Sunday, December 30, 2012

NFL semaine dix-sept Picks


The first blog from over the pond and I'm probably the only person in France writing an NFL Blog.

The Steelers season is over so now all I can hope for is that the Patriots don't win the Super Bowl. I could add in the Ravens and Bengals but let's be honest Joe FLACCCOOOOO isn't winning a Super Bowl and the Bungals haven't won a playoff game in my lifetime (January 1990 was their last win). I think the playoffs are pretty wide open. I can see almost anyone coming out of the NFC and the AFC might come down to the Broncos or Patriots, which would make Jim Nantz and Phil Simms extremely excited.

P.S. Thank God I don't have to hear Phil Simms announce another Steeler game this year. Four straight weeks of him hating on them was plenty for me. Also Jim Nantz you are not my friend, stop saying "hello friends".

Overall: 110-77-1  Spread: 27-28

Steelers 41, Browns 0 --- The Steelers will probably lose this game, which would be the perfect ending to this highly disappointing season. Getting swept by the Brownies would probably match the embarrassment of last year when Timothy Tebow threw an 80 yard TD on the first play in overtime. Tebow or getting swept by the Brownies. Rough stuff. Anyways, if the Steelers have any fight or pride they kill the Browns today.

Falcons 31, Bucs 20 --- ATL -3.5 The Falcons don't have too much to play for considering they have the number 1 seed locked up. But they are 7-0 at home and the Bucs have lost five in a row so I don't see the Falcons losing this game.

Bills 23, Jets 16 --- I'm still sticking with the Bills at home for their last game. They aren't going to finish 9-7 like I predicted but I'm still on the band wagon. The Jets would also be better off if they lost game. Why finish 7-9 and get a worse draft pick? Don't get me wrong they aren't going anywhere next year if Nacho is back as the starter but it would be nice if they had a top 10 pick rather than pick 14.

Ravens 24, Bengals 17 --- The Bengals are locked into the 6 seed so they might not play everybody to rest for the playoffs but the Ravens could possibly get the three seed so they have more to play for. I really hope both teams lose a key starter because neither of these teams are any good and I'm bitter that the Steelers couldn't win this division. Seriously, Joe Fluko and The Red Rifle Dalton beat Big Ben.

Lions 27, Bears 21 --- The Lions have lost seven in a row and the Bears are 2-5 in their last seven so neither team is hot. The Bears need to win to have any chance of making the playoffs but I think the disappointing Lions will show up today to eliminate a division rival. Plus Calvin Johnson is unstoppable and he's going for 2,000 yards.

Titans 24, Jaguars 20 --- If the Jaguars are smart they will lose this game. The first overall pick is going to be either them or the Chiefs. However, one of the Jaguars two wins this year came against the Titans, who didn't exactly look good last week losing to the Packers 55-7. The Titans are at home though so they should get to 6-10 to finish the year.

Texans 27, Colts 20 --- The Texans haven't looked too good the past few weeks. They got destroyed by the Patriots and last week they couldn't do anything against the Vikings. The need to win this game to clinch the one seed in the AFC. The Colts get head coach Chuck Pagano back this week and are 6-1 at home. They do have the 5th seed locked up in the AFC so even though they say they are going to try to win the game, it wouldn't shock me if they pull some starters if they are down in the second half.

P.S. Thanks a lot Arian Foster for coming out of the game last week for an irregular heartbeat and getting my fantasy team ZERO points in the championship. Thanks bro.

Saints 40, Panthers 31 --- The Saints have a chance to finish the season 8-8, which is pretty impressive considering they started the year 0-4. The Panthers have won four of five but only one of those teams is going to the playoffs. The Saints are always tough at home so I expect Drew BREEEEEESSSSSS to win this game.

Giants 23, Eagles 20 --- PHI +7 --- The Iggles won this match up in week four, 19-17. Unfortunately for them since that game they have gone 1-10. The Giants are not playing well either having lost five of seven to basically throw away the NFC East. The G-Men need to win to have any hopes of defending their championship in January. Mike Vick returns in what will likely be his last game as an Eagle so he might show up in hopes to land a starting job somewhere next year.

Broncos 31, Chiefs 17 --- KC +16 --- Guess who had the Chiefs winning the AFC West in September?  This GUY. They didn't exactly make me look to smart considering they are 2-13 and will probably have the number one pick. Oops. Anyways, the Broncos have a chance at getting the one seed in the AFC or at least a first round bye. The spread is huge though so if Jamaal Charles can run a little bit they should stay within two TD's.

Vikings 26, Packers 24 --- MIN +3.5 --- I never would have thought the Vikings would be in this position in week 17 at the start of the year. If they win they are in the playoffs. I think they will get it done today also (which may be the kiss of death because I haven't believed in them all year). They are 6-1 at home and have won three in a row. They did lose to the Packers in week 13 but I remember Ponder throwing a huge INT in the endzone which really turned that game around in the 3rd quarter. If the Purple People can ride Adrian Peterson to 2,000 yards for the year they could upset the Packers.

Patriots 34, Dolphins 24 --- The Patriots should win and they are clearly in the hunt for another Lombardi Trophy. Enough about them though. How about these Dolphins? Most likely they win finish 7-9 but this has to be one best stories of the year. During Hard Knocks everyone was bashing them thinking they may win four games at most, including myself. But they have really played well and Ryan Tannehill seems to be a legit NFL Starter. If they had won their two overtime games in weeks three and four against the Jets and Cardinals they would be playing for a playoff spot today. The future seems bright in Miami.

Chargers 27, Raiders 17 --- Terrelle Pryor is starting for DAY RAYYDDAAAAS today. That should be interesting. It wouldn't shock me if he played well for awhile. The Chargers will win though. It could and should be the last game for Norv Turner as the head coach so the Bolts might want to send him out with a win.

49ers 24, Cardinals 0 --- After losses the 49ers do not lose. They also don't let up a lot of points (only the Dolphins got to double digits, scoring 13 in week 14). The Cardinals aren't exactly an offensive machine and they are on a 1-10 stretch since their 4-0 start. The Niners should dominate this game to clinch the West.

Seahawks 27, Rams 21 --- The Seahawks should finish the year undefeated at home and go into the playoffs hot. However, the Rams deserve a lot of credit for the way they have played this year. 7-7-1 is really good considering they went 2-14 last year. Jeff Fisher seems to have this team heading in the right direction. They will probably keep this game close in an attempt to finish the year over .500

Redskins 34, Cowboys 21 --- The Redskins have won six in a row, including a 38-31 win in Dallas on Thanksgiving. They are extremely hot and have a chance to win the division today, sort of like the Cowboys did last year in New York against the Giants (they lost 31-14). I really don't trust the Cowboys in big games like this. I do like Tony Romo but in the biggest games he never seems to play his best. I think RG III and the Redskins believe they are the best team in the NFC East and they will show that tonight.


Saturday, December 22, 2012

NFL Week 16 Picks



That face by Kevin from Home Alone is pretty much how I feel right now. The Steelers season could end today.

Must win game for a lot of teams this week, including the Steelers and Giants. However, My fantasy football team is in the finals for the next two weeks. So I'll not only hoping the Steelers can get it done and keep their playoffs hopes alive, but I'll also be watching all the boys on Green Eggs and Cam praying for big numbers. Julio Jones did alright but Tony Gonzalez did squa-doosh last night and put me in a 20-13 hole because of Meagtron, so I'm not off to a great start .

Overall Record: 99-73-1 Spread: 25-26

Bengals 27, Steelers 23 --- Three weeks ago when Charlie Batch beat the Ravens I thought the Steelers had a chance to win the Super Bowl. Now it wouldn't shock me if they lost out and finished 7-9 or beat the Bengals and then lose to the Brownies to miss the playoffs at 8-8 or win out and beat the Patriots in first round of the playoffs. They are an odd bunch this year. I have no idea what to expect week to week. This week my expectations are not too high . I'd like to believe that the Bungals will be the Bungals but the Steelers haven't given me too much confidence over the past two weeks. Hopefully they get the win.

P.S. I miss Hines Ward


Cowboys 31, Saints 27 --- DAL -2.5 The Cowboys did impress me last week. Tony Romo was very effiecient the entire day, sure the Steelers had dudes on the practice squad starting but he still threw all over them. The Saints aren't just laying down to end their season though. After a 41-0 win last week they could be amped up to play a playoff contender. The issue I have is that they are only 2-5 on the road and the Cowboys need to win keep the NFC East lead.

Packers 40, Titans 17 --- The Titans looked very ugly in their Monday night win over the Jets so I don't expect much from them today. The Packers are 6-1 at home and are still in the hunt for a first round bye so they need to win. They shouldn't have much trouble in this one.

Colts 27, Chiefs 9 --- If the Colts win they clinch a playoff spot. Lucky for them they get to play the 2-12 Chiefs. It could be strange for the Colts to be playing from ahead for most of the game though.

Dolphins 31, Bills 20 --- Who would have thought when we were watching Hard Knocks this summer that the Dolphins could be avoiding a ten loss season. I wasn't one of them. I'm surprised they won over four games. They are definitely heading in a different direction than my Bills. Who need to fire Chan Gailey because Old Man Ralph Wilson isn't getting any younger and they need to make the playoffs soon.

Chargers 20, Jets 9 ---  SD +2.5 Hey Jet Fans cheer up. This could be a preview of new quarterback for the next couple of years. And by that I mean Phil Rivers not McIlroy. I really don't think the Jets are going to put up a lot of points. Neither team has anything to play for so enjoy the game if you have to watch it.

Redskins 24, Eagles 20 --- PHI +6.5 The Eagles are terrible and the Redskins are hot and RG III is back. The Redskins should blow them out but I don't think they will. They are still division rivals and even though Andy Reid is going to be fired I still think he can get the boy up for the last two weeks. I think the Eagles are going to play a huge role in who ends out winning the East.

Rams 24, Bucs 21 --- The Bucs have lost four straight games and have been eliminated from the playoffs. The wheels have fallen of the bus (or pirate ship). The Rams are a much improved team this year under Jeff Fisher. I think they will finish the last two weeks strongly and get a win today.

