Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL Week 13 Picks


Just when I decided to get get cocky about my 12-4 stretch, I crash and burn on Thanksgiving. 0-3 on spreads and only 1-2 in picking winners. Hopefully that's all the humble pie I need. Onto the picks...

Overall: 101-69  Spread: 29-23-1

Steelers 31, Saints 24 --- The Steelers are off a bye, which should help their defense get healthy. The Saints are on the road after losing three straight at home. The Steelers are 4-1 at home this season, while the Saints are only 1-4 away from the SuperDome. Plus Mike Tomlin is 6-1 off a bye during his career. The numbers are in their favor so I'll take the Steelers.

Colts 30, Redskins 20 --- Personally I like that Colt McCoy is getting the start over RG III but I'm not sure I understand why at this point. I get that the Redskins are starting to get a little tired of Bobby Griffin but if you don't play him, what's the ultimate goal? Is Colt McCoy really you're future. Just RG III play and if he stinks or gets hurt than you can justify moving on from him this offseason rather than wasting another season next year with him as the starter again. Colts win a home.

Texans 24, Titans 14 --- HOU -6.5 The Titans are not god and the Texans are going to be an 8-8 football team. No Ryan Mallett doesn't hurt the Texans. They will be just fine with the Amish Rifle leading them against the Titans, who they already beat 30-16 this year.

Bills 26, Browns 24 --- I am just going to start picking against the Browns every week from now. I don't like it when the Browns have a winning record. How are they 7-4? Stupid Mike Smith gave them last weeks game against the Falcons because he doesn't know how to use timeouts correctly. Give me Bills at home to keep their playoff chances alive.

Ravens 28, Chargers 20 --- The last time the Chargers came across the country to play a 1 o'clock game they lost 37-0 to the Dolphins. I'm starting to think the Ravens are the best team in the AFC North and I think they will take down the Chargers at home today, where they are 4-1 this year.

Giants 27, Jaguars 20 --- I want to pick the Jaguars so badly. The Giants have lost six in a row and they are 1-4 on the road. Jacksonville has been bad and Blake Bortles just refuses to throw the ball to his own team during his rookie season. I'll take the Giants but if they lose, I'll be chanting fire Coughlin.

Bengals 31, Bucs 20 --- Can the Bengals have an easier schedule please? Their last four games include tough match-ups against the Jaguars, Browns, Saints, and Texans. Now they get the 2-9 Bucs, who have not won a home game this year.

Rams 24, Raiders 20 --- The Raiders are 0-5 on the road this year but they are fresh off their first victory of the season and they've had a long break. The Rams schedule has been brutal this year. The Raiders will be the first team with a losing record that they've played since week two. Nine straight games against teams that could end out in the playoffs. Hopefully they don't play down to their competition today.

Vikings 20, Panthers 17 --- UNDER 41 This one could go either way. I'll take the Vikings since it's in Minnesota plus they could get to Cam Newton today. The Panthers have not won since October 5 and since their 37-37 tie against the Bengals, the Panthers have not scored more than 21 points in a game.

Cardinals 24, Falcons 17 --- ARZ -2 The Falcons have yet to beat a team outside the NFC South. They should have beaten the Browns last week but their coach is a dope. I'll take the Cardinals to bounce back today. Their offense should let better against an average Falcons squad compared to the Seahawks defense they played last week.

Patriots 34, Packers 20 --- NE +2.5 The Packers are 5-0 at Lambeau Field this season but the Patriots are just smoking people recently. I said last week I wasn't going to allow myself to pick against the Pats anymore so that's what I'm doing. If they win this game though be prepared for everybody to proclaim the Patriots the Super Bowl champions already.

Chiefs 28, Broncos 24 --- I'm starting to lose faith in the Broncos. They are only 2-3 on the road and haven't looked good the past two weeks. I think the Chiefs loss to the Raiders was a classic trap game on a Thursday night. They have had plenty of time to regroup and prepare for this one. Arrowhead should be rocking and if the Chiefs can get to Peyton they could get the win.

Dolphins 28, Jets 17 --- Thank goodness we get to watch the Jets on Monday Night Football again. This should be fun. I guess it could be interesting to see how long Geno Smith plays. He could throw three first half picks and Matt Simms might find his way into the game. If the Dolphins lose this one they should just forfeit the rest of the season.

