NFL Week 5 Picks

It's official, I am horrible at picking games. I went 4-9 outright last week but I did go 3-1 for spreads somehow. There are some pretty good games today, unfortunately for me I'll be at a wedding this afternoon, forcing me to miss the end of the 1 o'clock games and probably the entire slate of 4 o'clock games. Who gets married on a Sunday in October?!? Have these people never heard of the NFL?

Overall: 32-29  Spread: 9-8

Steelers 24, Jaguars 14 --- Just beat the Jaguars.

Bears 27, Panthers 20 --- The Bears and the Dolphins are two teams I have no idea how to pick for. I say one thing and they do the opposite. I'll take the Bears over the Panthers because the Panthers have looked bad the past two weeks on defense. As long as bad Jay Cutler doesn't show up today the Bears should score enough points to win this one.

Browns 20, Titans 13 --- The Browns are 1-2 and coming off a bye. They could easily have more than one win, since both of their losses have come by a last second field goal. The Titans have been miserable since their week one victory. The Browns are the better team and I think they'll find a way to win this one.

Eagles 30, Rams 20 --- What's wrong with LeSean McCoy? He has only 39 rushing yards in his past two games. I think the Eagles will try to get him going today against a Rams team that is a little beat up on defense. Eagles should win this at home.

Giants 28, Falcons 20 --- NYG -4 The Falcons are 1-9 on the road in their past ten games. The Giants have won two in a row and seem to have figured things out on offense. I'll take the G-Men at home in this one.

Saints 31, Bucs 20 --- Thankfully for the Saints they get to play a home game. The Bucs are off a win so it wouldn't shock me if they start a little slow. Drew BREEEESSS and the offense should carry New Orleans in this one.

Texans 24, Cowboys 21 --- HOU +6.5 Upset special! Give the Texans outright in the battle of Texas. The Cowboys have been impressive over the past three weeks. DeMarco Murray seems unstoppable and their offensive line has been a pleasant surprise. I think the 3-1 Texans have a chip on their shoulder and winning in Jerry World would be a big win for them.

Lions 26, Bills 21 --- Believe it or not but I think Kyle Orton gives the Bills a better chance to win than EJ Manuel. Will they win today against the Lions? Maybe not but I think they will score over 17 points for the first time in three weeks.

Ravens 27, Colts 24 --- Like I said on Thursday, I'm pretty much all-in on the Ravens. I think they are really good now that they have a steady run game. The Colts have won two in a row but those wins came over the Jaguars and Titans. It'll be interesting to see how good the Colts actually are but I think the Ravens end out with the win.

Broncos 31, Cardinals 24 --- ARZ +7.5 Who would have thought at the beginning of the year that the undefeated team in this matchup would be the Arizona Cardinals? Both teams are off a bye, so there is no edge there. The spread is 7.5, which is pretty big. I think they Cardinals are good enough to keep this one within a touchdown, especially if they can get to Peyton. In the end though, I'll take the Broncos.

Chiefs 24, 49ers 21 --- KC +5 Another upset special in the Alex Smith Bowl. Maybe I'm overreacting to the Chiefs victory over the Patriots but they looked very good on Monday night. The Niners beat the Eagles after shutting down Chip Kelly's offense. Colin Kapernick has not been great this season and I think Alex Smith's game management skills could be the difference in this one. If the Chiefs win the turnover battle they could get the road win.

Chargers 31, Jets 17 --- Some people think the Jets will keep this one close. I don't see that happening. Even if the Jets are able to run the ball and stop the Chargers running game the QB's in this game will be the difference. Phil Rivers has been great this year, throwing 9 TD's and only 1 INT. Geno Smith on the other hand may lose his job by the end of the month. Chargers win big.

Patriots 24, Bengals 20 --- I don't know what it is but I can't pick against the Patriots. They stunk on Monday night and they stunk against the Raiders. TFB has looked average. They have no weapons on offense. And the Chiefs ran all over their defense. The Bengals are off a bye and last year the Bengals beat the Patriots and didn't let Lord Brady into the end zone. Everything points to a Bengals win but my brain won't let me pick the them to win.

Seahawks 30, Redskins 21 --- The one thing the Redskins have going for them is that they are home. Other than that the Seahawks have edge. They are more rested and they have better players. Maybe an electric home crowd will give the Skins a boost to start the game but the Seahawks will win.

Enjoy the games people.