Panthers 31, Raiders 21 --- The Panthers have won three of four. The Raiders are pretty terrible. I need Cam Newton to have a big game for the sake of Green Eggs and Cam. Let's go Cammy.

Patriots 44, Jaguars 13 --- Blowout alert. The Patriots aren't going to play nice after a loss to the 49ers. I feel bad for the Jaguars because they are going to be standing on the train tracks while train is coming though. No doubt about this one.

Texans 27, Vikings 21 --- The Texans are the better team and they want to lock up the number 1 seed. The Minnesota Peterson's need a big day from AD. I think the Texans will slow him down a little. He still might go for over 100 yards but I think Arian Foster (Green Eggs and Cam member) will score two TD's and carry the Texans to a win hurting the Purple guys playoff chances.

Broncos 28, Browns 17 --- CLE +13 The Broncos will get their 10th straight win but I don't think it will be as easy as people may think. The Browns have been playing well recently. If Trent can run the ball effectively for most of the game they should hang around as long as Weeden doesn't throw a ton of picks.

Bears 21, Cardinals 10 --- Both teams started the season so well. The Cardinals 4-0 and then a complete collapse. DA BEARS started 7-1 and they are now 8-6. The Bears still have hopes to make the playoffs so if they go into Arizona and come home with a loss then that's their own fault. Its a must win game, so win it.

Giants 27, Ravens 21 --- Which quarterback do you trust more to win a big game? Eli. Then David Carr. Then Joe Flacco. The Giants always seem to play well on the road when they need to win a game. I hate the Ravens at the end of the day. Let's go G-Men.

49ers 24, Seahawks 20 --- The Seahawks are 6-0 at home and have outscored their past two opponents 108-17. Those opponents were the Cardinals and Bills though. The Niners just went into the Big Razor Blade on Sunday Night and beat the mighty Patriots. I think they are they better team and with Kaepernick now as the QB they can be explosive on offense. Plus the Seahawks lime green makes me kind of sick.




Merry Christmas to all. Thank you for reading. Happy Holidays.

P.S. The next blog will be posted from over the Pond

Sunday, December 16, 2012

NFL Week 15 Picks


Steelers vs Cowboys. The Real America's team against the fake one that claims to be. The reason the black and gold is the real one is when you watch the game tonight listen for every time Heath Miller catches the ball. You will hear HEATH because the Steeler fans travel better than anyone else. Let's go Steelers.

Overall Record: 87-70-1   Spread: 24-24

Falcons 31, Giants 27 --- The Falcons are 32-4 at home with Matt Ryan. The fact that they are of a loss I think helps them. They will not want to lose two in a row. Also everyone always says the Giants are better on the road, but their record is only 3-3 this year.

Packers 27, Bears 20 --- The Bears seem to be done. From 7-1 to 8-5 they haven't looked good in the past few weeks. Jay Cutler has never been great against the Packers. I think the Pack will be able to force a few turnovers. The Packers should be able to basically wrap up the NFC North.

Browns 24, Redskins 17 --- CLE -3  I would have taken the Browns outright even if RG III was playing. I think the Browns have something going right now, having won three in a row. I know the Redskins have won four straight but now without their QB (aka their entire team) they could be in trouble in the Dog Pound today. (P.S. whenever I bet on the Browns they get smoked)

Vikings 23, Rams 21 --- Even though the Vikings are 1-5 on the road they are much better indoors. Thankfully they get to play in the Edward Jones Dome today. I know the Rams are in the hunt for the playoffs but Adrian Peterson is such a monster. He can easily carry the purple team to a win.

Dolphins 24, Jaguars 14 --- The Jaguars are in the hunt for the 1st overall pick so wins can only hurt them at this point. The Dolphins are the better team anyway so I expect them to get their 6th win.

Falcons 34, Saints 31 --- The Saints are done. They proved that to me last week against the Giants. They have nothing to play for anymore. The Bucs really don't either since they are 6-7 but I think they win be able to get back to .500 in New Orleans today.

Broncos 30, Ravens 21 --- DEN -3 The Ravens could be in some trouble. They have the Broncos, then Giants, and then the Bengals to finish the year. They could possibly lose out and miss the playoffs, which would be awesome. I'll gladly take the Broncos today because I trust Peyton Manning a lot more than I trust Joe FLACCCCOOOOOOOO.

Texans 31, Colts 20 --- The Texans should be pissed off about their Monday Night performance. Also they have a chance to win the division today. I'm still not sold on the Colts. I know they are going to be in the playoffs and Andrew Luck has so much potential but he still turns the ball over a ton. The Texans should show who the class of the AFC South is.

Seahawks 20, Bills 17 --- BUF +5 I will glady take the 5 points for the Bills. They kind of circle the wagons sometimes. I know people I'm in the bag for the Bills. I have been all year. At least I'm sticking with them. The Seahawks need the win to stay in the playoff hunt. Plus the game is in OH CANADA, EH. So technically the Bills aren't really at home which will be nice for the Seahawks who aren't great away from home.

Cardinals 24, Lions 21 --- Yeah I know the Cardinals lost 58-0 last week and have lost 9 in a row. So they are due for a win right? The Lions have nothing left to play for and the Cardinals should come out trying to not get embarrassed again.

Panthers 27, Chargers 24 --- Last week the Chargers made the Steelers look like the Chiefs honestly. Thus what more do they have to prove. They aren't making it to the playoffs. The Panthers seem to playing a lot better recently. I also need my MVP pick Cam Newton to have a huge day for my fantasy team Green Eggs and Cam.

Raiders 24, Chiefs 20 --- See the Jaguars game for why the Chiefs don't need any more wins. Anyways this game is a stinker. I feel bad if anyone is forced to watch this game.

Steelers 20, Cowboys 17 --- The Steelers are a hard team to figure out. They beat the Ravens with Charlie Batch and then lose at home to the Chargers with Big Ben. They rarely lose two in a row and even though the Cowgirls need this win the Steelers should be able to get a much needed win. Also I still wouldn't trust Tony Romo since it's December. He's due for a game where he throws a pick or two or three or four.

Patriots 27, 49ers 17 --- The Patriots are the best team in the league. You can crown their ass if you want to. The are we thought they were. I think the Niners will be able to keep the game closer than the Texans did. But it will still be hard to stop TFB at home. I will say it feels like this happens every year. The Pats are the best team after 14 or 15 weeks. They look unbeatable but come February they get beat. That's all I can hope for.

Titans 14, Jets 9 --- The Jets have some hope since they are only a game out of the playoffs at this point. So they will probably blow it. Although what they have been doing well is just pounding the rock and limiting the Nacho throws. The Titans are a strange team though, they look awful one week and great the next. They should be pumped up for a Monday nighter at home.

Sunday, December 9, 2012

NFL Week 14 Picks


(I don't like the Patriots, but I love Big Vince Wilfork)

I don't understand why some teams are so hesitant to just clean house and start over. Mainly the Chargers and Jets, and a little the Eagles. The Chargers especially, Norv Turner should have been fired three seasons ago yet he is still somehow the head coach. GM A.J Smith has turned on of the most talented rosters a few years ago into a team that's season is over before December starts. The Jets are going to miss the playoffs for the second straight year and I know they owe Nacho a ton of money but they are really going to let Rexy and Nacho come back next season. Things aren't going to get better. Nacho is not a franchise QB and the Jets will probably have another mediocre season next year. Then I think the Eagles will get rid of Andy Reid and Mike Vick to start over, which is what they should do. Anyways, onto the picks.

Overall Record: 78-65-1  Spread: 21-23

Steelers 24, Chargers 17 --- They Chargers have lost 7 of 8 but only two of those losses were by double digits. They have been in every game, they just don't win them. Traveling to Pittsburgh to play the Steelers with Big Ben is not going to be an easy task. The Chargers are only 2-15 in franchise history at Pittsburgh. I think it will be close because the offense might have to adjust to getting Ben back but they should be able to get the win.

Bills 20, Rams 13 --- BUF -3 The Rams are only 1-6 playing teams outside of the NFC West and are 1-3-1 on the road. Buffalo isn't the easiest place to play and I think the Bills are about to go on a run to end the season. Three of their next four games are at home. The Bills will get their second straight win over the Rams who could be tired after an overtime win over the 49ers.

Cowboys 27, Bengals 21 --- DAL +3.5 The Bengals have won four in a row but their past three wins have been against the Chiefs, Raiders, and Chargers. I'm not sure if the Bengals are for real yet. Today is a big game for both teams though. The Cowboys need it more however and after a good performance in Philly last week the Cowboys should be able to hang with the Bengals and force Andy Dalton into a few turnovers to get the big road win.

Browns 28, Chiefs 14 --- The Browns can win three in row. Think about that. The Brownies could win their third straight. They will probably lose to the 2-10 Chiefs because they are the Brownies but I'll pick them.

Colts 31, Titans 28 --- TEN +5.5 The Colts are off an emotional huge win over the Lions. Andrew Luck is the real deal. Indy is 5-1 at home but they went to overtime with the Titans in week 8. The Colts might overlook the Titans because they play the Texans next week but they should get another win and basically secure their playoff spot.

Vikings 26, Bears 21 --- MIN +3 As long as Christian Ponder can manage the game and doesn't force any bad passes the Vikings have a great shot to win. They are 5-1 at home plus they have the best running back in the league. Just feed Adrian Peterson. Plain and simple.

Bucs 34, Eagles 21 --- The Eagles are done. The Bucs need to win to stay in the playoff hunt. If the Bucs lose this game at home they have nobody to blame but themselves. Oh and by the way this Greg Schiano guy should shut his mouth and stop coming up with new ideas to eliminate the kickoff. You've been in the NFL for about eight months. Accomplish something first then you can suggest rule changes.

Baltimore 23, Redskins 17 --- The Ravens are not a great team. Flacco is not good. But I think they will avoid the two game losing streak in Washington. The Redskins are hot but after a big Monday night win over the Giants they could have a bit of a hangover. I hope RG III can knock off the Ravens for the Steelers sake but I'm not sure it will happen.

Falcons 31, Panthers 24 --- The Panthers almost beat the Falcons in week four, losing 30-28. I'm not sure why people are so down on the 11-1 Falcons. They don't blow teams out but at the end of the day they win. The Panthers couldn't beat the Chiefs last week, I don't have much faith that they will pull of this upset.

