NFL Week 11 Picks

After a horrible week nine of picking games I bounced back with an amazing week ten. I went 1--3 picking games and 4-0 for my spread picks. So that can only mean I'm due for a horrible
week.

Anyways, there are a ton of good and very important games this week, so onto the picks...

Overall: 90-55  Spread: 18-21-1

Steelers 24, Lions 23 --- PIT +2.5  The Lions are 6-3 but their past three games have been decided by only five total points. They are 2-1 in those games so they have the ability to win close games. I'm taking the Steelers to win this game because I think they will be able to control Calvin Johnson a little bit. Ike Taylor is actually a very good corner, who does play well against great receivers. Obviously Calvin might score a TD but I think the Steelers defense will have another strong performance. Also the Lions have only beaten the Steelers two times since 1966.

P.S. Steelers are wearing the worst throwbacks ever today. Brutal.

Jets 27, Bills 26 --- I once again have no idea which Jets team will show up today. They always win on odd numbered weeks, but they also always lose after a win. They won their last games against the Saints and they are off a bye week. They beat the Bills in week three 27-20, and the Bills have lost five of six. I'll take the Jets because they are the better team and Buffalo's offense looked horrible against the Steelers last week but it wouldn't shock me at all if the Jets lose.

Bears 28, Ravens 24 --- Even though the Bears don't have Jay Cutler, that shouldn't be a huge problem for their offense. Josh McCown has been great filling in. The Ravens are only 1-4 on the road and that win was against the Dolphins. I think the Bears are the more desperate team and they will get the win at home.

Bengals 20, Browns 10 --- The Bengals have lost two straight games in overtime and they lost to the Browns 17-6 in week four. I can't see them losing this game at home, where they are 4-0 this season. If they get this win they can basically knock the Browns out of the race for the division title.

Redskins 34, Eagles 30 --- WAS +4.5  I'm taking the Redskins in this one for a few reasons. First off the NFC East is such a mess that it would only make sense to let the Redskins right back in the division at 4-6. Another reason is that the Eagles are 0-4 at home this year and the Redskins should be well rested after playing a Thursday game in week ten. I think Nick Foles might finally drop back down to Earth for this game and finally thrown an interception.

Falcons 30, Bucs 27 --- My Super Bowl pick has to be one of the worst Super Bowl picks ever made. The Falcons are going to lose ten games this year. I'm not really sure why I'm taking them to beat the Bucs in Tampa today, considering they are 0-4 on the road this year. But I'm taking them because I can't see the Bucs winning two in a row.

Cardinals 27, Jaguars 17 --- The Cardinals are a sneaky 5-4 team in the NFC. If they win today and the Niners lose in New Orleans they will have the same record as San Francisco. I wouldn't have believed that at the beginning of the year. But the Cardinals have been beating the bad teams on their schedule so far. I think they get their third straight win in Jacksonville today.

Texans 30, Raiders 20 --- No Terrelle Pryor for the Raiders today, so former Penn Stater, Matt McGloin makes his first NFL start. Apparently the Raiders really like him but I'm not too sure how well he will do today on the road. I think Case Keenum and Texans finally break their seven game losing streak and get their third win of the year at home today.

Chargers 24, Dolphins 17 --- The Dolphins have lost five of six and I think their playoff hopes are fading. The Martin vs Incognito issue seems to be impacting the team, considering they couldn't beat Tampa Bay on Monday night. The Chargers are 4-5 also but they seem to be in every game they play. I trust Phil Rivers more than I do Ryan Tannehill at this point, so I'll take the Chargers.

49ers 30, Saints 28 --- SF +3  The Saints have been incredible all season at home. They are 5-0 this year and they just crushed the Cowboys 49-17. But they Cowboys are arguably they best team they've played at home. Their other four home wins are against the Falcons, Cardinals, Dolphins, and Bills. So today they face their toughest test, the 49ers, who are off a dismal offensive performance and a 10-9 loss to the Panthers. I'm picking the Niners in this one because I think the Saints might have a bit of a let down after recording 40 first downs last week and the Niners will not want to fall to 6-4.

Giants 27, Packers 20 --- I just don't see Scott Tolzien beating the now sort of good Giants in New Jersey. The G-Men have won three in a row and need to keep winning if they want to get into the playoffs, while the Packers seem to be sinking without Aaron Rodgers. Giants win.

Seahawks 28, Vikings 20 --- MIN +12.5 Seattle is 4-0 at home and 12-0 all-time under Russell Wilson. The Vikings are 0-4 on the road this season. Pretty simple. The Seahawks will win this game but similar to the Bucs game I think it might be somewhat close. If the Vikings can establish their run game they might be in the game.

Broncos 24, Chiefs 17 --- The fewest amount of points the Broncos have scored all year is 28, that happened last week against the Chargers. The most points the Chiefs have allowed is 17 to the Browns and Titans. Somethings gotta give. The Broncos are by far the best team the Chiefs will play so far this season. I do like the Chiefs defense a lot and even though Peyton Manning might be a little shaky on his ankle I can't see the Chiefs scoring enough points to beat the Broncos. Unless they can get a pick six, the Broncos should get the win at home.

Panthers 24, Patriots 23 --- Similar to the Chiefs and Broncos game somethings gotta give in this one. The last time we saw the Patriots they were scoring 55 god damn points against the Steelers. As for the Panthers, during their five game winning streak no team has reach 16 points. I'm going with the Panthers in this one because I think they can get to Tom Terrific. They sacked Kaepernick six times last week, so if they can do that again it could be difficult for TFB to get going. Also, as long as Cam doesn't turn the ball over he can rely on his defense at this point to carry them to a victory.

Enjoy the games people.