Sunday, December 9, 2012

NFL Week 14 Picks


(I don't like the Patriots, but I love Big Vince Wilfork)

I don't understand why some teams are so hesitant to just clean house and start over. Mainly the Chargers and Jets, and a little the Eagles. The Chargers especially, Norv Turner should have been fired three seasons ago yet he is still somehow the head coach. GM A.J Smith has turned on of the most talented rosters a few years ago into a team that's season is over before December starts. The Jets are going to miss the playoffs for the second straight year and I know they owe Nacho a ton of money but they are really going to let Rexy and Nacho come back next season. Things aren't going to get better. Nacho is not a franchise QB and the Jets will probably have another mediocre season next year. Then I think the Eagles will get rid of Andy Reid and Mike Vick to start over, which is what they should do. Anyways, onto the picks.

Overall Record: 78-65-1  Spread: 21-23

Steelers 24, Chargers 17 --- They Chargers have lost 7 of 8 but only two of those losses were by double digits. They have been in every game, they just don't win them. Traveling to Pittsburgh to play the Steelers with Big Ben is not going to be an easy task. The Chargers are only 2-15 in franchise history at Pittsburgh. I think it will be close because the offense might have to adjust to getting Ben back but they should be able to get the win.

Bills 20, Rams 13 --- BUF -3 The Rams are only 1-6 playing teams outside of the NFC West and are 1-3-1 on the road. Buffalo isn't the easiest place to play and I think the Bills are about to go on a run to end the season. Three of their next four games are at home. The Bills will get their second straight win over the Rams who could be tired after an overtime win over the 49ers.

Cowboys 27, Bengals 21 --- DAL +3.5 The Bengals have won four in a row but their past three wins have been against the Chiefs, Raiders, and Chargers. I'm not sure if the Bengals are for real yet. Today is a big game for both teams though. The Cowboys need it more however and after a good performance in Philly last week the Cowboys should be able to hang with the Bengals and force Andy Dalton into a few turnovers to get the big road win.

Browns 28, Chiefs 14 --- The Browns can win three in row. Think about that. The Brownies could win their third straight. They will probably lose to the 2-10 Chiefs because they are the Brownies but I'll pick them.

Colts 31, Titans 28 --- TEN +5.5 The Colts are off an emotional huge win over the Lions. Andrew Luck is the real deal. Indy is 5-1 at home but they went to overtime with the Titans in week 8. The Colts might overlook the Titans because they play the Texans next week but they should get another win and basically secure their playoff spot.

Vikings 26, Bears 21 --- MIN +3 As long as Christian Ponder can manage the game and doesn't force any bad passes the Vikings have a great shot to win. They are 5-1 at home plus they have the best running back in the league. Just feed Adrian Peterson. Plain and simple.

Bucs 34, Eagles 21 --- The Eagles are done. The Bucs need to win to stay in the playoff hunt. If the Bucs lose this game at home they have nobody to blame but themselves. Oh and by the way this Greg Schiano guy should shut his mouth and stop coming up with new ideas to eliminate the kickoff. You've been in the NFL for about eight months. Accomplish something first then you can suggest rule changes.

Baltimore 23, Redskins 17 --- The Ravens are not a great team. Flacco is not good. But I think they will avoid the two game losing streak in Washington. The Redskins are hot but after a big Monday night win over the Giants they could have a bit of a hangover. I hope RG III can knock off the Ravens for the Steelers sake but I'm not sure it will happen.

Falcons 31, Panthers 24 --- The Panthers almost beat the Falcons in week four, losing 30-28. I'm not sure why people are so down on the 11-1 Falcons. They don't blow teams out but at the end of the day they win. The Panthers couldn't beat the Chiefs last week, I don't have much faith that they will pull of this upset.

Jets 19, Jaguars 14 --- This is a huge game for Nacho Sanchez. If he goes out there and throws three picks and they Jets lose he could be done forever (or at least should be). I do think that Rexy will rely on ground game and limit Nacho's throws. The Jets defense is going to need to limit the amount of points the Jaguars put up because the offense probably won't go over 20 points.

49ers 20, Dolphins 6 --- After losses or ties the Niners come out looking for blood on defense. This year after their two losses and tie they have let up an average of 4.3 points per game. The Dolphins have to travel out west. I don't think it ends well for the 'Phins today.

Giants 34, Saints 30 --- This game will most likely come down to the end of it. It should be exciting to see either Eli or Drew BREEEEESSSSS trying to win the game late. I'm still not sure about the Giants. I know this is what they do in the season. Win some big games, lose some head scratchers. But the Redskins and Cowboys are right on their tails in the East. So they do need to win this game. Meanwhile the Saints are finished but they won't just lie down for the last four weeks.

Seahawks 21, Cardinals 13 --- The Seahawks are 5-0 at home and the Cardinals have lost 8 in a row and have players spitting at each other. Darnell Dockett is going to get fined over $100,000 for spitting on his own teammate is crazy. I understand if he spit on an opponent but why would he get fined for spitting on Kerry Rhodes? Anyways, the Seahawks will win but I'm not sure they cover the spread of 10.

Packers 30, Lions 24 --- It wouldn't surprise me if the Lions finish 4-12. They don't have any fight in them anymore. I'll give credit to the Colts and Andrew Luck but the Lions defense has to make a stop in that situation at home against a rookie QB. The Packers should be able to put up a lot of points.

Texans 31, Patriots 27 --- This is a big game for the Texans. If they can win they will almost clinch the number 1 seed in the AFC and also prove that they are an elite team. The Texans are 6-0 on the road. The Patriots have won six in a row and always seem to play well on Monday nights. I just think this game means more to the Texans. Also TFB's weapons are starting to drop like flies. No Gronk or Edleman could actually slow down the Pats offense.




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