NFL Week 14 Picks

Not a good week 13 of making picks. 8-8 in outright winners and 1-6 on spreads, counting the Thanksgiving games. I swear whenever I say bet the Patriots spread they don't cover just to screw me. It's nice that they lost but then I also lose money so it's almost not worth it. Anyways, only four weeks left in the season. College football is pretty much over so we better enjoy the next few weeks because before you know it football will be gone.

Overall: 108-75   Spread: 30-26-1

Steelers 27, Bengals 24 --- PIT +3 I am very confident in the Steelers for some reason. The loss to the Saints last week was predictable. But they have been very good against teams with winning records, 4-1. The Bengals return home after sweeping a three game road stretch. However the last winning record team the Bengals played they lost 24-3 against the Browns. I just have a feeling Andy Dalton is due for a stinker. Plus the Steelers need this game more. If they lose the season is pretty much over.

Redskins 26, Rams 23 --- WAS +3.5 The Rams beat the Raiders 54-0 last week. Maybe, just maybe they are due for a let down. At least that's what I'm hoping for. The Redskins were in the game against the Colts last week for awhile with Colt McCoy. It's the first game Colt will start at home, so there is the potential for a little boost for the Redskins. I'll take them outright, also because the Rams might overlook the Redskins for their Thursday night game against the Cardinals next week.

Titans 20, Giants 17 --- I'm done with the Giants. I was on the verge of picking the Jaguars last week but I said, "hey maybe the Giants aren't that awful." I was wrong. They stink. 7 straight losses and while the Titans are equally dreadful, I'll take the home team.

Saints 31, Panthers 21 --- Another team that's on a brutal skid, the Carolina Panthers. They have lost six straight, including getting beat up by the Vikings last week. I'll take the Saints to win. I think they figured some things out last week in Pittsburgh.

Vikings 24, Jets 14 --- MIN -6 In games when Teddy Bridgewater does throw an interception. The Vikings are 0-4. In games when he does not throw a pick, the Vikes are 4-1. He has been pretty good in his rookie season so far and if they beat the Jets today at home they will be 6-7 on the year.

Dolphins 28, Ravens 24 --- I'm not sure how much the loss of Haloti Ngata will hurt the Ravens. I realize he's a beast and a great athlete, but give me Vince Wilfork every day of the week over Ngata. After saying that though, I'm picking the Dolphins because he will be out. The 'Phins running game is ranked 10th, so I think they will be able to move the ball.

Colts 28, Browns 20 --- The 3.5 line stinks for the Colts but I'll sill take them to win. I personally think the Brownies should have gone with Johnny Football as their starter over Brian Hoyer. I understand that Hoyer is the guy that led them to a 7-5 record but he has only led the Browns offense to one touchdown in his past 45 possessions. JFF did that on his first drive. I just think a guy like Manziel can give the Browns offense a burst of energy that they need to get into the playoffs. With Hoyer I feel like they are headed for an 8-8 or 9-7 record but that won't be good enough to get in.

Lions 27, Bucs 20 --- The Lions are 5-1 at home and need to keep winning. The Bucs are 2-10 and aren't really playing for anything now that the NFC South leader has five wins. Lions win.

Jaguars 24, Texans 21 --- JAX +6.5 The Jags are about to get hot. One win in a row. Here comes two. Ryan Fitzpatrick had the game of his life last week against the Titans, throwing six touchdowns to no interceptions. That won't happen again. I think the Jaguars keep in close and maybe pull off the upset.

Broncos 31, Bills 24 --- The Broncos are 6-0 at home this year and I don't see their first loss coming to the Bills. I just think that if the Broncos get out to an early lead the Bills don't have the firepower to hang with them.

Cardinals 21, Chiefs 17 --- I'm trying to get off the Cardinals bandwagon but I can't do it just yet. Sure they have stunk on offense over the past two weeks but they return home today where they are 6-0 this season. The Chiefs have lost two in a row and if the Cardinals defense regains their form it could be three losses in a row for the road team.

Seahawks 27, Eagles 21 --- The Eagles are another undefeated home team but I think they go down today. I'm believing in the Seahawks now. Their defense has been dominant over the past two weeks, allowing six points. I think their Super Bowl hangover phase has come and gone and with the NFC West crown in reach they have all the motivation to win this game.

49ers 26, Raiders 14 --- I think the Raiders proved last week that their season goal have been accomplished. They got their win and they can lock up the number pick if they lose out. Niners should win.

Patriots 27, Chargers 20 --- Phil Rivers is 30-6 in December since 2006 but the Patriots just don't lose two in a row. Plus now that they lost to the Packers, they need to keep winning in order to secure home field advantage in the AFC.

Packers 41, Falcons 20 --- No chance the Packers lose on Monday night to the Falcons. They are 6-0 at Lambeau and Aaron Rodgers is just too good.

Enjoy the games people.