Jets 19, Jaguars 14 --- This is a huge game for Nacho Sanchez. If he goes out there and throws three picks and they Jets lose he could be done forever (or at least should be). I do think that Rexy will rely on ground game and limit Nacho's throws. The Jets defense is going to need to limit the amount of points the Jaguars put up because the offense probably won't go over 20 points.

49ers 20, Dolphins 6 --- After losses or ties the Niners come out looking for blood on defense. This year after their two losses and tie they have let up an average of 4.3 points per game. The Dolphins have to travel out west. I don't think it ends well for the 'Phins today.

Giants 34, Saints 30 --- This game will most likely come down to the end of it. It should be exciting to see either Eli or Drew BREEEEESSSSS trying to win the game late. I'm still not sure about the Giants. I know this is what they do in the season. Win some big games, lose some head scratchers. But the Redskins and Cowboys are right on their tails in the East. So they do need to win this game. Meanwhile the Saints are finished but they won't just lie down for the last four weeks.

Seahawks 21, Cardinals 13 --- The Seahawks are 5-0 at home and the Cardinals have lost 8 in a row and have players spitting at each other. Darnell Dockett is going to get fined over $100,000 for spitting on his own teammate is crazy. I understand if he spit on an opponent but why would he get fined for spitting on Kerry Rhodes? Anyways, the Seahawks will win but I'm not sure they cover the spread of 10.

Packers 30, Lions 24 --- It wouldn't surprise me if the Lions finish 4-12. They don't have any fight in them anymore. I'll give credit to the Colts and Andrew Luck but the Lions defense has to make a stop in that situation at home against a rookie QB. The Packers should be able to put up a lot of points.

Texans 31, Patriots 27 --- This is a big game for the Texans. If they can win they will almost clinch the number 1 seed in the AFC and also prove that they are an elite team. The Texans are 6-0 on the road. The Patriots have won six in a row and always seem to play well on Monday nights. I just think this game means more to the Texans. Also TFB's weapons are starting to drop like flies. No Gronk or Edleman could actually slow down the Pats offense.




Sunday, December 2, 2012

NFL Week 13 Picks


Oh Fireman Ed. Its a shame you had to retire from a made up job. I will say though it was fun to chant J-E-T-S with you at two Jets games though.
It's a strange feeling to wake up and know that the Steelers are about to get destroyed later in the day. They have no chance today in the Big Crab Cake aka Baltimore. The Ravens are a much better team at home and the Steelers are pitiful right now without Big Ben. Honestly they could have done better last weekend if I had been playing QB or running back. Anyways, onto the picks.

Overall Record: 71-57-1 Spread: 20-20

Bills 24, Jaguars 21 --- The Jags have been playing pretty well the past two with Chad Henne. However I've been on the Bills bandwagon all year. It hasn't worked out very well for me but I'm going down with the ship. Plus they are 2-2 at home and if the weather isn't great that probably won't help the team from Florida.

Bears 27, Seahawks 17 --- CHI -3 The Seahawks are only 1-5 on the road, while DA BEARS are 5-1 in the Windy City. The Bears also bounced back nicely last week once they got Jay Cutler back. I think the Bears defense may force a few turnovers by Russell Wilson to make the difference today.

Lions 34, Colts 30 --- Who would have thought at the beginning of the season the Colts would be the better team in this matchup. I still don't think the Colts are all that special, especially on the road. The Lions had their chance to upset the Texans on Turkey Day so that could affect this game. They are rested so they could come out and play well or play like their season is over, which it is.

Packers 31, Vikings 21 --- I can't see the Packers losing two straight even though the Giants made them look very bad last week. They get to return home, where they are 5-1. This is also helpful because the Vikings are 1-4 on the road but 0-3 when they have to play outdoors. I think the Vikings would be so much better if they played outdoors. They play in Minnesota that would be such a huge advantage. Also their current dome is ugly.

Texans 41, Titans 20 --- The Texans have gotten their last two wins in overtime against teams with losing records. I think they come out today to prove that they are the best team in the AFC and beat up on the Titans. They won the first matchup 38-14 so they are clearly the superior team.

Panthers 24, Chiefs 17 --- It's tough to know how the Chiefs will play after the tragedy that occurred yesterday. I'm not sure they should even play the game today. Why not just postpone it a day or two? Anyways, clearly the Chiefs have been awful as have the Panthers but they did look good on Monday night against the Iggles. I think the Chiefs just have too much to overcome today.

49ers 26, Rams 10 --- SF -7.5 The Niners might play pretty inspired since they tied the Rams just three weeks ago. I do think that Colin Kaepernick will make a few mistakes though and keep this QB controversy going. The Niners clearly have a Super Bowl defense but I really don't think they will win the Super Bowl with either of their two QB's. Sure Alex Smith beat Drew BREEEEEESSSSS last year but then Eli took them down.

Patriots 34, Dolphins 21 --- The Pats are rolling right now having won 5 in a row. Those games weren't against the best teams, only the Colts have a winning record, but they are beating people down. Miami did get a big win at home last week against the Seahawks but they don't have enough talent to beat the Patriots even in Florida.

Jets 24, Cardinals 14 --- NYJ -6 I really don't know how the Jets are going to able to overcome the devastating loss of Fireman Ed. I really don't know how they can take the field without him screaming J-E-T-S. However this new job opening could be the break The Jersey Sports Fan needs. He could easily take over for Ed. The Jets will win this game at home no matter who chants because the Cardinals stink and have lost 7 in a row.

Broncos 34, Bucs 31 --- TB +7.5 The Broncos will in this game because Peyton Manning should be able to throw the ball all over the place because the Bucs pass defense isn't great. I think the Bucs stay close though because their offense is explosive.

Raiders 12, Browns 6 --- Apparently the weather is going to very windy and raining. I'm not picking the Browns because I'm holding a grudge now after last Sunday. Maybe I should have a grudge with the Raiders since they also beat the Steelers this year and they are terrible. I'm not going to watch this game. Nobody should be forced to watch it.

Chargers 27, Bengals 24 --- I'm not sure why I'm picking the Chargers. I'm going to be rooting for them for the Steelers sake. But the Bengals have been playing very well lately while the Chargers season is pretty much done. The Chargers did almost beat the Ravens last week but they couldn't tackle Lil' Ray Rice on 4th and 26. Hopefully Phil Rivers can protect the ball to get the win at home.

Ravens 31, Steelers 13 --- I really think this is going to be a blowout. I know most Steelers Ravens games are close but I don't see it happening today. The Ravens are 5-0 at home and their offense is much better there. The Steelers can't score without Big Ben. They haven't thrown a TD pass since he left the Chiefs game. I wish Charlie Batch luck today against T-Sizzle and Haloti Ngata. It could get ugly.
But here's the thing people. Nobody else might believe me but the Steelers last four games are all winnable. So if they get into the playoffs at 10-6 with a healthy Big Ben it would not surprise me at all if they make a run deep into the playoffs. I don't know if they can win the entire thing but I feel like people have already forgotten that three weeks ago they were 6-3 with the possible MVP playing QB for them. Plus their defense has been playing great all year without Polamalu. I'm just saying there is still hope even if they get destroyed today.

Cowboys 26, Eagles 17 --- The Eagles have given up on the season. The Cowboys still have slim playoff hopes. The only bad news for the Cowboys and Tony Romo is that it's December now. Meaning the fake America's Team loses a lot. Frankly if they lose this game, Jerry Jones better pick up the phone and call Sean Payton about the opening in the head coach position.

Giants 31, Redskins 30 --- I think the Giants can easily win the Super Bowl again because when they are motivated to play, like last week, they can beat anyone. However they also can have letdowns. I think they will be motivated on Monday night though because if they can beat the Redskins they can basically lock up the NFC East and eliminate the skins. RG III will play well though so it won't be easy for Big Blue.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

NFL Week 12 Picks


Finally I'm going to write a full blog with picks of every game. That is because I'm working right now so I have so free time to write. Lets start by recapping Turkey Day. The Lions are going to win one of these years but the Texans are proving they can win close games which will be very important once the playoffs start. RG III is a beast and will have the Redskins in the playoffs soon. It might even be this year especially if the Giants lose today. The Cowboys are right there as well but Tony Romo doesn't normally play his best football in December. Then the Jets. What can I say about the Jets? It wasn't too pretty. I'll leave it at that. Anyways, Steelers to start off the picks...

Overall Record: 65-50-1 Spread: 19-18

Steelers 17, Browns 13 --- PIT -1 Cleveland summed up nicely.  It's not going to be easy to beat the Brownies today. I never thought I would ever write those words. Sadly it's true since Old Man Batch is getting the start today. I think all he has to do is manage the game and hand the ball off a lot. If the Steelers can run the ball they should be fine because I don't think Brandon Weeden is going to light up the scoreboard. The key will be is keeping Trent Richardson out of the end zone and make the Browns kick FG's. Please don't lose to the Brownies.

Bears 24, Vikings 20 --- Jay Cutler is back and the Bears are 4-1 at home. The only way the Vikings win is if Adrian Peterson runs wild. Which is highly possible but the Vikings have not been great outside this year (0-2). I think the Bears get a much needed win to stay in the NFC North race.

Bengals 34, Raiders 21 --- The Bengals have appeared to right the ship after losing three in a row. They are now right in the wild card race and lucky for them the Raiders come to town. The Raiders have been awful this year and Carson Palmer has been doing what Carson Palmer has always done, which is turnover the ball (16 times so far). The Bengals should be able to beat their former QB.

Bills 34, Colts 31 --- I'm never going to give up on the Bills. They beat Miami last week and have had a long break. The Colts got beat down by the mighty Patriots. The Colts are 4-1 at home but I think last week might linger with this young team. I love Andrew Luck but I really don't think the team is as good as their record. I think the Bills can go into Lucas Oil and light up the scoreboard.

Broncos 31, Chiefs 21 --- KC +10.5 The Chiefs are 0-5 at Arrowhead this year, which really shows how bad they have been because it really isn't an easy stadium to play in. The Broncos are a hot team but give me 10 points on a home underdog and I have to take the points.