Enjoy the games people.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

THANKSGIVING FOOTBALL


HUMBABE. A tradition unlike any other. Thanksgiving football. Nothing better. Turkey, stuffing, pie, football, and some beers. Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday for so many reasons but the slate of games this year and also the snow yesterday, has me very excited. I went 3-1 in for spreads for the fourth straight week. That's 12-4 if you're counting. Onto the picks...

Overall: 100-67  Spread: 29-20-1

Lions 21, Bears 17 --- UNDER 47.5 My usual Thanksgiving tradition is taking the Lions no matter what the spread is. The line is Lions -7 and I'm not too sure what to make of either team at the moment. The Lions have lost two in a row, while the Bears have won two straight. Last year the Lions won their first thanksgiving game in nine years by defeating the Aaron Rodger-less Packers 40-10. I'll take the Lions to win because they are the better team I think but give me the under. The Lions haven't scored a touchdown in two games and their defense, despite getting roughed up by the Patriots, is solid. The Bears on the other hand have been awful on defense this season and the offense hasn't been outstanding. I'll take my chances on this being a low scoring affair.

Cowboys 27, Eagles 21 --- DAL -3 Remember the last time Nacho Sanchez played on Thanksgiving? If you forgot there was this little play called the "Butt Fumble". Since Mark took over for Nick Foles, the Eagles are 2-1, both of their wins came at home, with the loss coming on the road to the Packers. I think that trend continues. The Cowboys are only 3-3 at home this year but they've been good on Thanksgiving recently, having won 6 of 8. I'll take them to win and get to nine wins on the season.

49ers 24, Seahawks 21 --- SF -1 I just don't like the Seahawks. Once every year I just realize that I dislike them a lot. That happened last Sunday after they beat the Cardinals and ruined a few parley's I had going. The Niners have not been too impressive recently barely beating the Giants and the Redskins but they got those wins to get to 7-4. I'll take the Niners at home because I think these two teams will spilt their season series so I'll take the home team. Also I think the Seahawks win over the Cardinals used a lot of emotion, while the Niners were more in a trap game situation.

Happy Thanksgiving to everybody who reads this. I really appreciate it.



Sunday, November 23, 2014

NFL Week 12 Picks


I don't like Steelers bye weeks. It doesn't even feel like an NFL Sunday if the Steelers aren't playing until next Sunday. I get the value of a bye week, especially this late into the season but I just want the Steelers to play dammit. As for picks I am rolling when it comes to spreads. For three straight weeks I've gone 3-1. That's 9-3 people. Outright picking games...well, not so much. 8-5 last week. Thanks TFB and the stand up comedian that played running back against the Colts. Onto the picks.

Overall: 91-62  Spread: 26-19-1

Falcons 24, Browns 17 --- The Falcons have yet to beat a team outside of the NFC South. At 4-6 they are somehow leading their division. The Browns are 6-4 but for some reason I have a feeling the wheels are about to come of the Brownies bus. That's probably because they are the Browns after all. They have had a ton of injuries on defense and their offense is not explosive. Give me the Falcons at home.

Eagles 34, Titans 17 --- The Eagles are good. The Titans stink. Give me the Eagles at home.

Patriots 27, Lions 17 --- I'm never picking against the Patriots again. I've officially learned my lesson. They very well may run the table to finish at 14-2 (actually I'm going to pick the Packers next week). Either way it's same old same old for New England. They will likely have the number seed in the AFC and then lose in the AFC Championship.

Packers 24, Vikings 21 --- MIN +7.5 I think this is a trap game for the Packers. With the Patriots coming up next week in a possible Super Bowl preview they very well may overlook the 4-6 Vikings. The Packers did beat the Vikings 42-10 earlier this season, but that was on a Thursday night in Lambeau with no Teddy Bridgewater for the purple team. I think the Vikings keep it close but the Packers will walk away with the win.

Colts 35, Jaguars 20 --- The Jaguars are 0-5 on the road and only once have they been even close to getting a road victory. As for the Colts, who will win this game, I'm starting to believe they are vastly overrated. Everyone loves Andrew Luck, including myself, but who have they beaten that makes you go wow the Colts are really good. The Bengals 27-0 home win was impressive but are the Bengals really good? They also beat the Ravens at home. Other than that their wins are over the Giants, Titans, Texans, and Jaguars. They have losses to the Broncos, Eagles, Steelers, and Patriots. The Steelers might not be great but losing to the Patriots and Broncos doesn't look great, especially by getting physically dominated by the Patriots and they were losing to the Broncos 24-0 before losing by seven.

