Sunday, November 16, 2014

NFL Week 11 Picks


It is already week 11. The season is more than halfway over and that makes me very upset. Pretty soon the season will be over and the only thing anybody will talk about is the NBA and LeBron. Can't wait for that... Anyways I had a good week picking last Sunday (10-2 outright and 3-1 spreads). Onto the picks.

Overall: 83-57   Spread: 23-18-1

Chiefs 24, Seahawks 21 --- This one is a toss up to me. I think Arrowhead will be rocking today because they are trying to set a new sound record or something. The Chiefs have won 6 of 7 but it still seems like they have to prove that they are good. The Seahawks have won three straight after losing two in a row but those wins are over the Panthers, Raiders, and Giants. I'll take the Chiefs at home but I'm not too confident in it.

Panthers 27, Falcons 24 --- I might be dead wrong about this pick but I have a feeling the Panthers are going to play well today. They can't play as bad as they did last week I'm guessing. Cam Newton shouldn't face as much pressure today as he did against the Eagles since the Falcons rank second to last in sacks. Plus it's not like the Falcons are all of sudden back after beating the Bucs last week.

Saints 31, Bengals 28 --- CIN +7 The Bungals looked terrible the last time we saw them against the Browns. The Saints haven't been great either at 4-5 but they do lead the NFC South. They are at home, where they normally win (minus last week) so I'll give them the edge but I don't think they cover the touchdown spread.

Redskins 26, Bucs 17 --- The Redskins have won 2 out of 3 and are off a bye. Tampa Bay is dreadful but they did beat the Steelers so there's that. The Redskins should win this game at home to improve to 4-6. If they don't they might as well bench RG III for the rest of the year to prevent injuries.

Broncos 34, Rams 20 --- OVER 51 The Rams recent schedule has been brutal. After starting the season against Minnesota and Tampa Bay they have since played Cowboys, Eagles, 49ers (twice), Seahawks, Chiefs, and Cardinals. Sitting at 3-6 without Sam Bradford isn't that bad of an accomplishment. They do get the Broncos today so 3-7 is likely but at least the Rams can feel good about something right? Also take the over 51 because in 6 out of 9 games for the Broncos they have gone over that number.

49ers 28, Giants 20 --- The Niners need to keep winning if they want to make the playoffs and the Giants stink. The G-Men have lost four in a row to good teams (Dallas, Philly, Indy, and Seattle) but I don't see them pulling off the upset today even though it is at home and they are playing a west coast team at 1 PM.

Bears 24, Vikings 20 --- The Bears cannot be as bad as they have been over their past two games. Sure the players might not like each other and the coach is probably on his way out but they can't be 106-37 bad. They are also 0-3 at home this year so maybe I should take the Vikings but I won't.

Texans 20, Browns 17 --- HOU +3.5 The Browns have won 5 of 6. What planet am I on? Those wins are against some lesser competition (Titans, Raiders, and Bucs) but they are beating the teams they are supposed to beat. I think they will slip up today though when the Texans come to town and Ryan "The Meat" Mallet makes his first NFL start. The Texans are off a bye and have a very good turnover differential despite having Ryan Fitzpatrick being their quarterback for nine games. As long as Mallet protects the ball they could beat the Browns.

Chargers 34, Raiders 24 --- The Chargers have lost three games in a row with their last win coming against the Raiders coming over a month ago. They are off a bye and return home so they should win against the 0-9 Raiders.

Cardinals 23, Lions 20 --- I am going to keep picking the Cardinals until they lose. I don't care that Drew Stanton is the starter now that Carson Palmer is hurt. The Cardinals just keep winning and I don't think the QB position defines them. The Lions are a sneaky 7-2 but going into Arizona where the Cardinals are 5-0 won't be easy.

Packers 34, Eagles 28 --- Can we just give Aaron Rodgers the MVP right now? 25 touchdowns. 3 interceptions. His QB rating is 120! He's been awesome and I don't see the Eagles defense shutting him down today. Nacho Sanchez might keep it close if it becomes a shoot out but I'll take the Packers.

Colts 34, Patriots 30 --- I'm already prepared to be wrong in this game. The Patriots might go into Indy and torch the Colts defense and then force a handful of Andrew Luck turnovers. That probably will happen but I'm not that smart and I don't like the Patriots so I'll take the Colts. This game probably means more to the Colts since it would give them a  huge win taking down the power of AFC and putting themselves in the race for the number one seed.

Steelers 24, Titans 21 ---TEN +6.5 I'm not sure what to make of this game. I generally have a good feeling about how the Steelers will play. Last week's loss to the Jets was not surprising at all, hard to watch but not shocking. The Steelers have lost two in a row to the Titans so I have a feeling this game could be close. I think the fact that the Steelers just lost to a one win team should motivate them to get their act together and beat a two win team this week. If they lose though. FIRE EVERYONE.

Enjoy the games people.

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