Seahawks 18, Dolphins 14 --- This is a tough game to pick for me. First off Seattle on the road is not the same team they are at home. Also, Seattle to Miami is the farthest distance between two football teams in the NFL and the game is at 1, which is never a good thing for the west coast team. The reason why I don't want to pick the Dolphins is that they have lost 3 in a row to the Colts, Titans, and Bills. They might be done.

Bucs 31, Falcons 28 --- I'm starting to love this Bucs team. Their offense has been awesome. Josh Freeman is a clutch QB and they can feed the Muscle Hamster all day if they need to. I think they will be able to score on the Falcons and even if Matty Ice puts the Falcons up late, I think Freeman will be able to win another comeback game like he did last week against the Panthers.

Titans 24, Jaguars 14 --- TEN -3.5 The Jags gave the Texans everything they could handle last week. This makes me think this week could be a bit of a letdown. The Titans still have an outside chance of sneaking into the playoffs, so they need to win this game.

Chargers 24, Ravens 20 --- I think the Ravens are in a tough spot for this game. They still might be a little beat up from the Steelers game last week plus they might be looking ahead to next weeks game against the Steelers. Plus the Ravens offense is terrible on the road. Honestly, Joe FLACCOOOOOOO was terrible last Sunday night. He didn't do anything other than dumping the ball to Ray Rice. They are so lucky Big Ben got hurt because they are not a better team than the Steelers. Anyways, I'm rooting for the Chargers but Phil will probably throw 8 picks.

49ers 27, Saints 21 --- I'll take the better defense in this matchup. The Niners are 3-1 on the road. I know the Saints have been hot but I think Aldon Smith might disrupt Drew BREEEEEEESSSSSS a few times. I just have a feeling the Saints playoff chances take a big hit today no matter who starts for San Fran.

Rams 24, Cardinals 17 --- Remember when the Cardinals started 4-0? They have lost six straight since then. The Rams haven't won on the road but I'll take them today.

Packers 31, Giants 30 --- GB +3 I think this game is going to come down to however has the ball last. The game features the last three Super Bowl MVPs so it should have some great QB play. I'll pick the Packers because I think they are the better team and will be motivated by the fact that the Giants ended their season last year.

Panthers 17, Eagles 10 --- Aren't you guys just pumped for Monday Night Football this week? Teams with a combined record of 5-15 and one team doesn't have their starting QB or running back. Since Vick and Shady are out I'll take the Panthers in this one but I probably won't be watching it.

Thursday, November 22, 2012

THANKSGIVING FOOTBALL


HUMBABE. A tradition unlike any other. Turkey and Football and Pie and more Pie. This is my favorite day of the year. On to the picks.

Lions 34, Texans 31 --- DET +3 This is my own Thanksgiving tradition, picking the Lions to win. They haven't won on turkey day since 2003. So they are due right? Probably not. The Texans are 4-0 on the road and will want to make people forget their performance last week against the Jaguars. But that's beside the point. The Lions are going to finally make the home fans happy and win on Thanksgiving. Turkey and stuffing for everybody in the motor city.

Cowboys 31, Redskins 30 --- WAS +3 This will probably be the best game of the day. The only reason why I think the Cowboys win the game is because Tony "F*** YEAH" Romo is undefeated at home in November. I think the Redskins will be in the game though. If Mike Shanahan was a good coach he would have his team pumped up because this is basically their Super Bowl. But he's not a good coach and shouldn't have a job. John Elway and Terrell Davis are the only reason you won two Super Bowls. Bill Cowher went to a Super Bowl with Neil O'Donnell. Okay that's enough with the Shanahan talk. Anyways, RG III is going to have a big day. It wouldn't shock me if the Redskins pull off the upset but I think the boys get it done.

P.S. I love the Cowboys Thanksgiving uniforms. The white helmets with the blue star are awesome.

Patriots 27, Jets 24 --- NYJ +7 The Jets will compete in this game because Rexy will get to eat a big Thanksgiving dinner around 1 and then he will head to JetLife a happy man. The Patriots are the better team but the Jets have this thing with the Pats. It's the biggest game on their schedule every year. I'll be rooting for the green and white because je n'aime pas les Patriots. On another note the Jets have really put Nacho in an awful situation. I'm not talking about the Tebow thing. He has no weapons to throw to. If Mike Tannenbaum was a good GM he would have resigned Plaxico and given Ochostinko and TO a look. Sure the last two are mental cases but they are borderline Hall of Famers. Clyde Gates is not. I mean I'm not in love with Nacho and I really don't think he's ever going to be elite. But the Jets at least need to give the kid a chance to succeed.

Happy Thanksgiving to everybody who reads. I really appreciate it.

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Week 11 NFL Picks


I'm just giving my spread picks today. I got some schoolwork to do so I'm gonna make this post a quick one. It's Ravens week. The Steelers might be in trouble since Big Ben is out but I think they have a serious chance to pull this one out at the big ketchup bottle. I hope Joe FLACCCCOOOOOO throws a few picks and has that sad looking face as he heads back to Baltimur later tonight.

Overall: 62-46-1 Spread: 15-15

Cowboys 21, Browns 17 --- CLE +7.5 Browns suck. Cowboys just had a huge win on the road against the Eagles. Give me all 7.5 points for the Brownies. Thank you.

Rams 24, Jets 6 --- STL -3.5 Let's be honest the Jets are a horrible football team at the moment. They can't do diddly poo offensively. They can't run the ball. They don't try to run the ball. Cue the Jim Mora rant. Nacho Sanchez is on the verge of being benched I don't care what Rexy or Woody try to say. The Rams are 3-2 at home and just tied the 49ers on the road. They are a competitive team and better than their 3-5-1 record.

Raiders 31, Saints 27 --- OAK +5.5 The last time the Raiders were a home underdog they beat the Steelers. They got destroyed in Baltimore last week so returning home will be nice. Meanwhile the Saints are a hot football team after beating the undefeated Falcons last week. However they are only 1-3 on the road so I think the Raiders will give them a game today.

Ravens 21, Steelers 20 --- PIT +3.5 The way to bet is on the Steelers. They are 4-0 at home this year and if Big Ben was playing they would be the favorite. These games are also always close hard fought battles. Plus when Dennis Dixon started in place for Ben two years ago they went to overtime and lost by 3. So the QB in this game is not the only position that matters. I know this game is going to be close and I honestly think the Steelers have a chance to win especially if they can run the ball.

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Week 10 NFL Picks


I'm back. I'm not sure why I picked this photo. Troy isn't even playing in this game and Larry Johnson might be in jail. Either way I didn't feel like putting a picture of the Steelers crushing the Giants last week because the past is the past. Time to move onto the next one. That being the 1-7 Chiefs. Lets go.

Outright Record: 54-42  Spread: 13-13

Giants 31, Bengals 21 --- NYG -4.5 I think the G-Men bounce back from losing to the Steelers last week. The Giants are 3-1 on the road, while the Bengals are 1-3 at home and have lost four straight. The defense should respond to Tommy C calling them soft and force a few turnovers by Andy Dalton.

Dolphins 27, Titans 23 --- The Dolphins are a more surprising team to me than the Colts. I thought the Colts were going to be alright. Maybe not 6-3 at this point but I never thought the Dolphins would be 4-4. I thought they were going to four games all year. The Titans got smoked last week by DA BEARS so they might not have a lot of fight in them today.

Lions 30, Vikings 21 --- DET -3 I think these teams are heading in opposite directions. The Vikings don't have Percy Harvin today so they will have to rely on Adrian a lot. They are at home which could help but the Lions have won 3 of 4 and are right back into the playoff hunt.

Patriots 43, Bills 34 --- The Pats will put up a ton of points today. The Bills defense is pretty awful. I think the Bills will be able to score with them for awhile but they won't pull off the upset. My Bills playoff pick isn't looking to good at the moment.

Saints 35, Falcons 31 --- NO +2 The perfect season ends today for the Falcons. The Saints at home have never been an easy place to play. Also the Saints have to believe they can keep their playoff hopes alive with a win against the Falcons. Drew BREEEEEEESSSSSSS will carry the Saints to fourth win in five weeks.

Bucs 34, Chargers 27 --- TB -3 The Bucs have been putting up a ton of points recently since they have found Doug Martin. The Bucs are heading in the right direction at 4-4. They have a great chance to make a playoff push. The Chargers do as well at 4-4 but you can never trust Norv Turner to win a close game.

Broncos 27, Panthers 23 --- The Panthers had a nice win against the Redskins last week but I don't think they extend their winning streak to two. The Broncos are very well, having won three straight. They should go into Carolina and get a win.

Ravens 24, Raiders 14 --- The Ravens have not lost at home and they play against old division rival Carson Palmer. Meaning he will throw a pick 6 and the Raiders will lose because Carson Palmer is terrible. He's worse than Joe Flaccooooooo, which is really saying something.

Seahawks 26, Jets 17 ---- I really believe Seattle is the toughest place to play in the NFL. The Seahawks are 4-0 at home this year and get the struggling Jets this week. Gang Green is off a bye week but they looked pretty terrible at Jetlife two weeks ago against the Dolphins. The Nacho Sanchez experiment might be running out of weeks.

Cowboys 28, Eagles 24 --- Mike Vick has been a turnover machine and similar to Nacho might be sitting on the bench pretty soon. The Dream Team is a nightmare right now and need to beat the Cowboys to have any hope of keeping its season alive. However I think the Cowboys are a better team at this point and even though they are only 3-5, they have lost a lot of close games to good teams.

49ers 30, Rams 9 --- This game should be a blowout as the 49ers look to separate themselves from the rest of the NFC West. The Rams haven't won a game on the road this season and the Niners have let up 12 total points in their past four wins.

Bears 31, Texans 28 --- This is the game of the week and I give the edge to DA BEARS since its in Chicago. Also Peanut Tillman has been playing incredible and the Bears defense forces so many turnovers. Even though the Texans are 7-1 and 3-0 on the road, there one loss was to an NFC North team, the Packers.

Steelers 24, Chiefs 14 --- The Steelers better beat the 1-7 Chiefs. That's all I have to say about this game.