 Bengals 27, Texans 20 --- CIN +2.5 I'm not sold on the Bengals. One week they look awesome and the next they look like the Bungals. I'll take them today on the road and pray that Andy Dalton plays well. AJ Green appears to be healthy and they get Gio Bernard back today. If the Bengals can force the Meat Mallett to turn the ball over once or twice Cincy should get the road win.

Bears 27, Bucs 20 --- Both of these teams kind of stink. The Bucs are still somewhat in contention with two victories but DA BEARS are pretty much done at 4-6. Even if they win today to get to 5-6 they still have the Lions twice, the Cowboys, and the Saints remaining. They won't get past eight wins if they even get to that.

Cardinals 21, Seahawks 17 --- ARZ +7 I said last week I won't pick against the Cardinals until they lose. The Cards have won six in a row and only once this season have they allowed a team to score more than 20 points. They have a chance to basically claim the NFC West today while also almost eliminating the defending Super Bowl champs from playoff contention. They won in Seattle last year and I think they can do it again.

Chargers 24, Rams 21 --- The Rams have beaten the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks. They are the opposite of the Steelers who play down to their competition. They get up for big games and win them. I don't really know what to make of the Chargers at 6-4. Other than their Seahawks win, none of their wins are impressive. They are 4-1 at home though, so I'll pick them today but it could be a nail biter.

Dolphins 24, Broncos 21 --- MIA +7 I have no confidence in this pick and I really don't know why I'm doing it. The Broncos are off an upset loss to the Rams so I have a feeling returning to Denver where they are 5-0 could be a big boost. I can see them rolling the Dolphins at home. However they have a ton of injuries on offense and the Dolphins can pressure the quarterback. If they can get to Peyton and he doesn't have Julius Thomas and Manny Sanders isn't at full strength the Dolphins could pull off this upset. I do stink at picking Dolphins games though...

49ers 27, Redskins 14 --- I have a feeling the Redskins are on the verge of a meltdown. Jay Gruden basically told Bob Griffin to shut up on Monday after Bobby said his teammates need to play better. That Bob Griffin guy is a diva. Anyways I betting that his teammates are on the side of the coach and might just let Aldon Smith have a few free runs at the QB. Give the Niners at home.

Cowboys 27, Giants 20 --- If the Cowboys win they will get to 8-3. It's going to make things very difficult for them to inevitably finish 8-8. I don't think they will lose five straight, so the Cowboys might just get to 9 wins. They are 4-0 on the road and Tony Romo has been very good recently in JetLife Stadium. Also it isn't December yet so he should play well after the bye week. The G-Men have lost five straight and I don't see thing getting better for them.

Jets 24, Bills 17 --- The Jets are 0-4 on the road but is this really a road game since they are playing in Detroit? I'll take the Jets because they should have some confidence after beating the Steelers and I think the Bills snow issues could hurt them. They didn't practice for a long time, while the Jets did.

Saints 34, Ravens 27 --- I have no idea why I still think the Saints are good when they've proven to me all year that they stink. They have lost two straight at home, which never happens. Frankly I think they are a soft team. I'm still picking them to beat the Ravens though because I trust Drew BREEEEESSSSS to get the job done at home on a Monday night.

Enjoy the games people.

Sunday, November 16, 2014

NFL Week 11 Picks


It is already week 11. The season is more than halfway over and that makes me very upset. Pretty soon the season will be over and the only thing anybody will talk about is the NBA and LeBron. Can't wait for that... Anyways I had a good week picking last Sunday (10-2 outright and 3-1 spreads). Onto the picks.

Overall: 83-57   Spread: 23-18-1

Chiefs 24, Seahawks 21 --- This one is a toss up to me. I think Arrowhead will be rocking today because they are trying to set a new sound record or something. The Chiefs have won 6 of 7 but it still seems like they have to prove that they are good. The Seahawks have won three straight after losing two in a row but those wins are over the Panthers, Raiders, and Giants. I'll take the Chiefs at home but I'm not too confident in it.

Panthers 27, Falcons 24 --- I might be dead wrong about this pick but I have a feeling the Panthers are going to play well today. They can't play as bad as they did last week I'm guessing. Cam Newton shouldn't face as much pressure today as he did against the Eagles since the Falcons rank second to last in sacks. Plus it's not like the Falcons are all of sudden back after beating the Bucs last week.

