Sunday, October 12, 2014

NFL Week 6 Picks


I had a pretty good week five going 10-5 outright despite picking the Chiefs and Texans to win o
outright. I also went 2-1-1 for spreads, so hopefully I can keep it going today.

Overall: 42-34   Spread: 11-9-1

Browns 27, Steelers 24 --- Sadly, I don't think the Steelers are going to beat the Brownies today. They were lucky to hold off the Browns for their week one victory and I think playing in Cleveland today, the Steelers will have a tough time stopping the Browns up-tempo offense. I could be wrong and the Steelers will play like they did in the first half of week one but I think Hoyer leads the Brownies to their third win.

Titans 12, Jaguars 10 --- Welcome to the first edition of the 2014 Toilet Bowl. The Titans have lost four in a row, while the Jaguars have not won this year. In the battle for last place in the AFC South, I'll give the edge to the Titans since they are at home but if Blake Bortles doesn't turn the ball over today, the Jags will have a chance to get their first win.

Ravens 30, Bucs 24 --- Last week I said I was all-in on the Ravens and sure enough they laid an egg against the Colts. I think they'll bounce back today in Tampa against the 1-4 Bucs.

Broncos 34, Jets 7 --- DEN -9.5 Does the 9.5 road favorite line scare me? A little but I'm taking it. The Jets offense is a mess at the moment and Peyton Manning should exploit the Jets secondary. If the Jets can get to Peyton Manning and make him uncomfortable, then maybe they can keep this game somewhat close but right now I don't see that happening.

Vikings 30, Lions 27 --- MIN -2 I'm all in on Teddy Bridgewater. He played very well in his first start against the Falcons. The Lions continue to be the mystifying Lions as they followed a two game winning streak with a loss to the Kyle Orton lead Bills in Detroit. The Lions have 8-8 written all over them. I'll take the Vikings in the state of Minnesota today.

Patriots 24, Bills 20 --- Lord Brady is 22-2 against the Bills. The Pats are off a much needed win over the Bungals last Sunday night. I don't necessarily think they have everything figured out and are on their way to another Super Bowl but I think they will win today to start cementing themselves as the AFC East division leaders once again.

Bengals 24, Panthers 21 --- CAR +7 No A.J. Green for the Bengals will be a challenge for Andy Dalton. Thankfully they are at home, where they have been very good in recent history. The Panthers have been up and down. I'll give the edge to the Bengals because their defense has the potential to stop Cam Newton but I don't think it'll be a blowout.

Dolphins 27, Packers 24 --- An upset special that I'm sure Seth Reale won't like because I'm picking the Dolphins to win. The Fins get Mike Pouncey back and will play him at guard. Knowshon Moreno will also play for the first time since week one. The Packers have scored 80 points in the past two weeks, so they are due for a down week I'd assume. If the Dolphins can keep Aaron Rodgers to under 30 points, the Dolphins might just pull off the upset.

Chargers 31, Raiders 20 --- I don't think the Raiders end out with a win and they might get blow out but it would not shock me at all in the Raiders show up today and give the Chargers a game. Tony Sparano could give them a morale boost in their first game since Dennis Allen was fired.

Seahawks 28, Cowboys 21 --- If the Cowboys want to get their fifth straight win they are going to need DeMarco Murray to have another great game. The Cowboys can easily win this one or at least keep it close if they can run it. If they can't though, add another home win to the Seahawks resume.

Cardinals 35, Redskins 21 --- ARZ -6 Carson Palmer or not the Cardinals are going to want to bounce back from their loss last week to the Broncos. At home against the Redskins is a good way to get back on track. I think Kirk Cousins will throw a few interceptions that will allow the Cardinals to get the win at home.

Falcons 31, Bears 27 --- The Falcons are very good at home and Jay Cutler has not been too good this year. Cutty has thrown four picks over the past two weeks. My guess is whichever quarterback has less turnovers will be on the winning side of this matchup.

Giants 34, Eagles 30 --- Over the past three seasons, each team has three wins against each other. Since 2011 though, the Giants are 2-1 at the Linc. The G-Men have won three in a row and Eli Manning might not be the worst quarterback in the league anymore. Similar to the Falcons/Bears game, I think which ever QB turns the ball over less will give his team a great chance to win.

49ers 26, Rams 20 --- Two years ago the Rams won the season series 1-0-1. However last year the Niners won both games by an average of 17 points. Austin Davis hasn't been too bad for the Rams at quarterback but I trust Colin Kaepernick's ability to get the job done more. Niners win.

Enjoy the games people.

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