Saturday, January 11, 2014

NFL Divisional Playoffs Day 1

Last weekend I didn't do too well picking games. I was only 1-3 for spreads and outright picks. Not too good. These next two days are what most people refer to as the best weekend of football. Therefore, I need to pick games correctly. Onto the picks...



Saints 27, Seahawks 21 --- NO +8.5 I'm picking the Saints to win this game outright. I know they got blown out in Seattle in week 13. They were held to 188 total yards, their lowest total since 2003. It was a bloodbath that night. But I think that loss only benefits the Saints for this one. Sean Payton is a better coach than Pete Carroll in my opinion and he will make the needed adjustments to give his team the edge. I also think that the Saints really figured something out last week against the Eagles. That being a run game. They ran for 185 yards last week and that allowed them to win time of possession by nearly ten minutes. If they can do that in Seattle today it could really take the crowd out of the game.
One last thing about the Seahawks, I know all year I said they were unbeatable at home and I really thought that until the Cardinals won at CenturyLink in week 16. I have a feeling that the Seahawks have already peaked. They have also lost their last four Divisional round games, so that doesn't help. Plus I hate everybody on their defense. They are all punks. So I would kind of enjoy it if Drew BREEEEESSSS and the Saints run game knocks them out of the playoffs.



Patriots 34, Colts 30 --- IND +7.5 The Patriots have not been blowing teams out this year (Other than the Steelers and Ravens). They have only won four games by more than seven points. So I think this one will be close, especially with the heavy rains that are expected in Foxboro.
First off, I don't consider Colts vs Patriots a rivalry anymore. That rivalry was based on Manning vs Brady. Sure, there are other players that have been around for a decade but Peyton Manning not being a Colt changes things.
With that being said, these teams played last year with Andrew Luck as the QB. Things did not go well for the Colts last November in Gillette. The Patriots won 59-24. The Colts committed four turnovers, two of which were returned for touchdowns. The one positive for the Colts may be that the two key weapons for the Patriots in that game are not going to be on the field tonight. Wes Welker and the GRONK combined for 14 catches, 217 yards, and two touchdowns. Last week the Colts allowed 500 total yards to a mediocre Chiefs offense, so they need all the help they can get.
I've been saying since week three that I thought the Patriots were going to end out in the Super Bowl and I still believe that. I think Lord Brady will get the better of Andrew Luck tonight.


Enjoy the games people.

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