Saints 31, Bengals 28 --- CIN +7 The Bungals looked terrible the last time we saw them against the Browns. The Saints haven't been great either at 4-5 but they do lead the NFC South. They are at home, where they normally win (minus last week) so I'll give them the edge but I don't think they cover the touchdown spread.

Redskins 26, Bucs 17 --- The Redskins have won 2 out of 3 and are off a bye. Tampa Bay is dreadful but they did beat the Steelers so there's that. The Redskins should win this game at home to improve to 4-6. If they don't they might as well bench RG III for the rest of the year to prevent injuries.

Broncos 34, Rams 20 --- OVER 51 The Rams recent schedule has been brutal. After starting the season against Minnesota and Tampa Bay they have since played Cowboys, Eagles, 49ers (twice), Seahawks, Chiefs, and Cardinals. Sitting at 3-6 without Sam Bradford isn't that bad of an accomplishment. They do get the Broncos today so 3-7 is likely but at least the Rams can feel good about something right? Also take the over 51 because in 6 out of 9 games for the Broncos they have gone over that number.

49ers 28, Giants 20 --- The Niners need to keep winning if they want to make the playoffs and the Giants stink. The G-Men have lost four in a row to good teams (Dallas, Philly, Indy, and Seattle) but I don't see them pulling off the upset today even though it is at home and they are playing a west coast team at 1 PM.

Bears 24, Vikings 20 --- The Bears cannot be as bad as they have been over their past two games. Sure the players might not like each other and the coach is probably on his way out but they can't be 106-37 bad. They are also 0-3 at home this year so maybe I should take the Vikings but I won't.

Texans 20, Browns 17 --- HOU +3.5 The Browns have won 5 of 6. What planet am I on? Those wins are against some lesser competition (Titans, Raiders, and Bucs) but they are beating the teams they are supposed to beat. I think they will slip up today though when the Texans come to town and Ryan "The Meat" Mallet makes his first NFL start. The Texans are off a bye and have a very good turnover differential despite having Ryan Fitzpatrick being their quarterback for nine games. As long as Mallet protects the ball they could beat the Browns.

Chargers 34, Raiders 24 --- The Chargers have lost three games in a row with their last win coming against the Raiders coming over a month ago. They are off a bye and return home so they should win against the 0-9 Raiders.

Cardinals 23, Lions 20 --- I am going to keep picking the Cardinals until they lose. I don't care that Drew Stanton is the starter now that Carson Palmer is hurt. The Cardinals just keep winning and I don't think the QB position defines them. The Lions are a sneaky 7-2 but going into Arizona where the Cardinals are 5-0 won't be easy.

Packers 34, Eagles 28 --- Can we just give Aaron Rodgers the MVP right now? 25 touchdowns. 3 interceptions. His QB rating is 120! He's been awesome and I don't see the Eagles defense shutting him down today. Nacho Sanchez might keep it close if it becomes a shoot out but I'll take the Packers.

Colts 34, Patriots 30 --- I'm already prepared to be wrong in this game. The Patriots might go into Indy and torch the Colts defense and then force a handful of Andrew Luck turnovers. That probably will happen but I'm not that smart and I don't like the Patriots so I'll take the Colts. This game probably means more to the Colts since it would give them a  huge win taking down the power of AFC and putting themselves in the race for the number one seed.

Steelers 24, Titans 21 ---TEN +6.5 I'm not sure what to make of this game. I generally have a good feeling about how the Steelers will play. Last week's loss to the Jets was not surprising at all, hard to watch but not shocking. The Steelers have lost two in a row to the Titans so I have a feeling this game could be close. I think the fact that the Steelers just lost to a one win team should motivate them to get their act together and beat a two win team this week. If they lose though. FIRE EVERYONE.

Enjoy the games people.

Saturday, November 8, 2014

NFL Week 10 Picks


I am at the Steelers Jets game right now. I wrote this post last night, so if some injury talk is wrong or the lines have funny numbers cut me some slack. Let's get right to the picks.

Overall: 73-55  Spread: 20-17-1

Jets 20, Steelers 17 OT --- NYJ +4.5 You read that correctly folks. I am taking the Jets to win this game outright. First off I have never seen the Steelers win in person. They are 0-2 with two overtime losses to the Jaguars and the Jets. Secondly, I just have a strange feeling that the offense is going to fall back to earth and the Jets running game will gash the mediocre Steelers defense. I hope I'm wrong and Big Ben throws another six touchdowns so I'll be able to wave my Terrible Towel all day but I am nervous that won't happen.

