It's Conference Championship time, so basically that means which team will I be alright with winning the Super Bowl. Obvisouly I can't have the Patriots getting their fourth Super Bowl. TFB and Billy Belichick tying Chuck Noll and Terry Bradshaw with four would be a tough pill to swallow. No Patriots please. The Broncos would be fine I guess. I have no real issue with Peyton Manning. The Seahawks just rub me the wrong way. I know I dislike everyone on their defense and I'm getting sick and tried of hearing how loud their damn fans are. No Seahawks please. And then the 49ers. I'll be honest Kaepernick is starting to grow on me but if the Niners win the Super Bowl that means they have six total tying the Steelers with the most ever, soooo No Niners. Basically after writing this I want the Broncos to win it all so that means they have zero chance to do it now.
I went 3-1 last week for picks. A nice bounce back from the miserable Wild Card Weekend. Hopefully I get them both right today. Onto the picks...
Patriots 35, Broncos 31 --- NE +5.5 I've said it since week three that the Patriots are going to the Super Bowl. After last weeks performance against the Colts it's hard to back down from that prediction right now. They ran for 234 total yards last week and LeGarrette Blount had four touchdowns. Sure that may have been because they played the Colts defense which had allowed over 500 yards to the Chiefs the week before but anytime you dominate a game on the ground like that and win the time of possession by ten minutes is impressive in my book.
The Broncos were dominating the Chargers last week but things got close late in the fourth. Peyton Manning made a huge throw on a third and 18. But other than that throw Peyton was alright. He nearly threw a huge pick in the first quarter but a Charger defender dropped it. So I'm not too sure how much I can trust Playoff Peyton today. It's a huge legacy game for him though. He's 1-2 in the playoffs against TFB. If he loses today, it's clear to me that Lord Brady will be considered the better all-time QB. But if he wins today and possibly wins his second Super Bowl, they may be looked at as equals.
With all that being said, I certainly don't see the Patriots losing by six points or more. I think it will be a close game and when it comes down to it I just trust Tommy Terrific more in the playoffs. I think Peyton will throw an interception or two like he did against the Ravens last year and the Patriots will find a way to win and advance to the Super Bowl.
49ers 20, Seahawks 17 --- SF +3.5 We all know that Niners haven't done too well in Seattle the past two times they've played there. Being outscored 71-16 is as bad as it gets. Although the Niners went to Seattle in week two this year and you'd have to believe that they aren't the same team now as they were then. This time around they will have Michael Crabtree. I think he will make a huge difference in the game even if he doesn't catch a ton of passes. It will make things easier for Kaepernick to find Vernon Davis or Anquan Boldin. The key for the 49ers offense is to not turn the ball over like they did in week two. Kapernick threw three interceptions in that game. If that happens again the Seahawks will be in the Super Bowl. The good news for Niner fans is that Kaepernick has only thrown one interception in the past five weeks.
I think the key to this game is the Seahawks running game. If Marshawn Lynch can run the ball effectively and allow Russell Wilson to manage the game like he did last week against the Saints, they will be tough to beat. I think this game will be very close and it could be decided by a late field goal. I'm taking the Niners to win because I think they have a ton of momentum right now and they have been in this position before. The Seahawks haven't been in a conference championship since 2006, so even though they are home it's a huge stage for them. Similar to the first game, I just trust the Niners more.
Enjoy the games people.
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