We all know who is in the Super Bowl. We all know the keys to the game. So I'm not going to sit here and tell you if I think Marshawn Lynch will or will not be able to run or if Peyton Manning will play great or not. This blog is all about my favorite prop bets and I'll also make a pick... Onto the props.
Prop Bet 1: Coin Flip = TAILS (-103) --- In the previous 47 Super Bowls the battle between Heads and Tails is a close one. Heads leads the series 24-23. Heads has also won the past five years. I think it's time for a change. Tails even though you have been failing, NOT TONIGHT.
Prop Bet 2: Over 2 mins 23 secs for the Renee Fleming National Anthem (+150) --- She's an opera singer. I have to imagine her holding notes for a long time. Give me the over.
Prop Bet 3: Under 9 Combined Punts (-115) --- Both of the Conference Championship games only combined for 10 total punts. Also the way Peyton Manning has been running the offense, if they can control the clock and have long drives there might not be a ton of possessions in the game. Nine just seems like a high number.
Prop Bet 4: Under 4.5 Total Sacks in Game (-135) --- Peyton Manning hasn't been sacked in the playoffs and Russell Wilson has the mobility to avoid sacks under tremendous pressure. I could see each guy getting sacked twice but five total seems like a lot.
Prop Bet 5: First player to spin the ball on the ground (+110) Denver Broncos --- This is a complete hunch. It might not even happen in the game. However, in the AFC Championship I noticed Eric Decker spun the ball twice after receptions. I might have missed Seahawk players doing it but I'm putting my faith in Decker. Spin it Bro.
Prop Bet 6: Marshawn Lynch Under 90.5 Rushing Yards (-125) --- I do think Marshawn will have a good game but the strength of the Broncos defense is up front. In both of their playoff games they only allowed 65 total rushing yards to the Chargers and 64 to the Patriots. Marshawn is a different animal than any back they've faced recently but I think they can hold him under 90.
Prop Bet 7: First Seahawk to score a TD (+800) Golden Tate --- No reasoning behind this one. Just a gut feeling and at +800, why not?
Prop Bet 8: Peyton Manning Over 289.5 passing yards (-110) --- Unless the Broncos run wild on the ground I think Peyton will be flinging the rock around. Sure Richard Sherman might take away Demaryius Thomas but he still has a plethora of other options.
Prop Bet 9: Julius Thomas Over 4.5 receptions (-105) --- He caught 7 balls against San Diego and 8 against New England. He might not gain a ton of yards tonight but he seems to one of Peyton's favorite targets so five balls doesn't seem like a daunting task.
Now for the actual game pick...
Broncos 24, Seahawks 21 --- DEN -2.5 To be honest I think the Seahawks might win this game and there is a chance it could get ugly especially if they pressure Peyton all night. But I want the Broncos to win. So sure I could bet on the Seahawks and then if they win, I could be glad I at least won the bet. But I want to enjoy the game. Betting on the Broncos allows me to root for them 100%. Either way hopefully it's a good game that comes down to the fourth quarter.
Enjoy the last football game until August people.
No comments:
Post a Comment