Chiefs 24, Bills 21 --- KC Pick 'em --- In this one I just think the Chiefs are the better team. They have won five of six and have been handling teams pretty easily. The Bills are only 2-3 vs AFC teams if that means anything. In all likelihood Kyle Orton turns the ball over more than Alex Smith, so give me the Chiefs on the road.

Lions 20, Dolphins 17 --- Like I say every week, there is really no reason for me to pick the Dolphins game. They always do the opposite of what I say. Last week I picked the Chargers to win and the Dolphins shut them out 37-0. I'll pick against them again because the Lions are sneaky good and they have a very good defense. So that means the Dolphins will win now.

Cowboys 31, Jaguars 21 --- Even if Tony Romo doesn't play the Cowboys cannot lose to the Jaguars in London. They just can't. Feed DeMarco Murray the ball all day and make Brandon Weeden a non-factor. If the Cowboys do lose their third straight though, hello 8-8.

P.S. Move the Jaguars to London for good.

Saints 34, 49ers 27 --- Are the Saints home? Yes. Give me the Saints then. They don't lose in New Orleans and the Niners apparently aren't all the good. I don't know how they failed to beat the Rams at home last week. The Jim Harbaugh era might actually be ending, especially if they fall below .500 after today.

Ravens 28, Titans 17 --- The Ravens four losses are to the Steelers, Colts, and twice to the Bengals. All of those teams have winning records, I was going to say they were all good team but who knows about the Bungals after their last performance. The Ravens have been taking care of their lesser opponents, which I think is something they will do today to the 2-6 Titans.

Bucs 23, Falcons 21 --- Something has to give in this game. The Falcons are 0-4 on the road this season and Matt Ryan hasn't won an outdoor game since about 2012. The Bucs are 0-4 at home. I'll take the Bucs because the Falcons appear to be a mess, with a coach on the verge of being fired.

Broncos 34, Raiders 27 --- OAK +12 The Broncos are still a very good team despite getting crushed by the Patriots last week. I picked them to win but I was wrong, New England just has Peyton's number in Foxboro. Anyways, the Broncos will not lose two in a row thanks to the fact that they get to play the winless Raiders. I'm starting the believe that the Raiders are going 0-16. Only one of their remaining opponents has a losing record at the moment. That's the Rams, who they would have to play on the road. With all that being said take the Raiders and pray they cover.

Cardinals 24, Rams 14 --- All in on the Cardinals. I sneaky think they are going to the Super Bowl. I don't want to commit to it just yet but I honestly wouldn't surprise me at this point. The Rams are off a surprising upset over the Niners but I don't think they pull off another one. Give me the Cards at home.

Seahawks 31, Giants 21 --- The Giants had the worst game plan of all-time last Monday night against the Colts. They apparently did not watch any film of the Steelers offense torching the Colts defense. I don't see things going their way today in Seattle. The Seahawks haven't been dominant but they still keep winning at home.

Packers 34, Bears 21 --- OVER 53 The Bears are a mess and the Packers have Aaron Rodgers. I think Rodgers has the potential to have a massive game against the Bears defense. I'll take the over in this one because if the Packers jump out to a huge lead the Bears will score a few late touchdowns.

Eagles 28, Panthers 24 --- I am all in on the player formerly know as Nacho Sanchize. That's right I think Mark Sanchez will fill in very well for Nick Foles basically because Chip Kelly is a wizard. I do think the Panthers will give the Eagles a game however because the Eagles defense will have to adjust to live without DeMeco Ryans.

Enjoy the game people.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

NFL Week 9 Picks


It's the first NFL weekend of November. No more baseball so it is officially Football time. The only sad thing is that the NFL season will be half over after this week. There are a few big games this week so let's get right to it.

Overall: 65-51  Spread: 17-16-1

Browns 24, Bucs 20 --- TB +7 This would be such a Brownies move to lose to the 1-6 Buccaneers. Oh wait, the Steelers lost the Bucs... Wow that just made me really upset. The Bucs have one win and it's over the Steelers. Imagine if the Steelers hadn't blown that game? They'd be 6-2 and sitting pretty atop the AFC North. Anyways the Browns should win since they are at home where they are 3-1 this year. But I don't think they cover the spread.

