NFL Week 16 Picks

This weeks picks are going to be short and sweet. I just got back from France tonight and tomorrow I'm going to the Jets game.

Overall: 135-85   Spread: 29-30-3

Bills 24, Dolphins 21 --- First of all Ryan Tannehill has been very impressive the last two weeks in leading the Fins to wins late in the fourth quarter over the Steelers and Patriots. He gets overlooked often but he certainly appears to have the talent and mindset to become a very good NFL quarterback. The Dolphins have won four of five and all they need to do is win out to make the playoffs. Their schedule is favorable, in Buffalo and home against the Jets. With all of that being said I'm picking the Bills to win this game. I've picked the Dolphins to lose their last five games so maybe I'm just picking them to lose for superstition because I kind of want to see them make the playoffs. 

Packers 26, Steelers 21 --- This would be such a 2013 Steelers move to lose this game. Just played a great game against the Bengals. Now follow that up with a stinker against Matt Flynn and the Packers. 

Bengals 34, Vikings 21 --- The Bengals are 6-0 at home and in their past three games their smallest margin of victory is 14 points. They just lost last week to the Steelers and now the AFC North crown is up for grabs. The Bengals have to win this game to stay ahead of the Ravens. The Vikings have been play well, 2-1-1 in their past four, but they are 0-6-1 on the road this year. I don't see them pulling off another upset like they did last week against the Eagles. Bengals win. 

Chiefs 31, Colts 27 --- These two teams will most likely meet in the AFC Wild Card Playoffs in two weeks. So, I kind of wonder if each team will show each other everything they have. Give me the Chiefs at home.

Rams 31, Bucs 24 --- The Rams have been playing decent football lately. They just beat the Saints the home. They should be able to beat the Bucs at home. 

Jets 20, Browns 13 --- NYJ -1.5 I'll be at this game screaming REXY often and rooting for Josh Gordon to score 90 yard touchdowns. Browns stink. Jets are normally decent at home so I'll think they will win.

Redskins 34, Cowboys 31 --- WAS +3 My third straight week picking the Redskins to win. The Cowboys defense is just so bad. Blame Tony Romo all you want but the defense didn't help them out last week against the Packers. On the other hand Kirk Cousins had a two point conversation chance to win the game in Atlanta last week. Plus this will be London Fletcher's last home game in Washington so the Skins may have a reason to be play with a little heart.

Panthers 27, Saints 20 --- CAR -3 Saints at home. Great. Saints on the road. Not too good. I think the Panthers are the better team and since this game is in Carolina I think the Panthers defense will force a few key turnovers to get the win. 

Jaguars 24, Titans 21 --- I'm on the Jaguars bandwagon. They might be my new Buffalo Bills. I like the way Gus Bradley has this team playing. I've heard him talk a few times and I like his attitude. So, for that reason I'll pick the Jags at home. 

Broncos 41, Texans 21 --- Broncos have had a long week to rest since their loss to the Chargers. Peyton Manning should have a big day against the Texans, who have lost 12 straight. 

Lions 27, Giants 17 --- Eli has been horrible this year. Just terrible. The Lions have to win this game. They are the more talented team. Frankly, if the Lions can't win this one I think Jim Schwartz might be fired sooner rather than later. 

Seahawks 24, Cardinals 17 --- Seahawks don't lose at home. Plain and simple. 

Chargers 30, Raiders 21 --- The Chargers still have an outside chance at making the playoffs but they need to win out. The Raiders haven't been good lately. Phil Rivers should get the job done at home. 

Patriots 20, Ravens 17 --- NE +2 The Patriots rarely lose two games in a row. The Pats also know they can almost squash the Ravens playoffs chances with a win. The Ravens are 6-1 at home and have won four straight but last week they didn't score a touchdown and they are on a short week. I just have a feeling the Patriots figure out a way to win this one. 

Eagles 27, Bears 24 --- This one could go either way but Shady McCoy might run wild in this one. The Bears run defense is horrible. If the Eagles stick to the run they should be able to control the game and get a huge win.

49ers 28, Falcons 17 --- I don't see the Falcons pulling off the Monday night upset. 49ers should take care of business in this one. 

Enjoy the games people and Merry Christmas.