kardashians marathon.

Dolphins 17, Rams 12 --- The Rams are 3-2 but they are 0-2 on the road. Meanwhile the Dolphins just beat the Bengals and could easily be sitting at 4-1 if they hadn't lost two overtime games. They should be able to win at home today.

Jets 24, Colts 17 --- NYJ -3.5 I know the Jets are not a very good football team and the Colts just knocked off the Packers. Here's the thing though, last week for the Colts was such an emotional game at home. It will be hard for them to have the same intensity on the road. I think the Jets will force a turnover or two from Andrew Luck and win this game.

Eagles 28, Lions 27 --- DET +3.5 When the Eagles win they don't win by much is my reason for taking the spread. Plus the Lions are off a bye and this is a must win for them. They cannot fall to 1-4 in the NFC North. The Eagles also need this game after losing to the Steelers last week. As long as Mike Vick doesn't fumble the ball every other play and Andy Reid ACTUALLY GIVES THE BALL TO SHADY MCCOY they should be able to win.
P.S. Seriously Andy Reid doesn't know how to coach a team. Last week against the Steelers, Shady killed them but he barely ever got the ball until their last drive which resulted in a TD. Take the ball out of Mike Vicks hands and let Shady run guy.

Bucs 20, Chiefs 17 --- I think both of these teams are better than what their record says. The Chiefs just don't have a QB (good luck with former Brownie great Brady Quinn today) but they can run the ball well. The Bucs are coming off a bye with a 1-3 record. They have been in every game though and could easily be a 2-2 team.

Ravens 27, Cowboys 17 --- BAL -3 I just have a feeling that Joe Flacco plays well today after only scoring 9 points against the Chiefs. Even though the Cowboys just had a bye week I really don't think they are a great football team. Tony Romo cannot afford to throw a pick today or else the Cowboys will go down.

Cardinals 24, Bills 14 --- The Bills have been bad recently (I'm still standing by my prediction that they will make the playoffs though). They aren't the best road team and the Cardinals have had a long rest since their loss to the Rams. They are 3-0 at home and should be ready to go this afternoon.

Patriots 31, Seahawks 20 --- It's so hard to pick against the Seahawks when they are in Seattle. But it's also hard to pick against the Patriots when their offense looks like a well oiled machine. It wouldn't shock me if the Pats finish the year 14-2. They won't win the Super Bowl because they don't play great defense but they will win today.

Giants 27, 49ers 24 --- NYG +6.5 I feel like this spread is an easy on to take. Your going to give me 6.5 points to bet on the defending Super Bowl Champs? Yes please. Anyways the Giants should have the something to prove mentality today in San Fran. Everybody thinks the Niners are the best team in the NFC but the Giants won the NFC Championship last year in their house. I think the Giants travel west and get the W.

Vikings 26, Redskins 21 --- This is the first game outdoors for the Vikings and I'm pretty sure this is the first time I'm picking them this year, so they will probably lose. RGIII is coming off a concussion though and they Vikings don't turn the ball over. They should be able to control the pace of the game and improve to a surprising 5-1.

Texans 34, Packers 23 --- It's starting to become clear that the Packers aren't a good football either. Aaron Rodgers is running for his life at times and the defense isn't great. The Texans should be pumped to be playing in their first Sunday night game. J.J Watt should be able to sack Discount Double Check Man once or twice to get the win.

Chargers 24, Broncos 21 --- I feel like these teams have been on a bunch of prime time games and I'm getting a little tired of seeing them. I think Phil and the Chargers bounce back after losing to the Saints last week. The Chargers are a better football team right now.

Sunday, October 7, 2012

NFL Week 5 Picks




I can never be a bad thing to put a picture of The Chief on my blog. It can't hurt the Steelers chances thats for sure. This week I'm going with the Scott Van Pelt theory on spreads. If the line stinks and just doesn't make sense, I'm taking the points. Also if the Steelers lose today I'm calling it a season. If they fall to 1-3 I'm going to be in a deep depression. Since when have all my favorite teams been this awful? Not never. Sawx lose 93 games. The Steelers are under 500. The Bruins aren't even going to play and the Celtics are old as dirt. Two years ago I was on top of the world. They were all great. Now, not so much.