Cardinals 27, Cowboys 21 --- ARZ +3 I'm all in on the Cardinals. Carson Palmer has ONE interception this year. What planet am I on? One?!? Sure he's only played in four games but still ONE?!? Tony Romo has a back issue and may not be all that effective. Also the Cardinals run defense has allowed the second fewest yards this season so I'm predicting DeMarco Murray's 100 yard game streak will end. Give me the Cards.

Eagles 28, Texans 21 --- I think the Eagles are the better team but I want to talk about J.J. Watt calling out Titans QB Zack Mettenberger for taking a selfie before his first NFL start. Watt wasn't pleased with Mettenberger and his supposed lack of seriousness about the game or the NFL. Who made you the Brian McCann of the NFL bro? Worry about the Texans and not about some rookie on the Titans. I sort of liked J.J. Watt but he kind of seems like a hardo meathead now. Good for you that that's what got you motivated to beat the awful Titans but worry about your own mediocre team.

Chiefs 31, Jets 14 --- I've always like Michael Vick but I think he's finished. I doubt he will fare much better than Geno Smith has. The Chiefs have been very good after their 0-2 start, winning 4 of 5 and I'm assuming they will win today. The best thing for the Jets to do is to lose out and try to get the number one pick and pray that Jameis A. enters the draft and B. decides to stop being a dope.

Bengals 34, Jaguars 17 --- I believe it was Peter King who said that Gus Bradley might be in trouble as the Jaguars coach. If they fire Gus I'll be off the Jags bandwagon. You can have your old ladies wearing jeans in the stadium pool. Give me Gus. I understand that 1-7 doesn't look good but they are playing with a rookie quarterback who throws an interception on every other drive and they also have no talent. They aren't going to win today because they are awful on the road and the Bengals are very good at home but give Gus a chance...Or move the team to London and not LA. Don't want, Need a London football club.

Chargers 28, Dolphins 24 --- SD +3 Per usual I have no idea who to pick in the Dolphins game. I'll go with the Chargers since they are off a longer break and I think Phil Rivers will get the job done. But the 1 PM start on the east coast worries me a little bit plus the Dolphins have been playing pretty well, having won three of four. All three of those wins came away from Miami though. I'll probably be wrong but I'll take the Chargers.

Vikings 24, Redskins 17 --- Wait did I hear Bobby Griffin III is playing for the Redskins? Yep. Well then give me the Vikings. If I were Jay Gruden I would have stuck with Colt McCoy for another week. I think he gave the Redskins a serious boost in confidence on Monday night against the Cowboys. I just have a feeling RGIII isn't really ready to go and it wouldn't shock me at all if he A. fails to finish the game or B. refuses to run thus making the offense horrible.

Seahawks 35, Raiders 14 --- The spread for this game is Seahawks -15. That's so big that I almost want to take the Raiders but they are the 0-7 RAYYDERS. The Seahawks will win this game.

49ers 26, Rams 17 --- The 49ers have already defeated the Rams three weeks ago. The Rams had a 14-0 in the first game but then got outscored 31-3 to finish the game. The Niners are off a bye and a beat down from the Broncos. I'll take the Niners to get back on the right path.

Broncos 34, Patriots 27 --- First off the Broncos have only played two road games this year compared to five at home. How is that even possible? Anyways Gillette Stadium is going to be a wind tunnel this evening and we all know that Peyton throws some ducks and overall has not been great against the Patriots. With all that being said I'm taking the Broncos to win outright. I'm just not in love with the Patriots even though they have won four in a row. They are a good team don't get me wrong but I think the Broncos are superior to them. I think TFB will get pressured and the Broncos defense won't allow them to score north of 30 points. Give me the Broncos on the road.

Steelers 23, Ravens 20 --- Let me say I have zero confidence in this pick. Last week I honestly thought the Steelers were going to beat the Colts. I just don't know if they are good enough to win three games in a row. The Ravens already crushed the Steelers 26-6 in week two. I'll take the Steelers because more often than not these two teams split the season series and it's at Heinz Field, where the Steelers are 3-1 this year, but if the Steelers offense goes back to being inconsistent they will probably lose to the Ravens.

Giants 34, Colts 30 --- OVER 51.5 I originally was going to go with the Colts in this one but I think the fact that the Giants are off a bye and the Colts defense looked liked swiss cheese last week swayed me. Plus I heard that Andrew Luck is only .500 on the road during his career. I think this game will high scoring assuming Eli isn't atrocious. Give me the Giants to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Enjoy the games people.