Sunday, October 19, 2014

NFL Week 7 Picks


While some people complained about Geno Smith and Kirk Cousins throwing pick 6's to end their respective games being so awful because they led to bad beats, I was extremely pleased because it gave me two covers as I went 3-1 for my third straight winning week. Let's hope I can keep that streak going and hopefully the Steelers don't get embarrassed on Monday night. Onto the picks...

Overall: 49-40  Spread: 14-10-1

Ravens 34, Falcons 21 --- Joe Flaccooooo was awesome last week in Tampa Bay. He had five touchdown passes in 16 minutes. That performance can only mean he's due to lay an egg today. That being said, I'll still take the Ravens to win because the Falcons are a gosh darn debacle on the road.

Redskins 27, Titans 20 --- The Titans and the Redskins depress me. The fact that I'm not sure who to pick because Jake Locker is questionable is ridiculous. Jake Locker?!? He's not even that good. He's better than Charlie Whitehurst though. Hell, he might even be better than Kirk Cousins. His pick six against the Cardinals last week was great for me but who was he throwing that ball to? I think he had money on the Cardinals to be honest. These teams stink. This game is not worth watching. Give me the Skins at home.

P.S. I'm starting to be on the side that the Redskins is a horrible name for a team, same with the Indians. I'm not requesting them to change their name, I don't care that much, but if you really think about it Redskins just doesn't sound like a respectful tribute to Native Americans.

Seahawks 35, Rams 17 --- SEA -6.5 This is probably a square pick but give me the Seahawks today. I'd take them if they were minus 14. There is no way they lose two in a row. The Seahawks have won 16 of the last 18 games against the Rams.

Browns 24, Jaguars 17 --- It would be such a Brownies move to lose this game to the Jaguars. They looked very good last week when they crushed the Steelers and my self confidence. Johnny Football is an afterthought due to the play of Brian Hoyer. I'll take the Browns as they should win this game but when they lose I'll have a good chuckle.

Colts 27, Bengals 23 --- The Bengals haven't won in Indianapolis since 1997. They also haven't won a game in nearly a month. Meanwhile the Colts have won four in a row. Another reason why I like the Colts is that they are off a long week after beating the Texans on a Thursday night and the Bengals are off a tie to the Panthers. The Colts could be fresher and they are at home.

Bills 20, Vikings 17 ---I have no idea who will win this game. I'll take the Bills since they are at home. Also if Teddy Bridgewater throws three interceptions and has a QBR of 2.5 again like he did last week against the Lions the Vikings have no chance. He probably won't be that bad but I think Kyle Orton is less likely to turn the ball over multiple times than Teddy.

Bears 28, Dolphins 24 --- I'm 1-5 picking Bears games and I'm 1-4 picking Dolphins game. If I pick either team to win, they lose. If I pick them to lose, they win. The chances these two teams tie is very possible because they have my mind in a pretzel. I'm not even sure why I'm picking this game.

Lions 23, Saints 17 --- The Lions defense is sneaky really good. They have allowed the second fewest yards and they have the allowed the fewest points in the league. No team has scored more than 17 points against them. The Saints are off a bye but they are awful on the road. They are indoors though and the Lions offense hasn't been great especially without Calvin Johnson but I'll give them the edge today.

Packers 30, Panthers 20 --- Aaron Rodgers has been great at home this year. Frankly he's been amazing anywhere this year. 15 touchdowns to only one interception with a QB rating of 111.4 is remarkable. He could be the favorite to win the MVP right now. I'll take the Packers at home over a Panthers defense that hasn't been all that great this year.

Chargers 34, Chiefs 21 --- SD -3 The Chiefs have not won in San Diego since 2007. They have also lost four straight and 11 of 13 against the Chargers. The Chargers are really good and are winning games they are supposed to win this year. I'll take them at home.

Cardinals 31, Raiders 21 --- ARZ -3.5 This line stinks. Why are the 4-1 Cardinals only 3.5 point favorites against the 0-5 Raiders. Sure the Raiders looked alright last week against the Chargers. Derek Carr played very well but I don't see that happening two weeks in a row. The Cardinals can't lose to the Raiders if they have plans on possibly winning the NFC West.

Giants 31, Cowboys 27 --- NYG +6 Stone cold lock. Giants outright in this one. The Cowboys are off their biggest win in about a decade. The Giants got molly whopped by the Eagles last week. It just makes too much sense for the tables to turn. Both teams aren't as good or as bad as they were last week.

49ers 27, Broncos 24 --- SF +7 Remember the Super Bowl? Yeah? Well, the Broncos got crushed by the Seahawks, a team that barley defeated the 49ers to advance to the Super Bowl. People have been so down on the Niners because of the Jim Harbaugh situation but guess what they have won three in a row. Peyton Manning might break Brett Favre's touchdown record today but he won't get the win.

Steelers 20, Texans 17 --- Zero confidence in this pick. J.J. Watt might destroy the Steelers o-line all night. The Steelers offense has been a mess. Their defense isn't that good either. I'm taking the Steelers because they have been alternating wins and losses and this is their week to win. That's my theory and I'm sticking to it.

5 spreads this week. Enjoy the games people.

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