Sunday, October 21, 2012

NFL Week 7 Picks


This blog might be a little shorter than most. First of all I want to say that I do not like John Farrell as the new Red Sox manager. Yeah I know I'm talking about baseball on the NFL blog. I just don't feel like he is a great manager. He did next to nothing as the Blue Jays manager. Why should that make me feel confident that his return to Boston will be any better? Anyways onto the picks.

Outright Record: 45-39  Spread: 12-10

Bills 31, Titans 20 --- BUF -4 The Titans did just beat the Steelers but they are 0-3 on the road and their defense isn't very good.

Colts 30, Browns 26 --- The Browns are also 0-3 on the road and just got their first win of the season last week. The Colts should be motivated after getting thumped by the Jets.

Packers 27, Rams 23 --- STL + 5 I think the Rams hang around in this game. I know the Pack looked amazing against the Texans last week but they are playing in St. Louis who are 3-0 at home.

Vikings 17, Cardinals 13 --- Vikings return home, where they are 3-0 this year. The Cardinals are playing John Skelton. It's probably going to be a low scoring defensive battle, so whichever team makes fewer mistakes should win.

Giants 34, Redskins 24 --- I think the fact that the Giants lost to the Redskins twice last season will be a huge motivation for Big Blue. The Redskins defense has not played well all season and I think the Giants defensive line should be able to contain RG III.

Bucs 30, Saints 28 --- TB +2 The Bucs are a better team than people think, especially at home. I know the Saints are off a win and a bye and get Jonathan Vilma back somehow (I'm pretty sure he's suspended). I think the Bucs pull off the upset at home.

Cowboys 24, Panthers 21 --- I'm not to sure who wins this one. Whichever QB makes less mistakes will win. Although both QB's have been turnover machines.

Ravens 27, Texans 24 --- Even though the Ravens lost a bunch of players on defense I think they have an emotionally charged game and beat the Texans in Houston.

Raiders 21, Jaguars 14 --- This game should be fun to watch. Not really. Not at all actually.

Patriots 34, Jets 21 --- I don't understand why Rex Ryan always has to open his mouth when they play the Pats. Just shut up and play the game. I also don't see the Patriots losing their second game in a row to a Jets team that isn't awful but they certainly aren't great.

Steelers 31, Bengals 24 --- This is the season for the Steelers plain and simple. They cannot lose this game to fall to 2-4. They are already 0-3 on the road so I'm very nervous. I don't think the Bengals are as good as they were last year but you never know in division games. They better win that's really all I can say. Just win baby.

Bears 27, Lions 24 --- DET +6.5 I do think the Bears are a very good football team. I also think that the Lions have a lot of fight in them so I doubt they will rollover in a Monday Night game. If they can force the fake Jay Cutler to throw a pick or two they should be able to have a chance to win the game.

Sunday, October 14, 2012

NFL Week 6 Picks


The Steelers are a bad football team. There is no excuse for losing to the Raiders and Titans. Good teams pull those wins out. They should be 4-1 but instead they are 2-3. There playoff chances are getting slim. They really need to finish the year 8-3 now, which is no easy task considering they still have to play the Ravens twice, Giants, Cowboys, and Chargers. If they keep playing they way they are now they will be lucky to win two of those. I didn't even add the games against the Bengals or Brownies which could easily cost the Steelers a win. It's going to be a tough road and I should really think about giving up hope right now but for some reason I still believe they can pull it off. And look on the bright side, at least I'm not a Browns fan. On to the picks...

Outright Record: 39-32 Spread: 9-9

Falcons 41, Raiders 21 --- Falcons should win this game big even though the Raiders are off a bye, which hasn't helped DAY RAYYYDAAASS recently because they have lost their last 4 after one. Plus Matty Ice is home.

Bungals 21, Brownies 20 --- I feel sorry for anybody in the state of Ohio that has to watch this game. I think I would honestly rather watch a Keeping Up With The Kardashians marathon.

Dolphins 17, Rams 12 --- The Rams are 3-2 but they are 0-2 on the road. Meanwhile the Dolphins just beat the Bengals and could easily be sitting at 4-1 if they hadn't lost two overtime games. They should be able to win at home today.

Jets 24, Colts 17 --- NYJ -3.5 I know the Jets are not a very good football team and the Colts just knocked off the Packers. Here's the thing though, last week for the Colts was such an emotional game at home. It will be hard for them to have the same intensity on the road. I think the Jets will force a turnover or two from Andrew Luck and win this game.

Eagles 28, Lions 27 --- DET +3.5 When the Eagles win they don't win by much is my reason for taking the spread. Plus the Lions are off a bye and this is a must win for them. They cannot fall to 1-4 in the NFC North. The Eagles also need this game after losing to the Steelers last week. As long as Mike Vick doesn't fumble the ball every other play and Andy Reid ACTUALLY GIVES THE BALL TO SHADY MCCOY they should be able to win.
P.S. Seriously Andy Reid doesn't know how to coach a team. Last week against the Steelers, Shady killed them but he barely ever got the ball until their last drive which resulted in a TD. Take the ball out of Mike Vicks hands and let Shady run guy.

Bucs 20, Chiefs 17 --- I think both of these teams are better than what their record says. The Chiefs just don't have a QB (good luck with former Brownie great Brady Quinn today) but they can run the ball well. The Bucs are coming off a bye with a 1-3 record. They have been in every game though and could easily be a 2-2 team.

Ravens 27, Cowboys 17 --- BAL -3 I just have a feeling that Joe Flacco plays well today after only scoring 9 points against the Chiefs. Even though the Cowboys just had a bye week I really don't think they are a great football team. Tony Romo cannot afford to throw a pick today or else the Cowboys will go down.

Cardinals 24, Bills 14 --- The Bills have been bad recently (I'm still standing by my prediction that they will make the playoffs though). They aren't the best road team and the Cardinals have had a long rest since their loss to the Rams. They are 3-0 at home and should be ready to go this afternoon.

Patriots 31, Seahawks 20 --- It's so hard to pick against the Seahawks when they are in Seattle. But it's also hard to pick against the Patriots when their offense looks like a well oiled machine. It wouldn't shock me if the Pats finish the year 14-2. They won't win the Super Bowl because they don't play great defense but they will win today.

Giants 27, 49ers 24 --- NYG +6.5 I feel like this spread is an easy on to take. Your going to give me 6.5 points to bet on the defending Super Bowl Champs? Yes please. Anyways the Giants should have the something to prove mentality today in San Fran. Everybody thinks the Niners are the best team in the NFC but the Giants won the NFC Championship last year in their house. I think the Giants travel west and get the W.

Vikings 26, Redskins 21 --- This is the first game outdoors for the Vikings and I'm pretty sure this is the first time I'm picking them this year, so they will probably lose. RGIII is coming off a concussion though and they Vikings don't turn the ball over. They should be able to control the pace of the game and improve to a surprising 5-1.

Texans 34, Packers 23 --- It's starting to become clear that the Packers aren't a good football either. Aaron Rodgers is running for his life at times and the defense isn't great. The Texans should be pumped to be playing in their first Sunday night game. J.J Watt should be able to sack Discount Double Check Man once or twice to get the win.

Chargers 24, Broncos 21 --- I feel like these teams have been on a bunch of prime time games and I'm getting a little tired of seeing them. I think Phil and the Chargers bounce back after losing to the Saints last week. The Chargers are a better football team right now.

Sunday, October 7, 2012

NFL Week 5 Picks




I can never be a bad thing to put a picture of The Chief on my blog. It can't hurt the Steelers chances thats for sure. This week I'm going with the Scott Van Pelt theory on spreads. If the line stinks and just doesn't make sense, I'm taking the points. Also if the Steelers lose today I'm calling it a season. If they fall to 1-3 I'm going to be in a deep depression. Since when have all my favorite teams been this awful? Not never. Sawx lose 93 games. The Steelers are under 500. The Bruins aren't even going to play and the Celtics are old as dirt. Two years ago I was on top of the world. They were all great. Now, not so much.

Outright Record 31-27 Spread 7-7

Steelers 30, Eagles 24 --- I have a few reasons to feel confident. First off Troy Polamalu, James Harrison, and Rashard MenDINGhall all are going to play today. That should help the defense out tremendously and even though I don't love Mendy, he will help the Steelers god awful rushing attack. Another reason is Mike Tomlin has won 4 straight games after a bye week and he has never lost a game when they are below .500 (which is probably like one game total but still). The reason why I'm a bit worried is containing Mike Vick is never an easy task and if he buys time running around the receivers should be able to get open eventually. I'm just hoping he throws an interception or two.

Bengals 31, Dolphins 27 --- The 'phins have played very well the past three weeks. If they could have pulled out an overtime win the past two weeks they could easily be 3-1 like the Bengals. I think they will stay close with the Bengals today but since it's in the Natty I think the Bengals will win.

Packers 35, Colts 24 --- I think this is the week Aaron Rodgers and the offense explodes for the Packers. The Colts defense is not very good. The interesting thing in this game is how motivated the Colts are at home off a bye with their head coach Chuck Pagano being in the hospital with leukemia. The Colts might fight early but the Packers are the superior team.

Ravens 27, Chiefs 24 --- KC +6 Stinky line number one. Why are the Chiefs only 6 point underdogs after getting destroyed by the Chargers last week? It makes no sense at all. So I'll take the SVP advice and take the Chiefs because they are horrible.

Giants 28, Brownies 17 --- The Brownies are not good. The Giants do not want to fall to 2-3 after losing to the Eagles. The big blue wrecking crew should be able to win this one rather easily.

Redskins 27, Falcons 26 --- WAS +3 Stinky line number two. Why would the Redskins be a two point dog after barely beating Tampa last week while the Falcons are 4-0? The Skins are 0-1 at home so maybe Bob Griffin is due to impress the home crowd today. I think the Redskins win this game outright.

Panthers 23, Seahawks 20 --- The Panthers almost pulled of the upset last week over the Falcons while the Seahawks lost to the Rams. This game is really a must win for the Panthers because they cannot afford falling to 1-4. I also do not think the Seahawks are all that great, especially when they are on the road.