Outright Record 31-27 Spread 7-7

Steelers 30, Eagles 24 --- I have a few reasons to feel confident. First off Troy Polamalu, James Harrison, and Rashard MenDINGhall all are going to play today. That should help the defense out tremendously and even though I don't love Mendy, he will help the Steelers god awful rushing attack. Another reason is Mike Tomlin has won 4 straight games after a bye week and he has never lost a game when they are below .500 (which is probably like one game total but still). The reason why I'm a bit worried is containing Mike Vick is never an easy task and if he buys time running around the receivers should be able to get open eventually. I'm just hoping he throws an interception or two.

Bengals 31, Dolphins 27 --- The 'phins have played very well the past three weeks. If they could have pulled out an overtime win the past two weeks they could easily be 3-1 like the Bengals. I think they will stay close with the Bengals today but since it's in the Natty I think the Bengals will win.

Packers 35, Colts 24 --- I think this is the week Aaron Rodgers and the offense explodes for the Packers. The Colts defense is not very good. The interesting thing in this game is how motivated the Colts are at home off a bye with their head coach Chuck Pagano being in the hospital with leukemia. The Colts might fight early but the Packers are the superior team.

Ravens 27, Chiefs 24 --- KC +6 Stinky line number one. Why are the Chiefs only 6 point underdogs after getting destroyed by the Chargers last week? It makes no sense at all. So I'll take the SVP advice and take the Chiefs because they are horrible.

Giants 28, Brownies 17 --- The Brownies are not good. The Giants do not want to fall to 2-3 after losing to the Eagles. The big blue wrecking crew should be able to win this one rather easily.

Redskins 27, Falcons 26 --- WAS +3 Stinky line number two. Why would the Redskins be a two point dog after barely beating Tampa last week while the Falcons are 4-0? The Skins are 0-1 at home so maybe Bob Griffin is due to impress the home crowd today. I think the Redskins win this game outright.

Panthers 23, Seahawks 20 --- The Panthers almost pulled of the upset last week over the Falcons while the Seahawks lost to the Rams. This game is really a must win for the Panthers because they cannot afford falling to 1-4. I also do not think the Seahawks are all that great, especially when they are on the road.

Bears 20, Jaguars 17 --- JAX +5.5 Stinky line number three. Why are the 1-3 Jaguars less than a touchdown underdog against Da Bears who just destroyed the Cowboys in Jerry's house on Monday night? I think the Bears are due for a let down or a slow start by the fake Jay Cutler. Maybe he throws a pick or two and keeps the Jags in the game.

Titans 21, Vikings 18 --- I almost want to give out the +5.5 for the Titans but since they are on the road I won't. I really do think they can win this game. Matt Hasselbeck is starting and he should be able to manage the game. Christian Ponder has yet to thrown an INT this season, so hes got to be due for one soon. Also I guess I'm not completely sold on the Vikings being a legit contender just yet.

49ers 27, Bills 14 --- I feel like I say this every week but the Bills don't travel to well and going across the country to play the best defense in the league is no easy task. The 49ers will be able to force a few turnovers from Ryan Fitzpatrick to get the win at home.

Patriots 38, Broncos 27 --- After last weeks second half against the Bills, I'm convinced the Patriots are about to go on a tear. It wouldn't shock me if they finish the season 13-3. Today they face their old friend Peyton Manning, who is only 2-8 playing in NE. The Broncos are a good team but their schedule has been brutal. Peyton should keep them in it for a while but a late pick might be the back breaker for the Broncos. Pats win at home.

Saints 35, Chargers 31 --- NO -3.5 I just think there is no way the Saints lose this game at home on national television to fall to 0-5. Drew BREEEEESSSSSS has a chance to pass Johhny Unitas's consecutive touchdown streak and Sean Payton will be in the building. They are going to be jacked up tonight. Also I don't care that the Chargers are 3-1. I can't trust them. I won't trust them. Can't do it. Mike Singletary. CAN'T DO IT

Texans 31, Jets 26 --- I'll go with Subway Joe on this one and believe that the Jets hang around in this one. The Texans are the best team in the AFC and the Jets suck. However playing at home on a Monday night does something to a football team (other than Tony Romo and the Cowboys). Maybe the Jets and Nacho have something in them to at least not get embarrassed in front of America.