Bears 20, Jaguars 17 --- JAX +5.5 Stinky line number three. Why are the 1-3 Jaguars less than a touchdown underdog against Da Bears who just destroyed the Cowboys in Jerry's house on Monday night? I think the Bears are due for a let down or a slow start by the fake Jay Cutler. Maybe he throws a pick or two and keeps the Jags in the game.

Titans 21, Vikings 18 --- I almost want to give out the +5.5 for the Titans but since they are on the road I won't. I really do think they can win this game. Matt Hasselbeck is starting and he should be able to manage the game. Christian Ponder has yet to thrown an INT this season, so hes got to be due for one soon. Also I guess I'm not completely sold on the Vikings being a legit contender just yet.

49ers 27, Bills 14 --- I feel like I say this every week but the Bills don't travel to well and going across the country to play the best defense in the league is no easy task. The 49ers will be able to force a few turnovers from Ryan Fitzpatrick to get the win at home.

Patriots 38, Broncos 27 --- After last weeks second half against the Bills, I'm convinced the Patriots are about to go on a tear. It wouldn't shock me if they finish the season 13-3. Today they face their old friend Peyton Manning, who is only 2-8 playing in NE. The Broncos are a good team but their schedule has been brutal. Peyton should keep them in it for a while but a late pick might be the back breaker for the Broncos. Pats win at home.

Saints 35, Chargers 31 --- NO -3.5 I just think there is no way the Saints lose this game at home on national television to fall to 0-5. Drew BREEEEESSSSSS has a chance to pass Johhny Unitas's consecutive touchdown streak and Sean Payton will be in the building. They are going to be jacked up tonight. Also I don't care that the Chargers are 3-1. I can't trust them. I won't trust them. Can't do it. Mike Singletary. CAN'T DO IT

Texans 31, Jets 26 --- I'll go with Subway Joe on this one and believe that the Jets hang around in this one. The Texans are the best team in the AFC and the Jets suck. However playing at home on a Monday night does something to a football team (other than Tony Romo and the Cowboys). Maybe the Jets and Nacho have something in them to at least not get embarrassed in front of America.

Sunday, September 30, 2012

NFL Picks Week 4


God Awful week 3. I completely blame the replacement refs and Roger Goodell. I went 5-9 outright picks (I'm not counting the Monday Night game because that was a joke). I'm 23-21 overall and only 5-5 for spread picks. At least I'm not as bad as the guy who writes for the Hartford Courant. He is 20-28 so far. Give me that job.

Before the picks I just want to say how thankful I am that the real refs are back. The replacement refs were totally clueless and it was embarrassing that Roger Goodell and the owners even put them on the field. For a league that cares so much about protecting the shield and player safety they really made a mockery of the league for the first three weeks.

Falcons 31, Panthers 21 --- Atlanta has looked great the first three weeks and Matty Ice has always been great in the Georgia Dome. Meanwhile it looks like Cam Newton is having a bit of a sophomore slump to start the year. They have had a long week of rest after losing to the Giants last Thursday but it's going to be tough for the Panthers to win today.

Patriots 28, Bills 24 --- Belichick hasn't lost 3 straight games since 2002. I do think the Bills are a lot better than most people think. They did beat the Pats at home last season in week three but I just can't see the Patriots starting the season 1-3 (I would love it, but it won't happen).

Lions 35, Vikings 21 --- DET -4 I think this game will tell us a lot about both teams. The Vikings shocked the league by beating the mighty 49ers last week, while the Lions lost to the 0-2 Titans. I'm picking the Lions because I think they should be desperate at home, I also think the Vikings may have a letdown after the big win.

Chiefs 30, Chargers 28 --- Another game where I'm not sure who either team is just yet. I've never known about the Chargers for the past five years. Meanwhile I thought the Chiefs were going to be good this year. They finally had a big day on offense last week thanks to Jamaal Charles and the horrible Saints defense. It's never easy to win in Arrowhead especially playing against a division rival.

Seahawks 17, Rams 9 --- SEA -3 The Rams finally played against a solid defense last week and they managed only 6 points against the Bears. The Seahawks defense was able to shutdown Aaron Rodgers for only 12 points. The only thing that worries me is that the Seahawks might have a letdown after their bogus emotional Monday night win.

49ers 20, Jets 17 --- The 49ers lost three games last year. After those three losses they didn't let their opponents score a touchdown the following week. The Jets lost Darrelle Revis for the season and Nacho Sanchez is...well...still Nacho. However I think the Jets hang tough and make it close because a west coast team playing at 1 pm on the east coast historically aren't great (26-68).

Texans 34, Titans 20 --- HOU -12 Right now the Texans are the most complete team in the AFC. They should be able to score against the Titans defense, considering they have let up a league leading 113 points in only three games. On the other hand the Texans defense ranks third allowing only 14 points per game.

Broncos 27, Raiders 17 --- Seeing Peyton Manning lose three in a row would be as rare as seeing the Patriots do it. I think the Broncos are a good team, who are only 1-2 due to a tough schedule. They should be able to score against DAY RAYYYDAAAAS, who are coming off their first win of the season against the Steelers. I really don't know what they Radiers are yet but I'm fairly certain they will be a 1-3 team after today.

Cardinals 14, Dolphins 7 --- Not many people are taking the Cardinals seriously even though they are 3-0. What most people don't know is that they are 10-2 in their past 12 games going back to last season. Their defense is one of the best in the league and should be able to force Ryan Tannehill into a few mistakes. The only issue I have with the Cardinals is their offense and their ability to score enough points. But they should be fine today against the 'phins.

Bengals 30, Jaguars 26 --- The Bengals defense has let up 34 points per game against teams that aren't exactly the most premier offensive teams (Ravens, Browns, and Redskins). The thing they do have going for them is the fact that they can score a ton of points. They should be able to improve to 3-1 today in Jacksonville.

Packers 40, Saints 30 --- It will be interesting to see how the Packers rebound from the debacle that happened on Monday. Luckily for their offense they get to play the Saints defense, which is very bad. Drew BREEEEEESSSS will keep the Saints in the ballgame for awhile but the Packers are the better team.

Buccaneers 28, Redskins 24 --- This is once again another game where these teams are a bit of a mystery. The Redskins obviously have been he team getting more love because of Bob Griffin III. However their defense is not too good now that All-Pro linebacker Brian Orakpo (Geico Caveman) is out for the season. I do think the Bucs are a decent team however. They have lost the past two games in New York and in Dallas, so it should be nice to return home to face their third straight team from the NFC East.

Giants 35, Eagles 20 --- NYG +2.5 I'm starting to get the feeling that these Giants are just like the 2008 version of the then defending champions Giants, when they went 12-4 in the regular season. They killed the Panthers and have a had a long rest. The Eagles have not been great and Mike Vick has become a turnover machine. It wouldn't surprise me if the Giants force a few more because for some reason Andy Reid refuses to give Shady McCoy the ball ever. Giants might roll in this one.

Cowboys 21, Bears 17 --- I think the Cowboys get the win because the game is in Dallas. I also just want to see the fake Jay Cutler have an awful game because he's a prick and it's more fun to see him throw 4 int's and yell at his offensive line than it is to see him play well.

Sunday, September 23, 2012

NFL Picks Week 3


Week 2 went much better than the first week. Let's hope I stay hot after my 10-5 outright and 3-1 spread week 2. Plus the Steelers beat the Jets up last Sunday, so it would be nice if things remained like that for Week 3. Let's go...
Overall (18-12) Spread (4-2)

Bears 27, Rams 17 --- CHI -7 The Rams have covered in their first two games and are only a Matt Stafford game winning drive in week one from being 2-0. However the Bears have had a long week and a half break after looking bad against the Packers. I think da BEARS return to how they looked against the Colts week 1 and beat the Rams semi-easily.

Browns 24, Bills 20 --- CLE +3 I just have no faith in the Bills on the road. They are now 3-14 under Chan Gailey away from Ralph Wilson Stadium. Meanwhile the Brownies looked decent offensively against the Bengals last week as Trent Richardson, running for 109 yards and scoring two touchdowns.  I think I've gone crazy saying the Browns cover the +3. They are going to screw me and I already know it.

Cowboys 31, Bucs 24 --- The Cowboys looked pretty awful last week in Seattle, while the Bucs nearly upset the Giants in New York. So clearly the Cowboys will bounce back and have a big game behind Tony Romo. However I'm not too confident they cover the 8 point spread.

Lions 34, Titans 17 --- DET -3.5 The Titans have been outscored 72-23 this season. Which means at least they have more points scored than Chris Johnson rushing yards (21). The Lions are 1-1 after losing in San Francisco, so they sort of need to win this game to make sure the Packers and Bears don't get an early lead in the division.

Colts 23, Jaguars 13 --- IND -3 I personally believe the Jaguars are the worst team in the league right now. Also I'd take Andrew Luck over Blaine Gabbert even though Luck is making only his third career start. The Colts won at home last week and are going to be competitive all year.

Dolphins 17, Jets 16 --- The Dolphins are 2nd in the league in rushing, averaging 171 yards per game and the are ranked 4th in stopping the run on defense. I know it's only the third game of the year but considering that the Jets might be forced to throw the ball is a scary thought after seeing the last three quarters of Jets offense against the Steelers.

49ers 27, Vikings 9 --- I don't think this game will be very close. The 49ers defense will be able to contain Adrian Peterson and most likely force Christian Ponder to make a few mistakes. As long as Frank Gore can run a little bit and Alex Smith manages the game the 49ers will move to 3-0.

Saints 35, Chiefs 24 --- I had both of these teams making the playoffs in the preseason. That doesn't look too good right now. I just can't see the Chiefs being able to stop the Saints in the Superdome just a week after Buffalo put up 35 points against them.

Redskins 30, Bengals 24 --- After a rough loss to the Rams in week two, the Redskins finally play their home opener. I imagine the fans in Washington are going to be pretty pumped up to finally see Bob Griffin III on the field. I also am not too confident in the Bengals defense, who were shredded by Joe Flaccoooooo in week 1 and didn't look great against the Brownies in week 2.

Cardinals 23, Eagles 21 --- Turnovers are going to be the difference in this game. The Eagles have already turned the ball over nine times. The Cardinals return home after a huge upset win over the Patriots, so it will be interesting to see if they come out pumped and excited to possibly 3-0 or they could start a little slow.

Chargers 31, Falcons 27 --- I'm still not sure if I trust the Chargers or not yet. I'll pick them in this game more because of the fact that the Falcons are playing on a short week of rest and traveling across the country. Plus Michael Turner could still be drunk after his DUI on Monday night, so that can't really help the birds chances.

Texans 27, Broncos 21 --- Right now I think the Texans are the best team in the AFC. Sure their first two wins are against the Dolphins and Jaguars but they did blow them out like they should. This will be their first real test in Denver. I don't know Peyton Manning is going to be there. The one who looked great against the Steelers on opening night or the one on Monday who was throwing ducks all over the place, costing me 10 dollars to Sir Tom Raynor. I think if the Texans can get to Manning a few time they might be able to get the win.

Steelers 24, Raiders 13 --- For the third week in a row I'm nervous about the Steelers game. Why you ask since the Raiders have looked awful? Well the Raiders are 2-1 against the Steelers since 2006. They always play them tough because it's an old school rivalry. James Harrison and Troy Polamalu are still hurt. The reason why I feel a little bit better about this game...Carson Palmer plays for the Raiders and Big Ben still throws the ball for the Steelers. I'll take the better QB.

Ravens 27, Patriots 24 --- The two teams I hate most playing on Sunday night isn't that just wonderful. I'll pick the Ravens in this game for two reasons. One, I think the Patriots are going to need some time to adjust to life without Aaron Hernandez, who plays a much bigger role in their offense than he gets credit for. Two, if I know Ray Lewis like I think I know Ray Lewis, I bet he mentions the fact that the Patriots beat the Ravens in the AFC Championship when Billy Cundiff did this. So I think the Ravens should be pretty jacked up tonight.

Packers 24, Seahawks 20 --- I think this game will be a close one due to that fact that it's on Monday night in Seattle, which in my opinion is the hardest stadium to play in as a visiting team. However the Packers are an experienced team coming off a long rest, so they should be able to get the win in a tough environment.

Sunday, September 16, 2012

NFL Week 2 Picks


Week 1 didn't go so well for my picks or for my Steelers. 8-7 on outright picks and 1-2 for the spreads I gave out. Hopefully things go differently in week two. As the Jersey Sports fan would say, "Steel Towns going down. Steel Towns going down." Lets hope not.

Bills 27, Chiefs 21 --- Before the season I picked both of these teams to make the playoffs. I don't look too smart right now considering they are both 0-1 and Buffalo got destroyed by the Jets and lost Fred Jackson for a month. However I think they bounce back in the home opener and knock the Chiefs to 0-2.

Bungals 17, Brownies 6 --- The Bungals looked awful week one. The only problem is the Browns offense looked worse. The Bungals should get the win, but the real question in this game is will Brandon Weeden throw under or over 3 interceptions this week.

Vikings 24, Colts 20 --- Christian Ponder looked very good last week, sure it was against the Jaguars but the Colts defense isn't much better. Also Adrian Peterson looked great scoring two touchdowns. It is Andrew Luck's home debut so he might play a great game but I think the Vikings are the better team at this moment.

Raiders 31, Dolphins 20 --- OAK -2 The Dolphins aren't very good and that's being polite. If Ryan Tannehill continues to throw three picks a game the Dolphins could looking at a 1-15 year. I think the Raiders will bounce back after losing Monday night as long as they figured out their long snapper situation.

Patriots 35, Cardinals 14 --- Blowout. The Cardinals don't travel east all that well and they have Kevin Kolb playing QB today. That's a recipe for disaster. Patriots win and win big again.

Giants 27, Bucs 21 --- TB +7 It will be interesting to see how the Giants play after having a week and half off after their loss to the Cowboys. I think the Bucs are better than most people think and will be able to keep the game close. I just don't think they will be able to pull off the upset and send the Giants to 0-2.

Ravens 20, Eagles 13 --- BAL +2.5 I'm not to sure why the Eagles are the favorite in this game other than the reason that they are home. Mike Vick didn't look good at all. They were just lucky they got to play the Brownies and Weeden were worse. Meanwhile the Ravens dismantled the Bungals and Joe Flaccooooooo threw a few great deep balls. I'm pretty much ready to crown the Ravens AFC North champs so the Ravens should beat the Eagles.

Panthers 31, Saints 28 --- Another game where I picked both teams to make the playoffs and they both started the season with a loss. The Saints was much more surprising to the Redskins and now they go on the road to face Cam Newton. I think Cam will be able to do similar things Bob Griffin III did last week to the Saints defense.

Texans 34, Jaguars 20 --- The Texans are good. The Jaguars are not. Pretty simple.

Rams 24, Redskins 21 --- STL +3.5 I just feel like this a classic everyone loves one team because they looked so great week one type game. Obviously Bob Griffin III looked fantastic against the Saints however I could see them slip a little against a Rams team that was almost able to beat the Lions in Detroit last week.

Seahawks 21, Cowboys 20 --- Similar to my feelings about the Redskins. The Cowboys looked pretty good beating the Giants on opening night and the Seahawks couldn't even beat the Cardinals. Seattle is not an easy stadium to play in and if Tony Romo makes a mistake or two the Seahawks will be able to hang around in this one.

Chargers 24, Titans 14 --- Chris Johnson is need to run for more than FOUR yards if the Titans want to have a chance. FOUR yards is all he got last week against the Patriots, who aren't exactly the Steel Curtain. Also Phil Rivers should be able to put up some points at home.

Steelers 17, Jets 13 --- No Polamalu, Harrison, Revis, or Keller. So the injury situation is sort of a push. The Steelers got beat by Peyton Manning last week and Nacho looked very good against the Bills. It will be interesting which Nacho comes to play today in Pittsburgh. I think the Steelers should win however I'm getting a little nervous that they get beat again and fall to 0-2 which would be awful because every Jet fan I know will let me hear about losing to the damn Jets. So, Just Win Baby.
Jersey Sports Fan (watch it)

49ers 24, Lions 21 --- The 49ers looked great beating the Packers in Green Bay while the Lions escaped a near upset from the Rams. So why do I think the Lions stay close and possibly cover? Not to sure, just a gut feeling. The 49ers defense is awesome though and Aldon Smith already recorded one sack last week. Only 21.5 more go to.

Falcons 28, Colts 27 --- A tough game to pick because both teams looked very impressive week one. I'll pick the Falcons because they are at home and Matty Ice has only lost four regular season home games in his career. I will say though Peyton impressed me a lot last Sunday so it will be fun to watch him play on the road for the first time.

Saturday, September 8, 2012

NFL Week 1 Picks


What a glorious day it is. The start of another NFL season. I plan on making picks for every week this year, other than the Thursday games. However I'll pick straight up winners for all the games along with three spreads that I like. Read it, Don't read it but get used to me posting this on Facebook and Twitter every Sunday.

Bears 31, Colts 17 --- I'd like the Colts chances a bit more if they were home but going to Chicago for Andrew Luck's debut is not the easiest task. I think the Bears are a playoff team this year and they should be able to start with a win.

Eagles 24, Browns 13 --- Maybe it's a good thing for the Brownies that former Brown/Ravens owner Art Modell passed away this week. It's not the Browns still stink and they will start the season 0-1. They haven't won a season opener since 2004. Let's keep the streak going Eagles.

Lions 30, Rams 24 --- The Lions finished the season just 5-6 after a 5-0 start. I think the Rams are going to better than people think. Jeff Fisher is a good coach and with a healthy Sam Bradford they will hang with the Lions but they don't have enough talent to pull this one out.

Patriots 38, Titans 14 --- NE -5 This game has blowout written all over it. Jake Locker is making his first career start and Belichick is 3-0 in those situations. As long as TFB has time to throw the Pats win and win big.

Chiefs 21, Falcons 20 --- Playing in Arrowhead has never been easy. I can't imagine it being a ton of fun as a visiting team on opening day. The Chiefs are healthy and just a year removed from making the playoffs. I think Jamaal Charles has a big day in his return to give his team a win.

Vikings 16, Jaguars 10 --- The game of the weak. Whoever loses this game could be on the fast track to breaking the first pick in next years draft. Both of these teams could be looking at long seasons. For Jacksonville not having Mo-Jo Drew at full speed is going to hard to overcome plus the Vikings are at home.

Saints 34, Redskins 21 --- Drew BREEESSSSS (had to do it for week 1). Anyways, another tough spot to start your career on the road for a rookie QB. RGIII has to do it in the Superdome against a Saints team that will want to make people forget about the whole bounty thing.

Jets 18, Bills 17 --- Chan Gailey is only 3-13 on the road as the Bills coach. On the other hand the Jets can't score a touchdown (I have them at 18 points for 6 FG's). I feel like Sexy Rexy will have his defense pumped up and ready to go against a division rival who is receiving more love.

Texans 27, Dolphins 10 --- It's going to be a long year for first year head coach Joe Philbin and his Dolphins. It sure won't start off to easy heading to an AFC favorite for week one. The Texans should be able to win this one with ease.

Packers 31, 49ers 28  --- A possible preview of the NFC Championship. These are two of the best teams in the NFC. I think the 49ers will be able to score with the Packers like they were able to do against the Saints in the playoffs last year. However I think the Packers get the win at home.

Seahawks 28, Cardinals 20 --- Russell Wilson will be the only rookie QB to get a win in his debut. Everyone thinks he's going to be very good this year. Why haven't I picked this guy up in fantasy football yet?

Panthers 27, Bucs 17 --- The MVP season for Cam Newton starts today. The Panthers defense has improved over the offseason and they get division rival Tampa with a coach making his NFL debut. Panthers get the win.

Steelers 24, Broncos 14 --- PIT +1.5 I refuse to believe the Steelers don't feel like they need to get some revenge in Denver after the way last year ended. Sure the Broncos now have a Hall of Famer playing QB but Peyton has never been great against the Steelers defense. Isaac Redman should be able to run for over 100 yards like he did in the playoffs last year.

Ravens 21, Bengals 17 --- CIN +7 Last year the Bengals went 0-7 against teams with winning records including two losses to the Ravens (31-24 and 24-16). I think the Bengals stay within a touchdown but come up a bit short in Baltimore.

Raiders 27, Chargers 21 --- The Chargers never start the season off well and DAYYY RAYYYYDAAAAS have a lot of optimism this year. However that is banking on Carson Palmer being 2005 Carson Palmer but that ship has sailed for me. Either way I think they get the win on Monday night at home against the hated Chargers.

Thanks for reading. It feels a bit like Christmas today.





Wednesday, September 5, 2012

2012 NFL Predictions

AFC East

New England Patriots 13-3* : Their schedule is so easy. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if TFB and the gang went 15-1 but I dislike them so I gave them three losses. All the AFC teams better be ready to go to New England in January because they will be the one seed.

Buffalo Bills 9-7* : People forget that the Bills started the season 5-2 last year. They made a big improvement to their defensive line by adding Mario Williams and Ryan Fitzpatrick can put up some points. I think the Bills circle the wagons and get into the playoffs for the first time since 1999.

New York Jets 7-9 : Their defense will keep them in games and win them a few by themselves because the offense might not score. Nacho Sanchez has a tremendous amount of pressure on him to succeed now since Tim Tebow is waiting on the bench. The idea to go back to ground and pound makes sense but it hasn't worked out too well in the preseason.

Miami Dolphins 4-12 : It could be a long season in Miami. Ryan Tannehill already has a weak set of receivers but that doesn't even worry me. The main problem is that he thinks the Kansas City Chiefs play in the NFC East. It's mind boggling that he doesn't know the divisions.

AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5* : Their O-line is shaky at best and only Todd Haley knows what the offense is going to look like but they will benefit from an easy schedule. If they get to the playoffs I hope it goes better than their last two appearances. Tebow's miracle last year and Super Bowl XLV didn't go so well.

Baltimore Ravens 10-6* : Losing Terrell Suggs for the season will definitely hurt their ability to get to the QB. That could lead to Ravens relying more on the offense and Joe Flacco. Last year Flacco's completion percentage was the worst of his career and he tied his career high in interceptions. If the Ravens rely on Ray Rice they will be fine.

Cincinnati Bengals 7-9 : Last year the Bengals went 9-7, however they went 0-7 against teams with a winning record. Their schedule features 6 games against last years playoff teams. Meanwhile the previous two times the Bengals made the playoffs they followed up with an 8-8 season and a 4-12 season. Failing to meet expectations is one of Marvin Lewis' strongest features.

Cleveland Browns 4-12 : Oh Brownies. Another rookie QB. Tim Couch, Brady Quinn, Colt McCoy, and now Brandon Weeden. The first three names didn't work out very well. Everyone loves Trent Richardson, but a rookie running back isn't going to take a team very far. Their defense is decent a could keep them close in some games but they will find ways to lose it because they are the Brownies.

AFC South

Houston Texans 11-5* : You can give them the AFC South title right now. The Texans are the best of this weak division and will be a tough team to eliminate from the playoffs if Matt Schaub can remain healthy for the entire season.

Tennessee Titans 8-8 : Their first six games of the season are brutal (New England, at San Diego, Detroit, at Houston, at Minnesota, Pittsburgh). Add in the fact that they are starting basically a rookie in Jake Locker and you have the makings of a 1-5 start. However if Chris Johnson can run like the old Chris Johnson then they will be in most games and could have a chance to surprise a few teams.

Indianapolis Colts 7-9 : Last year the Colts were terrible with Curtis Painter and former UConn great Dan Orlovsky (who won their only two games) but this year they have Andrew Luck. I think he's going to be very good right away. Colts fans won't miss Peyton too much after they see Luck win a few games for them this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars 3-13 : They have the worst quarterback in the league in Blaine Gabbert. Maurice Jones-Drew just got back to the team after skipping training camp so he likely won't be at his best for a few weeks. Their defense isn't awful but they will need to be great to even avoid not losing 10 games.

AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs 9-7* : Everyone forgets that the Chiefs won the division two years ago. Last year they were devastated by injuries, Eric Berry, Jamaal Charles, Tony Moeaki, and Matt Cassel all went down. This year they are all back with a head coach they like and respect in Romeo Crennel. The division contains four good but not great teams, so I'll take the Chiefs in the west.

San Diego Chargers 8-8 : The Chargers never seem to be able to put it all together. I think it starts with the coach Norv Turner, who somehow still has a job. Philip Rivers is one of my favorite quarterbacks but he did throw 20 interceptions and fumbled 7 times last season. If the Chargers want to win the west, those numbers need to go way down.

Denver Broncos 8-8 : I know Peyton Manning is so great, he always wins 10 games, yada yada yada. He didn't play last year. He's on a new team that barely threw the ball last season (except against the Steelers in the damn playoffs). He has to play outdoors in Denver. And his weapons are nothing compared to the arsenal he had for his entire career in Indianapolis. I think they will be in the playoff hunt but I don't think they get there.

Oakland Raiders 7-9 : The Raiders have gone 8-8 the past two seasons and expectations should be pretty high since they think they have a quarterback now. The only problem is Carson Palmer is nothing special and he will throw away at least two or three games this year due to interceptions and a few pick six's.

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles 10-6* : Mike Vick will get hurt and miss a few games like he did last year when Vince Young came in and went 0-3. If they can rely on Shady McCoy in those games without and win some of them, the Eagles might actually be the dream team this year...well not championship dream team but playoffs at least.

New York Giants 9-7 : I'm not picking the defending Super Bowl Champs to make the playoffs. I just think that since Tom Coughlin won't be on the hot seat for at least a few weeks the Giants might not have the urgency right away. Plus last year their record was only 9-7 so they could just miss the last wild card spot.

Dallas Cowboys 7-9 : The Cowboys have enough talent to make the playoffs but they have to remain healthy which they couldn't do last season. If DeMarco Murray can come back to help the offense score they could be tough to beat because there defense will be very solid.

Washington Redskins 5-11 : It's Robert Griffin III and not much else. There is a lot of excitement in Washington about RGIII but I think they still have the wrong owner and coach to be successful. Dan Synder has never done anything good for the Skins and Mike Shanahan hasn't done anything since he had Elway.

NFC North

Green Bay Packers 13-3* : They are the most complete team in the NFC if not the entire league. Aaron Rodgers will want to come back even better to avenge their playoff loss to the Giants. The Packers shouldn't have too much trouble winning the north even though it's a tough division.

Chicago Bears 10-6* : The addition of Brandon Marshall should be a huge benefit to Jay Cutler and the offense. They should be able to put up points but if Brian Urlacher isn't fully healthy or gets injured again the Bears might finish below the Lions again.

Detroit Lions 9-7 : Madden Curse. No seriously that's why I'm picking the Lions to just miss the playoffs. Well that and half the team will probably get arrested during the season to go along with the countless personal fouls they receive.

Minnesota Vikings 3-13 : Sort of the same as Jacksonville. A lot of questions remain about Christian Ponder, who threw as many TD's as he did INT's in his rookie season. If Adrian Peterson is not ready to go for the Vikings the offense could be in some serious trouble early in the year.

NFC South

Carolina Panthers 10-6* : No team has ever repeated in the NFC South. Last year the Saints won the division and had the bounty problems this summer. So I think the Panthers have an opening to win this division, especially since they have Cam Newton playing QB. I love Cam. Also they have improved their defense by getting Jon Beason back and drafting Luke Kuechly.

New Orleans Saints 10-6* : It's hard to say the Saints won't make the playoffs since they have Drew BREEEEEESSSSS as their quarterback. But it won't be too easy with Sean Payton on the sidelines for the year. Its could take a little time to adjust to the interm interm head coach.

Atlanta Falcons 9-7 : I'm not to sure why I don't think the Falcons are going to make the playoffs. Maybe it's how they got crushed 24-2 by the Giants in the Wild Card round last year. I'm not sure but I don't see it happening for Matty Ice this year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-9 : The Bucs will improve from their 4 win season last year. In 2010 they went 10-6 and Josh Freeman was about to be the next big thing. I think the coaching change will help but they still play in an extremely tough division so it's hard to see them being better than 500.

NFC West

San Francisco 49ers 11-5* : Even if Alex Smith doesn't have the year he did last year their defense will win them a bunch of games. Aldon Smith is going to get at least 20 sacks. I honestly think he may break Michael Strahan's record of 22.5 sacks.

Seattle Seahawks 8-8 : There is a lot of hype about Russell Wilson being the starting QB but it's hard for me to pick them to win more than 8 games after looking at their first 8. Games against the Cowboys, Packers, Panthers, Patriots, 49ers, and Lions could have them at 2-6 or 3-5 start which wouldn't be the easiest thing to recover from.

Arizona Cardinals 7-9 : How far can they honestly go with John Skelton as their starting QB? I think their defense is going to be very good but it's going to be tough to get into the playoffs without a franchise QB.

St. Louis Rams 6-10 : In 2010 the Rams when 7-9 and just missed winning the west when they had a healthy Sam Bradford. With new head coach Jeff Fisher they might be very competitive if they keep Bradford on the field. They won't make the playoffs or anything but they won;t be as terrible as last year, winning only two games.

Offensive Rookie of the Year : Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

Defensive Rookie of the Year : Luke Kuechly, LB, Carolina Panthers

NFL MVP : Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

Defensive Player of the Year : Aldon Smith, DE, San Francisco 49ers

Coach of the Year : Romeo Crennel, Kansas City Chiefs



Playoffs


AFC Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers over Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs over Baltimore Ravens

NFC Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles over New Orleans Saints
Chicago Bears over Carolina Panthers

AFC Divisional Round
Houston Texans over Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers

NFC Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears
San Francisco 49ers over Philadelphia Eagles

AFC Championship : New England Patriots over Houston Texans

NFC Championship : Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers


SUPER BOWL XLVII : Green Bay Packers over New England Patriots
This was my Super Bowl pick last year and I'm going with it again. Only three teams have won the AFC Championship since Super Bowl XXXVIII (Patriots, Steelers, and Colts) so I think the Pats will be able to keep that streak going by returning to the Super Bowl. I think the Packers have been the best team in the league since they won the Super Bowl two years ago. They only lost two games last season and they could do that again this year. Aaron Rodgers will add to his resume another Super Bowl MVP as he hands TFB his third loss in the Super Bowl.